Stable-Copywriter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$841

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

1,353

Trades

6,565

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 07-11 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 45% -$624

Other

13% 19% -$160

Sports

8% 32% -$53

Politics

2% 33% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$3

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No		+5	$3	92¢	$5	+$2	05-01 07:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+10	$3	12¢	$1	-$2	05-01 07:55
will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	Yes	—	+3	$2	16¢	$0	-$1	07-11 13:35
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes		+20	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	05-01 08:03
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No		+5	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	05-01 08:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 23:30 UTC	163	$608	741	736	+5	Up	-$4	03-01 23:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 16:45 UTC	663	$584	2,610	565	+2,045	Down	-$346	02-28 17:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 15:45 UTC	229	$531	525	535	-10	Up	+$3	02-28 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 16:15 UTC	142	$395	360	391	-31	Up	+$33	02-28 16:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 16:00 UTC	145	$325	371	269	+102	Up	+$64	02-28 16:14
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	243	$211	30,000	30,250	-250	No	-$29	02-25 14:26
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	218	$204	13,625	13,625	+0	No	-$14	02-25 14:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 23:45 UTC	55	$186	199	185	+13	Up	+$5	03-01 23:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 20:15 UTC	46	$167	164	162	+2	Down	+$4	03-01 20:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 21:00 UTC	41	$154	238	136	+102	Up	$0	03-01 21:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 17:00 UTC	58	$132	212	67	+145	Down	-$68	02-28 17:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 22:45 UTC	35	$127	176	175	+1	Down	-$3	03-01 22:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 21:45 UTC	45	$119	209	149	+61	Up	-$14	03-01 22:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 23:15 UTC	32	$112	295	106	+189	Down	-$2	03-01 23:30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	12	$112	16,678	16,677	+1	Yes	+$16	04-08 07:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 21:15 UTC	44	$109	268	139	+129	Up	-$8	03-01 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 23:50 UTC	18	$108	90	74	+16	Down	-$9	03-15 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:20 UTC	28	$105	111	109	+2	Down	-$4	03-14 20:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 11:00 UTC	7	$99	102	100	+1	Up	+$5	03-01 11:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 20:00 UTC	26	$98	96	83	+13	Down	-$2	03-01 20:07
nba okc tor 2026 02 24	94	$96	101	101	+0	Thunder	-$1	02-25 00:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 20:30 UTC	25	$93	120	74	+46	Down	-$9	03-01 20:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 21:30 UTC	27	$88	212	83	+130	Up	-$2	03-01 21:45
nba cha chi 2026 02 24	87	$86	163	160	+4	Hornets	-$3	02-24 17:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 23:30 UTC	15	$85	62	62	+0	Up	-$3	03-15 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 23:35 UTC	14	$84	87	77	+10	Up	+$5	03-15 23:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 22:00 UTC	27	$81	94	71	+23	Up	-$14	03-01 22:12
atp rublev rinderk 2026 02 26	19	$80	84	84	+0	Andrey Rublev	+$2	02-26 16:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 20:45 UTC	23	$79	139	65	+74	Up	-$2	03-01 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 23:45 UTC	15	$66	56	56	+1	Up	-$1	03-15 23:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 13:57:26	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x956dd5…
07-11 13:57:10	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xa61461…
07-11 13:35:52	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x56c1d9…
07-11 13:31:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa0f2df…
06-02 18:10:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$16	0xa836d5…
05-25 22:03:33	Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xd44e5e…
05-23 11:37:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x3d2308…
05-01 08:12:08	Chirayu Rana divorced?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x689f05…
05-01 08:08:48	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x884d63…
05-01 08:03:44	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xc4b9a8…
05-01 07:58:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xaa2f22…
05-01 07:56:48	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0f8961…
05-01 07:55:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xfca759…
05-01 07:55:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x2af624…
05-01 07:51:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x52aacf…
05-01 07:45:48	Chirayu Rana fired?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x2e420c…
04-23 22:52:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xe880a7…
04-23 22:52:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0e3a87…
04-23 22:52:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xc639df…
04-20 17:47:04	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x8a2a43…
04-18 00:34:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0xffc1dd…
04-18 00:34:16	Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?	No	SELL	4	84¢	$4	0xaae8bd…
04-16 10:06:46	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xf4b0a2…
04-16 10:01:16	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x36ea14…
04-15 11:07:24	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0xf605fa…
04-15 10:43:32	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x43d62f…
04-15 09:26:12	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0xc3853b…
