Crisp-Roar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$625

Unrealized P&L

-$614

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

Trades

364

lifetime

Volume

$549.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.51K

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-24 21:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

93% 49% $-425

Sports

6% 50% $-200

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+800	$616	0¢	$2	$-614	05-29 12:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	2	$11.5K	12,500	12,500	+0	open	—	06-22 00:49
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5	2	$7.6K	5,064	5,064	+0	open	—	05-17 18:48
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	1	$7.0K	15,217	0	+15,217	open	—	06-21 21:51
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	1	$6.5K	13,000	0	+13,000	open	—	06-15 18:37
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	1	$6.0K	12,500	0	+12,500	open	—	06-17 16:21
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	1	$6.0K	13,043	0	+13,043	open	—	06-15 15:30
fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	1	$6.0K	13,801	0	+13,801	open	—	06-15 02:01
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	1	$5.5K	10,185	0	+10,185	open	—	06-14 15:59
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	1	$5.5K	10,577	0	+10,577	open	—	06-21 15:04
fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	1	$5.0K	10,870	0	+10,870	open	—	06-14 03:23
fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	1	$5.0K	9,434	0	+9,434	open	—	06-17 03:13
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	1	$5.0K	9,804	0	+9,804	open	—	06-20 00:21
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	1	$5.0K	8,475	0	+8,475	open	—	06-16 21:30
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	1	$5.0K	9,091	0	+9,091	open	—	06-21 18:24
fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 spread away 1pt5	1	$4.5K	11,250	0	+11,250	open	—	06-15 21:35
fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	1	$4.5K	8,333	0	+8,333	open	—	06-18 01:35
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	1	$4.5K	7,627	0	+7,627	open	—	06-20 19:22
fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	2	$4.5K	10,790	0	+10,790	open	—	06-20 23:43
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	1	$4.0K	6,667	0	+6,667	open	—	06-21 02:18
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	1	$4.0K	6,897	0	+6,897	open	—	06-18 21:05
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	1	$4.0K	10,811	0	+10,811	open	—	06-20 16:16
fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	1	$3.5K	5,469	0	+5,469	open	—	06-17 00:19
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5	1	$3.5K	7,055	0	+7,055	open	—	06-04 15:31
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 4pt5	1	$3.5K	10,294	0	+10,294	open	—	06-14 15:59
United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5	1	$3.5K	7,585	0	+7,585	open	—	06-06 18:02
fif pur ksa 2026 06 05 total 3pt5	1	$3.5K	7,779	0	+7,779	open	—	06-05 22:35
fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	1	$3.5K	7,292	0	+7,292	open	—	06-23 02:24
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 3.5	1	$3.5K	8,470	0	+8,470	open	—	06-05 15:40
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	1	$3.3K	6,735	0	+6,735	open	—	06-04 00:13
fif bel1 bur 2026 06 09 total 2pt5	1	$3.0K	6,063	0	+6,063	open	—	06-09 16:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 21:21:55	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Haiti	BUY	6,498	46¢	$2,989	0x07b4f0…
06-24 18:28:02	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Qatar	BUY	2,545	55¢	$1,400	0x1a7f73…
06-23 22:16:38	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	4,412	34¢	$1,500	0xa3b690…
06-23 22:16:28	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4,386	57¢	$2,500	0x8f4db2…
06-23 19:27:01	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	4,286	42¢	$1,800	0x31d360…
06-23 19:26:50	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1,875	64¢	$1,200	0x4170e4…
06-23 16:31:50	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	6,818	44¢	$3,000	0x314d81…
06-23 02:24:19	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	1,852	27¢	$500	0x748479…
06-23 02:24:14	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	7,292	48¢	$3,500	0x6fd779…
06-22 16:29:40	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Iraq	BUY	6,667	45¢	$3,000	0x657298…
06-22 16:29:11	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Austria	BUY	3,000	60¢	$1,800	0xa80bc0…
