Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$214

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

28.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$719

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$21

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-21 15:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

53% 22% -$149

Other

28% 10% -$56

Crypto

18% 33% -$19

Sports

1% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	+9	$5	92¢	$9	+$4	08-01 12:38
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	-207	-$15	3¢	$-6	+$8	07-15 21:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	+16	$5	26¢	$4	-$1	10-21 15:09
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	-59	-$4	4¢	$-2	+$2	07-15 16:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	5	$164	2,961	2,684	+276	No	-$36	03-14 22:45
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$94	259	0	+259	No	-$94	03-23 08:50
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	2	$67	62	62	+0	Yes	+$57	07-15 21:23
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$60	134	0	+134	No	-$60	03-09 15:52
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$36	25	25	+0	Yes	-$4	03-05 19:36
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$30	26	13	+13	Yes	+$3	03-08 20:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 15:00 UTC	2	$18	13	13	+0	Up	+$8	03-08 15:05
will iran strike israel on march 6	2	$16	24	24	+0	No	-$4	03-08 12:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 14:55 UTC	2	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$6	03-08 15:00
us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	1	$15	103	0	+103	No	-$15	03-15 20:20
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$15	0	207	-207	open	—	07-15 21:31
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$13	116	116	+0	open	—	07-15 16:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:25 UTC	2	$11	9	8	+0	Down	+$6	03-08 18:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 00:00 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	03-09 00:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 12:50 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	03-08 12:55
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	1	$10	36	0	+36	No	-$10	03-15 20:23
bitcoin above 72k on march 5	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	-$10	03-05 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:25 UTC	2	$10	18	0	+18	Down	-$10	03-09 15:26
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$9	51	0	+51	No	-$9	03-05 12:40
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$9	0	38	-38	No	+$9	07-15 16:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:15 UTC	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	03-08 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 11:15 UTC	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	09-21 11:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	10-21 15:09
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	1	$5	16	0	+16	Yes	-$5	08-01 12:37
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	1	$5	12	0	+12	Yes	+$7	03-15 20:25
will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	1	$5	11	0	+11	No	-$5	08-01 14:42
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?	1	$5	83	0	+83	No	-$5	07-18 19:09
will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 31 2026 20260807172431197	1	$5	11	0	+11	No	-$5	08-14 05:09
will the us test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	1	$5	133	0	+133	No	-$5	03-05 21:07
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	08-01 12:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 15:09:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xfe317b…
09-21 11:19:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x7a9472…
08-14 05:09:52	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 31 2026 20260807172431197	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3e1841…
08-02 11:23:41	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x824b9a…
08-01 14:42:24	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x5cab93…
08-01 12:38:02	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf764b6…
08-01 12:37:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x252ab3…
07-18 19:09:12	Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa8ea94…
07-15 21:31:38	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	207	7¢	$15	0x3eb16b…
07-15 21:23:22	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xc113af…
07-15 16:45:59	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xdb46df…
07-15 16:45:13	Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x501ba6…
07-15 16:42:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	2¢	$2	0xf0ad60…
07-15 16:42:26	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	59	7¢	$4	0x1b63a1…
07-15 16:41:52	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	38	23¢	$9	0xcd937f…
05-08 08:53:13	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	9¢	$11	0x31a18e…
03-23 08:50:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xb24c8e…
03-15 20:25:07	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x50e7ff…
03-15 20:23:11	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x55cd85…
03-15 20:22:53	will trump be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xd21736…
03-15 20:22:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x6b0db8…
03-15 20:20:59	us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	Yes	BUY	103	15¢	$15	0xf831d9…
03-14 22:45:29	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	980	2¢	$17	0xe31aa0…
03-14 17:19:05	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	1,256	3¢	$40	0x5c8944…
03-14 17:18:57	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	1,705	3¢	$48	0x6c1b26…
03-14 17:17:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	164	42¢	$69	0xd40b83…
03-14 12:35:29	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	1,410	4¢	$50	0x36d67f…
03-14 12:35:17	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	294	3¢	$10	0x9a476d…
03-10 22:13:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbac0fa…
03-09 21:12:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x75c156…
03-09 15:52:27	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xe512b2…
03-09 15:32:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3ae6e9…
03-09 15:26:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf0eb15…
03-09 15:25:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb5a551…
03-09 15:12:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x3f8bc3…
03-09 12:19:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5db224…
03-09 11:17:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x66f2f3…
03-09 01:25:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4804c6…
03-09 00:18:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x703b9e…
03-09 00:17:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2803df…
03-09 00:11:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xba0e94…
03-09 00:08:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x9c65b3…
03-09 00:06:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x143883…
03-09 00:03:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x995181…
03-08 20:06:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xdf4d01…
03-08 20:06:19	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0xae34ef…
03-08 19:59:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa35201…
03-08 19:05:39	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xb65c96…
03-08 18:30:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:25 UTC	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x75b8d3…
03-08 18:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x928f50…
03-08 18:20:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x634e81…
03-08 18:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x3fde7f…
03-08 15:07:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xfb04cb…
03-08 15:05:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x953ea5…
03-08 15:02:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa5c795…
03-08 15:00:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x88ad70…
03-08 14:55:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x658dca…
03-08 12:55:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 12:50 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7b55f1…
03-08 12:54:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa5f81e…
03-08 12:53:35	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0x7628f0…
03-06 23:17:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb7b402…
03-06 15:06:33	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x05e990…
03-06 15:04:55	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xe23f53…
03-05 21:07:35	will the us test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	133	4¢	$5	0x9cda27…
03-05 19:37:15	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x5f7d83…
03-05 19:36:09	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	25	63¢	$16	0x484d2d…
03-05 12:40:41	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	51	18¢	$9	0x7135ae…
03-05 12:34:57	bitcoin above 72k on march 5	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xba7662…
03-05 12:34:17	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x6ba275…
03-05 12:33:07	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x30ff7a…