04-15 08:57:40	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	SELL	397	1¢	$3	0x9c0cf3…
04-13 15:34:19	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0x4f9727…
04-11 15:54:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xad8862…
04-08 08:44:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe12b4c…
04-08 08:39:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x397e3b…
04-08 08:00:47	military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	No	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0xbc5047…
04-08 07:54:23	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Something	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9c5792…
04-08 07:52:11	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 13 be between 80 and 85	No	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x21c077…
04-08 07:48:53	Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xd01d03…
04-08 07:43:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xce3cc9…
04-08 07:34:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x991fc9…
04-07 21:53:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1,475	1¢	$12	0x6f7edb…
04-07 21:53:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	750	1¢	$6	0x92b2ad…
04-07 21:53:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	4,451	1¢	$36	0xad581b…
04-07 14:53:05	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	4,948	0¢	$15	0xcdb4f8…
04-07 14:51:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5,052	0¢	$15	0x6733c9…
04-07 10:39:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x9a7b5a…
04-05 16:42:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0xbb1249…
04-05 08:41:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x5a5a84…
04-05 08:15:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x3f88f6…
04-05 07:21:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0xcfb26f…
04-05 07:17:29	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x0b1700…
04-05 07:17:09	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x4d5a3f…
04-04 11:22:51	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x891573…
04-03 08:26:29	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xb386a0…
04-03 08:16:53	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xecca69…
04-03 01:08:25	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x52e4e8…
04-02 21:28:41	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xdde206…
04-02 20:28:29	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xc1c1a5…
04-01 09:15:55	russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x196218…
04-01 09:04:21	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2aede1…
04-01 09:01:03	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xbf2f57…
04-01 09:00:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x65cde4…
03-30 20:34:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd6fec8…
03-30 20:33:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x995e0d…
03-30 16:00:15	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x74031e…
03-30 15:27:17	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3cdc93…
03-30 14:16:09	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	682	0¢	$3	0x81fb37…
03-30 14:13:05	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xd20f26…
03-30 13:54:47	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0018b7…
03-30 13:27:26	fif ger gha 2026 03 30 ger	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x27d667…
03-30 13:25:46	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x23708d…
03-30 13:25:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x72381f…
03-30 11:02:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x338bf4…
03-26 19:21:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x828b2c…
03-26 19:21:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x78c8dc…
03-26 19:21:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$3	0x337d9f…
03-26 19:20:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x1fba11…
03-26 19:20:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x828e4e…
03-26 19:20:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xa5e79c…
03-26 19:17:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x5169ac…
03-26 19:17:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfa2904…
03-26 19:17:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x79d4c1…
03-26 19:15:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x7995a0…
03-26 19:15:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x3dc7a3…
03-26 19:13:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x8cc8c4…
03-26 19:13:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd2a378…
03-26 19:12:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xab5d0b…
03-26 19:11:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x4cdd39…
03-26 19:11:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0xe8a901…
03-26 19:10:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x63b0b1…
03-26 19:08:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:05 UTC	Up	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x67b2ea…
03-26 19:07:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x557910…
03-26 19:07:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x2c2a90…
03-26 19:07:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6569c0…
03-26 19:06:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:05 UTC	Up	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x9a3b7d…
03-26 19:06:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x561417…
03-26 19:06:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x1e3820…
03-26 19:06:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x4f74e7…
03-26 19:05:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xa5aa76…
03-26 19:05:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x8b19c8…
03-26 19:05:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x1c7364…
03-26 19:03:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x011f7c…