06-22 00:51:32	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	New Zealand	BUY	3,529	68¢	$2,400	0xf33822…
06-22 00:49:08	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	12,500	44¢	$5,500	0xde1566…
06-22 00:42:11	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	12,500	48¢	$6,000	0x027119…
06-21 21:51:43	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	15,217	46¢	$7,000	0x9bc383…
06-21 18:24:40	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	6,061	33¢	$2,000	0x473e1d…
06-21 18:24:35	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9,091	55¢	$5,000	0x4c10a8…
06-21 15:04:26	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	4,839	31¢	$1,500	0x89b274…
06-21 15:04:19	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	10,577	52¢	$5,500	0xa9fa5b…
06-21 02:18:32	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Tunisia	BUY	6,667	60¢	$4,000	0xd2c7ed…
06-20 23:43:41	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Ecuador	BUY	2,326	43¢	$1,000	0x5b7a37…
06-20 23:28:25	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Ecuador	BUY	8,465	41¢	$3,500	0x55acee…
06-20 23:28:14	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Ecuador	BUY	3,788	66¢	$2,500	0x3acf6c…
06-20 19:22:05	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	7,627	59¢	$4,500	0x8cdf30…
06-20 16:16:38	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	10,811	37¢	$4,000	0xe4e8f3…
06-20 16:16:32	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5,000	60¢	$3,000	0x13c53b…
06-20 00:21:50	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	5,747	35¢	$2,000	0xc067a6…
06-20 00:21:38	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	9,804	51¢	$5,000	0x7bf8df…
06-19 18:32:17	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	Australia	BUY	3,788	66¢	$2,500	0xa04d32…
06-18 21:06:07	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5,714	35¢	$2,000	0xf4c780…
06-18 21:05:58	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	6,897	58¢	$4,000	0xc26bed…
06-18 19:00:50	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	Switzerland	BUY	4,113	38¢	$1,572	0x1d37d1…
06-18 01:35:53	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	6,250	32¢	$2,000	0x46d81b…
06-18 01:35:01	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	8,333	54¢	$4,500	0x7d774f…
06-17 19:17:05	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	6,061	33¢	$2,000	0x5e3501…
06-17 16:21:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	12,500	48¢	$6,000	0x3be5c0…
06-17 03:14:03	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	3,333	30¢	$1,000	0x6590f6…
06-17 03:13:52	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9,434	53¢	$5,000	0x1f7935…
06-17 00:19:53	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Algeria	BUY	5,469	64¢	$3,500	0xaed6d1…
06-16 21:30:56	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 2pt5	Norway	BUY	8,571	35¢	$3,000	0xc26850…
06-16 21:30:43	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	8,475	59¢	$5,000	0x424798…
06-16 18:21:23	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	6,250	32¢	$2,000	0x9768e8…
06-16 18:21:11	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4,464	56¢	$2,500	0xda7f9a…
06-15 21:35:45	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 spread away 1pt5	Uruguay	BUY	11,250	40¢	$4,500	0x04e75a…
06-15 18:37:58	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	13,000	50¢	$6,500	0xcc0412…
06-15 15:30:16	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	13,043	46¢	$6,000	0x522b5c…
06-15 02:01:19	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	13,801	43¢	$6,000	0x614df5…
06-14 22:35:28	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	6,061	33¢	$2,000	0xb507da…
06-14 15:59:22	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 4pt5	Germany	BUY	10,294	34¢	$3,500	0x0ae5b5…
06-14 15:59:06	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	Germany	BUY	10,185	54¢	$5,500	0x663563…
06-14 03:23:36	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10,870	46¢	$5,000	0x9729b3…
06-14 00:12:51	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Haiti	BUY	4,918	61¢	$3,000	0x4bfc10…
06-13 21:08:12	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	4,688	32¢	$1,500	0x4c73fb…
06-12 15:03:42	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Canada	BUY	2,862	28¢	$800	0xe38235…
06-11 19:06:15	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	3,046	33¢	$1,000	0xb813cc…
