(anonymous) 0x5c97e0…4b013b Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$67
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
76.0%
Resolved
314
Trades
2,301
lifetime
Volume
$4.18K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$31
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-12
last 11-06 16:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Other
87% 76% +$23
Sports
7% 0% -$94
Politics
6% 92% +$138
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 183 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 11-06 19:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 10-25 02:20
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +4 $3 91¢ $4 +$0 10-09 13:59
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31? Yes — +4 $3 86¢ $3 $0 10-26 14:25
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher? No +4 $3 79¢ $3 +$0 10-25 17:31
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? No +3 $3 95¢ $3 +$0 10-25 02:58
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +2 $2 95¢ $2 $0 11-06 18:21
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? No +3 $3 76¢ $2 $0 10-25 17:40
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$0 11-06 16:21
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 09-21 20:39
Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot? No +18 $1 7¢ $1 +$0 11-06 15:05
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 09-20 15:38