Realized P&L (30d)
-$99
Unrealized P&L
+$58
Hit rate
53.4%
Resolved (30d)
112
Trades (30d)
359
40,043 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.89K
$993.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$313
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 07:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 211 days
Categories
Sports
46% 73% -$7,693
Crypto
33% 92% +$475
Other
20% 65% -$270
Politics
1% 42% -$624
Tech
0% 0% -$7
Pop-Culture
0% 29% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +48 $10 84¢ $40 +$30 10-15 08:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +50 $10 45¢ $23 +$13 10-23 19:52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +31 $10 58¢ $18 +$9 10-26 02:32
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +24 $10 57¢ $14 +$4 10-09 04:16
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +13 $10 99¢ $13 +$3 10-10 00:03
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +27 $2 47¢ $13 +$11 10-30 14:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +32 $10 38¢ $12 +$3 10-08 03:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +26 $4 47¢ $12 +$9 10-15 07:14
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +14 $10 80¢ $11 +$1 10-05 17:37
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +13 $10 82¢ $11 +$1 10-05 13:52
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +20 $10 56¢ $11 +$1 10-15 12:26
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +11 $10 99¢ $10 +$1 10-11 18:20
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 10-21 07:24
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +167 $9 6¢ $9 +$1 10-03 10:05
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +62 $9 15¢ $9 +$0 10-21 07:23
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +11 $10 80¢ $9 -$1 10-13 07:53
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +71 $7 12¢ $9 +$2 10-29 23:45
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +26 $10 34¢ $9 -$1 09-23 07:41
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +28 $10 29¢ $8 -$2 09-22 17:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +29 $10 26¢ $8 -$2 10-08 03:36
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +143 $8 5¢ $7 -$1 10-11 16:46
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +38 $10 18¢ $7 -$3 10-15 00:52
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +15 $4 44¢ $7 +$3 10-26 09:31
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +33 $10 18¢ $6 -$4 10-10 10:02
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +45 $10 12¢ $5 -$4 10-08 22:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +91 $9 6¢ $5 -$4 10-19 12:29
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +14 $4 31¢ $4 +$0 09-09 02:08
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $4 68¢ $4 $0 09-09 03:18
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +100 $9 4¢ $4 -$5 10-11 18:32
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +28 $10 11¢ $3 -$7 10-21 23:08