06-11 19:06:04	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	3,390	59¢	$2,000	0x63c407…
06-11 00:18:22	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 217pt5	Over	BUY	6,186	48¢	$3,000	0x3f7de4…
06-10 19:57:09	fif bol alg 2026 06 10 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	3,295	36¢	$1,200	0x923139…
06-10 19:57:00	fif bol alg 2026 06 10 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3,045	59¢	$1,800	0xbe0578…
06-10 19:56:18	fif eng cri 2026 06 10 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	3,042	39¢	$1,200	0x8c1c4d…
06-10 19:56:03	fif eng cri 2026 06 10 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2,905	62¢	$1,800	0x754bd2…
06-10 19:24:03	fif prt nga 2026 06 10 spread home 1pt5	Nigeria	BUY	4,120	53¢	$2,200	0xbedeb6…
06-09 16:19:54	fif hun kaz 2026 06 09 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	4,526	40¢	$1,800	0x6ee91d…
06-09 16:19:40	fif hun kaz 2026 06 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1,950	62¢	$1,200	0x80e2af…
06-09 16:19:06	fif bel1 bur 2026 06 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	6,063	49¢	$3,000	0x2804fc…
06-08 22:52:57	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 216pt5	Over	BUY	6,383	47¢	$3,000	0x073d78…
06-08 15:19:19	Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)	Uzbekistan	BUY	1,190	42¢	$500	0x657fee…
06-08 15:12:36	Spread: Spain (-1.5)	Peru	BUY	4,891	41¢	$2,000	0xf6b5af…
06-08 15:12:18	Spread: Spain (-2.5)	Peru	BUY	1,598	63¢	$1,000	0xfe04b0…
06-08 15:11:39	Spread: France (-1.5)	Northern Ireland	BUY	2,500	32¢	$800	0x99c008…
06-08 15:11:25	Spread: France (-2.5)	Northern Ireland	BUY	4,049	54¢	$2,200	0xf002b8…
06-08 15:10:43	Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)	Uzbekistan	BUY	4,748	42¢	$2,000	0xd66d49…
06-07 18:30:13	Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6,385	47¢	$3,000	0x7d5962…
06-07 16:07:39	Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5,854	51¢	$3,000	0xd23243…
06-06 23:42:13	fif kor aru 2026 06 06 spread home 2pt5	Curaçao	BUY	5,356	56¢	$3,000	0x7cfda6…
06-06 18:02:57	United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	7,585	46¢	$3,500	0x2852ad…
06-06 12:44:25	Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	4,064	37¢	$1,500	0x4e9cf2…
06-06 12:44:18	Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3,448	58¢	$2,000	0xdbec44…
06-05 22:35:25	fif pur ksa 2026 06 05 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	7,779	45¢	$3,500	0xdf8449…
06-05 16:19:33	Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5,706	53¢	$3,000	0x459198…
06-05 16:19:25	Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1,682	30¢	$500	0x7f5b7e…
06-05 15:40:22	Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	8,470	41¢	$3,500	0x450e35…
06-05 01:34:51	Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	4,320	35¢	$1,500	0xd23aaa…
06-05 01:34:40	Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3,465	58¢	$2,000	0x96165e…
06-04 18:37:52	fif esp irq 2026 06 04 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	4,286	35¢	$1,500	0x27fcb6…
06-04 18:37:45	fif esp irq 2026 06 04 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	3,704	54¢	$2,000	0x0f5f37…
06-04 15:31:36	Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7,055	50¢	$3,500	0xa93b2b…
06-04 00:13:46	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Knicks	BUY	6,735	49¢	$3,300	0x2e2e15…
06-04 00:04:09	Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	7,534	40¢	$3,000	0x27e540…
06-03 18:36:42	Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6,914	43¢	$3,000	0x6e087b…
06-02 18:04:30	Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5,719	44¢	$2,500	0x52d317…
06-01 22:36:10	Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	4,083	49¢	$2,000	0xd51afd…
06-01 18:08:53	Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3,965	50¢	$2,000	0x83f82a…
05-31 20:52:18	Spread: Brazil (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	1,697	29¢	$500	0xb01f94…
05-31 20:51:23	Spread: Brazil (-2.5)	Panama	BUY	2,870	52¢	$1,500	0xb8b4fa…
05-31 19:11:26	United States vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4,018	50¢	$2,000	0xfa9624…
05-31 07:00:03	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	56¢	$42	0x1235a4…
05-29 12:44:57	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	77¢	$616	0x376e6e…
05-28 18:21:18	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,183	59¢	$700	0xce2418…
05-28 09:19:50	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	BUY	127	12¢	$15	0xe98119…