Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$858

Unrealized P&L

+$43

Hit rate

22.4%

Resolved

140

Trades

1,326

lifetime

Volume

$39.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$383

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 07-06 18:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

68% 15% -$641

Politics

15% 18% -$160

Sports

8% 40% -$55

Tech

6% 0% -$19

Crypto

2% 50% +$16

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-273	-$228	93¢	$-253	-$26	05-12 13:07
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	+100	$40	72¢	$72	+$31	07-06 18:26
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+100	$18	56¢	$56	+$38	05-17 11:52
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	-3	-$3	95¢	$-3	$0	05-17 11:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dji up or down on february 13 2026	11	$2.3K	1,727	1,727	+0	Up	-$38	02-13 20:19
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	66	$2.2K	2,467	2,507	-40	Yes	-$10	02-18 01:35
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	30	$2.1K	1,655	1,695	-40	No	-$9	02-18 05:49
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	56	$1.3K	1,279	1,318	-39	Yes	+$41	02-17 00:46
spx up or down on february 11 2026	26	$1.3K	1,351	1,351	+0	Down	-$35	02-11 19:51
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	55	$1.2K	1,241	1,391	-150	No	+$62	02-17 00:45
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	28	$1.2K	1,232	1,232	+0	Yes	-$34	02-14 12:29
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	22	$1.0K	957	957	+0	No	-$64	02-15 01:59
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 220 239	110	$991	1,868	1,868	+0	No	-$34	02-16 13:16
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	40	$946	1,450	1,650	-200	Yes	+$2	02-16 01:21
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	12	$821	472	472	+0	No	-$1	02-18 03:13
nvda up or down on february 13 2026	14	$786	5,647	647	+5,000	Down	-$33	02-13 20:44
ndx up or down on february 13 2026	8	$761	495	431	+64	Up	-$38	02-13 20:55
another us government shutdown by february 14	6	$686	620	620	+0	No	-$2	02-13 11:41
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	32	$660	723	723	+0	No	-$13	02-14 14:07
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	31	$641	389	489	-100	No	-$5	02-16 09:22
donald trump of truth social posts february 10 february 17 80 99	27	$632	743	643	+100	No	-$101	02-17 01:10
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	12	$621	782	782	+0	Yes	-$5	02-13 12:35
googl close above 310 on february 12 2026	8	$598	715	715	+0	No	-$93	02-12 20:19
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 200 219	19	$576	550	700	-150	No	-$4	02-17 00:24
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	3	$541	308	308	+0	No	+$7	03-08 11:51
dji up or down on february 11 2026	10	$539	400	400	+0	Down	-$34	02-11 20:23
meta close above 650 on february 12 2026	4	$523	467	467	+0	No	-$3	02-12 20:16
spx up or down on february 13 2026	6	$515	600	400	+200	Up	+$34	02-13 20:24
spx up or down on february 17 2026	13	$511	817	337	+480	Up	+$12	02-17 20:55
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	28	$486	500	500	+0	No	-$2	02-18 09:32
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 320 339	14	$478	279	279	+0	No	-$2	02-16 08:10
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 300 319	39	$473	420	420	+0	No	+$0	02-16 13:15
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	8	$439	476	476	+0	No	+$5	02-15 10:36
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$435	1,167	1,167	+0	open	—	05-17 11:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 18:26:47	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	126	97¢	$122	0x3ba3a8…
07-06 18:26:19	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	300	42¢	$126	0xf0c423…
06-05 10:22:34	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	400	42¢	$167	0x449ab2…
06-05 10:21:25	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	758	16¢	$121	0xf3d31a…
05-17 11:53:26	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	758	18¢	$135	0xff20a0…
05-17 11:52:59	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x506d9d…
05-17 11:52:54	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xaca327…
05-17 11:49:43	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,167	19¢	$217	0x43e9fb…
05-17 11:49:35	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x02835f…
05-12 13:07:34	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,167	19¢	$218	0x9de1a7…
05-12 13:07:05	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	273	83¢	$228	0x295764…
03-16 22:30:39	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	230	93¢	$214	0xa358c2…
03-16 22:30:19	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	222	96¢	$214	0x77724a…
03-15 12:19:59	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	222	97¢	$214	0x09387c…
03-13 21:23:25	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	214	97¢	$208	0xee9837…
03-08 11:53:07	ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 tot	No	BUY	208	85¢	$177	0x0f2fd6…
03-08 11:51:15	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	188	90¢	$169	0xfe1a8d…
02-27 21:08:45	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	120	87¢	$104	0x3e64af…
02-19 10:49:36	ucl atm1 bru 2026 02 24 bru	No	BUY	37	87¢	$32	0x9601dd…
02-18 11:42:42	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	308	87¢	$267	0x08b0fb…
02-18 11:39:32	donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 100 119	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xb68127…
02-18 11:39:22	donald trump of truth social posts february 13 february 20 100 119	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xeeb1a2…
02-18 11:34:42	will russia strike kyiv on february 18 2026	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x16a6a8…
02-18 11:34:36	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0xf68cc3…
02-18 11:34:28	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x1baa24…
02-18 11:25:30	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x3869dd…
02-18 11:25:24	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xc80a00…
02-18 11:12:32	will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x93e09a…
02-18 11:12:22	will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xc1263a…
02-18 11:05:48	will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	No	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x228922…
