Realized P&L
-$1.68K
Unrealized P&L
-$70
Hit rate
45.4%
Resolved
6,962
Trades
16,202
lifetime
Volume
$44.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$51
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 10-28 17:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 133 days
Categories
Crypto
50% 53% -$1,219
Other
34% 1% -$346
Politics
10% 9% -$79
Tech
3% 0% -$27
Sports
2% 0% -$3
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes -40 -$16 97¢ $-39 -$23 09-21 01:35
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +8 $4 88¢ $7 +$3 08-12 08:48
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? No +80 $48 3¢ $2 -$46 09-25 14:37
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +4 $1 46¢ $2 +$1 10-01 23:38
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? Yes +50 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-16 00:00
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? No +5 $3 5¢ $0 -$3 09-19 22:48
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +0 $2 40¢ $0 -$2 09-23 13:28