Realized P&L (90d)
-$347
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
40.0%
Resolved (90d)
242
Trades (90d)
1,413
40,029 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$15.9K
$993.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$289
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 08:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 210 days
Categories
Sports
46% 73% -$7,693
Crypto
33% 92% +$475
Other
20% 65% -$266
Politics
1% 41% -$626
Tech
0% 0% -$7
Pop-Culture
0% 29% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +50 $10 76¢ $38 +$28 10-23 19:52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +31 $10 52¢ $16 +$6 10-26 02:32
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +24 $10 54¢ $13 +$3 10-09 04:16
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +13 $10 97¢ $13 +$3 10-10 00:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +32 $10 38¢ $12 +$2 10-08 03:35
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +14 $10 83¢ $12 +$2 10-05 17:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +19 $3 60¢ $11 +$8 10-08 03:35
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +13 $10 82¢ $11 +$1 10-05 13:52
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +20 $10 55¢ $11 +$1 10-15 12:26
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-11 18:20
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 10-21 07:24
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +26 $10 38¢ $10 +$0 09-23 07:41
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +167 $9 6¢ $10 +$1 10-03 10:05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +26 $4 36¢ $9 +$6 10-15 07:14
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +11 $10 81¢ $9 -$1 10-13 07:53
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +28 $10 32¢ $9 -$1 09-22 17:04
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +143 $8 6¢ $9 +$1 10-11 16:46
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +62 $9 14¢ $8 -$1 10-21 07:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +29 $10 29¢ $8 -$2 10-08 03:36
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +48 $10 17¢ $8 -$2 10-15 08:14
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +38 $10 20¢ $8 -$2 10-15 00:52
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +15 $4 44¢ $7 +$3 10-26 09:31
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +33 $10 19¢ $6 -$3 10-10 10:02
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +45 $10 12¢ $6 -$4 10-08 22:50
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +14 $4 36¢ $5 +$1 09-09 02:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +91 $9 6¢ $5 -$4 10-19 12:29
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +100 $9 4¢ $4 -$5 10-11 18:32
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $4 70¢ $4 +$0 09-09 03:18
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +5 $3 57¢ $3 -$1 09-12 14:21
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +5 $2 44¢ $2 $0 10-15 12:47