02-18 10:20:12	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x8abe1b…
02-18 10:20:04	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x508ee3…
02-18 10:19:56	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x801472…
02-18 10:15:14	will russia strike kyiv on february 18 2026	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xfebdfb…
02-18 10:12:36	spx up or down on february 18 2026	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xb9b388…
02-18 10:12:28	spx up or down on february 18 2026	Down	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x008c74…
02-18 10:05:44	will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x1e8735…
02-18 09:51:02	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xbd798b…
02-18 09:36:52	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	No	BUY	50	91¢	$45	0x10acc2…
02-18 09:32:34	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x4ca9f9…
02-18 09:13:24	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x756770…
02-18 09:04:00	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x959394…
02-18 08:53:24	will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	No	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xfdffc1…
02-18 08:53:14	will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	No	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xae6eea…
02-18 08:51:06	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xd09b4a…
02-18 08:50:52	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x71ad7b…
02-18 08:37:48	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xb4e25e…
02-18 08:37:46	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xbc13e1…
02-18 08:37:46	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x72e6b6…
02-18 08:37:46	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2bc6c6…
02-18 08:37:46	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x098c9c…
02-18 08:37:44	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x13b4d1…
02-18 08:37:42	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7f4185…
02-18 08:37:40	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	BUY	13	82¢	$10	0x0259b0…
02-18 08:34:38	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 65 89	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc8d8e8…
02-18 08:32:40	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x88b272…
02-18 08:32:30	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xdaf6c6…
02-18 08:25:56	spx up or down on february 18 2026	Down	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x4d2515…
02-18 08:25:48	spx up or down on february 18 2026	Down	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xf03b10…
02-18 07:56:52	will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x8e8dbf…
02-18 07:56:42	will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xf3128a…
02-18 07:45:06	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$5	0xdf809d…
02-18 07:44:58	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x32d56f…
02-18 06:56:02	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xb38977…
02-18 06:26:24	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xfa06ce…
02-18 06:10:54	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x4535d7…
02-18 05:59:56	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x05c032…
02-18 05:56:10	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x76fe63…
02-18 05:56:00	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xcab079…
02-18 05:49:52	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x907ba8…
02-18 05:49:46	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x807b75…
02-18 05:49:40	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xa4840a…
02-18 05:49:34	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x9873da…
02-18 05:49:28	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x391645…
02-18 05:19:46	spx up or down on february 18 2026	Down	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0xb63aa4…
02-18 05:19:36	spx up or down on february 18 2026	Down	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xf5b98f…
02-18 05:17:46	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xb43de3…
02-18 04:59:54	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xfb9667…
02-18 04:59:46	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xb141e6…
02-18 04:58:02	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x09a42d…
02-18 04:57:50	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xc11c91…
02-18 04:27:10	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x54f120…
02-18 04:27:02	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x68ec71…
02-18 04:13:36	will wuthering heights second weekend box office be between 18m and 20pt5m	No	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0x521a60…
02-18 04:13:26	will wuthering heights second weekend box office be between 18m and 20pt5m	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xc34350…
02-18 04:04:08	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x52b3fd…
02-18 04:04:00	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xbc13bb…
02-18 04:03:08	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	SELL	44	81¢	$36	0x2b5675…
02-18 03:58:54	spx up or down on february 18 2026	Down	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x70d82a…
02-18 03:58:46	spx up or down on february 18 2026	Down	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xa4c154…
02-18 03:26:48	will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x39116c…
02-18 03:26:40	will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xf2a15b…
02-18 03:13:22	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x5929c6…
02-18 03:13:14	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x3bf0bc…
02-18 03:05:16	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	BUY	44	82¢	$36	0x8801f1…
02-18 03:03:14	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x2ac217…
02-18 03:03:04	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x25882d…
02-18 02:53:56	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	Yes	SELL	87	17¢	$15	0x576db9…
02-18 02:49:48	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 65 89	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x4d2350…
02-18 02:49:40	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 65 89	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xad8a79…