Flashy-Cashew — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$476

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

301

Trades

492

lifetime

Volume

$4.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-03 10:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 41% -$470

Other

4% 41% -$7

Sports

0% 25% +$4

Politics

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+41	$15	2¢	$1	-$14	07-22 19:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down on May 3?	7	$206	274	274	+0	Up	+$26	05-03 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	4	$161	210	210	+0	Up	+$21	05-03 07:09
Solana Up or Down on May 7?	5	$144	132	132	+0	Down	+$24	05-07 13:47
XRP Up or Down on May 4?	3	$132	137	137	+0	Up	+$32	05-04 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	3	$131	147	147	+0	Up	+$31	05-04 10:18
Ethereum Up or Down on May 4?	2	$130	141	141	+0	Up	+$30	05-04 10:18
Ethereum Up or Down on May 5?	1	$100	244	0	+244	Up	-$100	05-04 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	3	$80	94	76	+18	Down	+$20	05-12 08:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2AM ET	2	$78	73	73	+0	Up	+$68	05-03 07:20
Solana Up or Down on May 4?	4	$71	81	81	+0	Up	+$11	05-04 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	2	$67	46	46	+0	Down	+$7	05-13 06:13
Solana Up or Down on May 3?	3	$65	54	53	+0	Up	+$5	05-03 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11PM ET	2	$61	51	51	+0	Down	+$11	05-16 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$61	89	89	+0	Down	+$11	05-02 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$59	46	46	+0	Down	+$9	04-30 08:52
XRP Up or Down on May 6?	1	$55	106	0	+106	Up	+$51	05-05 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	1	$55	115	0	+115	Down	-$55	05-14 19:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	3	$54	894	0	+894	Up	-$54	05-17 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	2	$51	49	49	+0	Down	+$11	05-22 13:33
Solana Up or Down on May 5?	1	$50	98	0	+98	Up	-$50	05-04 18:47
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$50	63	0	+63	Up	-$50	05-05 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	1	$50	98	0	+98	Up	-$50	04-30 06:39
Solana Up or Down on April 28?	1	$50	89	0	+89	Down	-$50	04-28 04:09
Solana Up or Down on May 8?	3	$49	56	38	+18	Up	+$7	05-08 08:09
Ethereum Up or Down on May 27?	2	$42	41	41	+0	Down	+$2	05-27 09:23
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 07:15 UTC	3	$41	37	36	+1	Down	+$2	01-31 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?	1	$40	75	0	+75	Down	-$40	04-28 04:04
Ethereum Up or Down on May 6?	1	$40	91	0	+91	Down	-$40	05-05 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	1	$40	65	0	+65	Up	+$25	05-09 23:58
Ethereum Up or Down on May 10?	1	$40	62	0	+62	Up	+$22	05-09 23:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 10:22:21	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	PARIVISION	SELL	44	49¢	$22	0xd5e5c2…
10-03 09:41:08	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5b16e8…
10-03 09:29:44	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xbae835…
07-26 21:44:37	ethereum up or down on july 27 2026	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xb4d923…
07-22 19:21:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xc4ccfb…
06-07 08:45:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x083ff9…
06-07 08:44:21	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	6¢	$4	0x8d56dd…
06-05 03:01:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x2982cc…
06-05 02:54:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:50 UTC	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x25817e…
06-05 02:53:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5373e5…
06-05 02:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xe12492…
06-03 20:57:55	bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x442f45…
05-27 09:26:17	XRP Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xb916f8…
05-27 09:23:19	Ethereum Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	41	54¢	$22	0xce79d3…
05-27 09:20:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0x9d83fb…
05-27 09:18:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x963054…
05-27 09:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	22	79¢	$17	0x5bcdbf…
05-27 09:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xc1b953…
05-27 09:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x99d48f…
05-27 08:57:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x92ba90…
05-27 08:52:06	Ethereum Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xbcb9e6…
05-27 08:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8ad845…
05-27 08:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	21	69¢	$15	0xed708c…
05-27 08:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5f5f67…
05-23 07:36:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x7b4237…
05-23 07:33:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x13a095…
05-23 04:07:16	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xfd9d99…
05-23 03:50:19	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xecef40…
05-23 03:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb0e4a5…
05-22 22:31:14	XRP Up or Down on May 23?	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4d3532…
05-22 15:25:07	Solana Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0xd4a198…
05-22 15:25:07	Solana Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	21	68¢	$14	0x6036ab…
05-22 13:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	49	64¢	$31	0x28653f…
05-22 06:45:43	Solana Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe4779e…
05-22 06:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x9704fc…
05-22 06:34:24	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4a1e9d…
05-22 06:31:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x2276e7…
05-22 06:30:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3f55c1…
05-22 06:21:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5a989a…
05-22 05:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9ce492…
05-22 03:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9d70d0…
05-22 02:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7aa096…
05-22 02:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0xdaac91…
05-22 02:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6f66ad…
05-17 09:48:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xd1278e…
05-17 09:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xf78171…
05-17 09:38:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xad5403…
05-17 09:36:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x41e051…
05-17 09:22:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x927a23…
05-17 08:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf29beb…
05-17 08:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1c5712…
05-17 06:42:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x6bb129…
05-17 06:32:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcfb2f9…
05-17 05:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x4731de…
05-17 01:50:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x4d0d65…
05-17 01:46:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xebff6b…
05-17 01:10:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc995ec…
05-17 01:09:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	794	6¢	$50	0xa95aee…
05-17 01:09:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x4b759a…
05-16 12:57:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	12	81¢	$9	0x21d283…
05-16 12:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb3832e…
05-16 03:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	51	71¢	$36	0xc0637e…
05-16 03:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xc8ce28…
05-16 03:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd53873…
05-16 03:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x6c53b0…
05-14 23:17:34	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xfd4ffa…
05-14 21:03:36	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xeaaab6…
05-14 19:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	115	48¢	$55	0xde471d…
05-14 07:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x20ccfe…
05-13 19:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xc3043c…
05-13 06:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	46	80¢	$37	0x06d438…
05-12 19:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xefb984…
05-12 08:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9e9b20…
05-12 08:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x428797…
05-12 08:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe1a203…
05-12 08:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb53760…
05-12 08:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0xcf35bc…
05-12 08:42:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x043f05…
05-12 08:35:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe7048a…
05-12 08:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2f5a78…
05-12 08:25:42	Solana Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf9ad7b…
05-12 02:19:38	Solana Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	26	56¢	$14	0x6fa01a…
05-12 01:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	76	66¢	$50	0x39fd70…
05-11 18:38:01	Solana Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x297291…
05-11 18:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x52c159…
05-11 07:42:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x417ecd…
05-11 07:42:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1eeba7…
05-11 07:42:05	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x00395a…
05-11 07:29:34	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb0841b…
05-11 07:21:38	Solana Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa3ab16…
05-11 07:21:09	Solana Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x08a9d0…
05-11 07:15:41	Ethereum Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x3f33d9…
05-11 06:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x97538f…
05-11 06:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7acfb4…
05-11 05:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x92b9d6…
05-11 05:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc8b3d2…
05-11 05:12:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb9b56c…
05-10 19:33:21	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x4d329b…
05-10 09:45:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xdb0943…
05-10 09:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa5327c…