Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
16.8%
Resolved
9
Trades
16
lifetime
Volume
$48
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$16
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-10 16:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 38% $-9
Other
32%
Politics
10% 0% $-5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026? No -7 $-5 74¢ $-5 $-0 05-10 02:40
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? No -22 $-5 22¢ $-5 $-0 05-10 02:41
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026? Yes -9 $-4 45¢ $-4 $-0 05-10 02:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? Yes -91 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-10 02:41
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? Yes -4 $-1 22¢ $-1 $-0 05-10 02:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up +5 $3 $0 $-3 05-10 16:20