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Realized P&L (30d)
-$608
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
51.6%
Resolved (30d)
673
Trades (30d)
4,226
15,752 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$7.63K
$37.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$13
10 positions
First seen
2026-07-21
last 11-13 16:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 116 days
Categories
Other
100% 19% +$3,368
Politics
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 375 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +104 $3 3¢ $3 +$0 11-10 13:09
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? Yes +100 $2 2¢ $2 +$0 11-09 10:44
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +104 $3 2¢ $2 -$1 11-10 13:11
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on November 13? Yes +307 $2 0¢ $1 $0 11-13 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or higher on November 13? Yes +514 $1 0¢ $1 +$1 11-12 16:12
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +104 $1 1¢ $1 $0 11-10 13:11
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on November 13? Yes +104 $5 1¢ $1 -$4 11-13 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on November 13? Yes +224 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-12 16:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 13? Yes +100 $2 0¢ $0 -$1 11-13 03:42
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 13? Yes +105 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-12 16:10