Tough-Dealing-Marsh — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$1.18K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved (30d)

333

Trades (30d)

6,157

62,702 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$16.4K

$356.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-24

last 11-03 01:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 55% +$6,332

Other

12% 57% -$2,522

Sports

8% 51% -$1,100

Tech

0% 100% +$63

Politics

0% 100% +$70

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 3365 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	192	$1.4K	1,176	802	+375	Down	-$197	05-25 18:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 05:00 UTC	193	$1.1K	1,798	350	+1,448	Up	+$127	08-31 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	139	$969	1,973	0	+1,973	Up	-$182	11-03 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	40	$955	1,856	0	+1,856	Up	-$322	05-29 02:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 00:15 UTC	18	$867	652	647	+5	Up	+$372	07-03 00:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 04:25 UTC	13	$813	661	650	+10	Up	+$433	07-02 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 13:15 UTC	9	$810	1,195	0	+1,195	Down	-$371	07-05 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	53	$808	1,130	670	+460	Up	-$201	05-31 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 07:15 UTC	440	$801	8,508	687	+7,821	Up	+$172	06-08 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	236	$779	8,268	323	+7,945	Down	-$209	05-25 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	15	$727	1,063	430	+634	Down	-$333	05-31 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 14:20 UTC	12	$672	1,276	0	+1,276	Down	+$166	07-05 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 00:40 UTC	142	$669	1,316	0	+1,316	Down	-$81	08-02 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	209	$644	519	307	+212	Down	+$80	05-29 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	50	$644	1,012	0	+1,012	Down	-$17	05-30 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 13:20 UTC	7	$631	922	0	+922	Down	+$291	07-05 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	316	$589	5,657	250	+5,407	Down	-$206	05-25 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	147	$585	767	386	+381	Up	+$315	05-26 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	207	$582	1,097	0	+1,097	Up	+$325	11-01 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	151	$573	1,132	0	+1,132	Down	-$272	05-29 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	46	$562	764	0	+764	Up	+$202	11-03 01:08
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	2	$557	308	308	+0	Up	+$58	06-01 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	240	$539	15,455	0	+15,455	Down	-$482	05-25 18:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	95	$529	425	425	+0	Down	-$6	06-03 13:18
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 4pt5	6	$525	526	526	-0	Haiti	+$358	06-18 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	55	$520	464	338	+126	Down	+$276	05-27 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 05:10 UTC	8	$513	420	413	+7	Up	+$278	07-02 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	50	$510	1,046	0	+1,046	Down	+$167	05-29 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	23	$509	809	0	+809	Down	+$28	06-02 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	60	$504	12,219	0	+12,219	Up	-$337	05-25 04:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 03:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3fdeeb…
11-03 02:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc9373d…
11-03 02:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcccf24…
11-03 02:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xfa35c6…
11-03 02:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbb6f2e…
11-03 02:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0xb6e253…
11-03 02:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4cb8a6…
11-03 02:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x43508c…
11-03 02:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2a0443…
11-03 02:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x15d148…
11-03 02:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc90f94…
11-03 02:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x41d69b…
11-03 02:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0x3b59e2…
11-03 02:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe23378…
11-03 02:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc5be06…
11-03 02:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0xad7493…
11-03 02:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa3e423…
11-03 02:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0x4a273d…
11-03 02:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfae692…
11-03 02:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa80620…
11-03 02:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x659e51…
11-03 02:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4e8272…
11-03 02:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x4873d8…
11-03 02:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x391e62…
11-03 02:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe57c77…
11-03 02:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xce21a8…
11-03 02:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa66273…
11-03 02:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5b4dde…
11-03 02:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x53bae3…
11-03 02:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc39001…
11-03 02:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x582ac2…
11-03 02:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x22e638…
11-03 02:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x15d906…
11-03 02:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x3bfabe…
11-03 02:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xd2c402…
11-03 02:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbb6b84…
11-03 02:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xb8990a…
11-03 02:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x886f29…
11-03 02:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7d609d…
11-03 02:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x6ee226…
11-03 02:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x22c098…
11-03 02:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0e7083…
11-03 02:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x0a4ccf…
11-03 02:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe25e58…
11-03 02:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa88286…
11-03 02:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x1b63cc…
11-03 02:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x828185…
11-03 02:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xae79fa…
11-03 02:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	83	48¢	$39	0x63ff8e…
11-03 02:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x687b8c…
11-03 02:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x3598c0…
11-03 02:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x2bb2bd…
11-03 02:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0x0d47cb…
11-03 02:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd5162a…
11-03 02:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc4a989…
11-03 02:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x8e10f1…
11-03 02:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xd52b67…
11-03 02:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	49	27¢	$13	0x9c7a1a…
11-03 02:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9dffc6…
11-03 02:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x89cd64…
11-03 02:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x050c8b…
11-03 02:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x20c071…
11-03 02:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x47c12f…
11-03 02:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfe9f03…
11-03 02:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xd13e70…
11-03 02:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x952abe…
11-03 02:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x4a6d81…
11-03 02:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xf34fbd…
11-03 02:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe060d0…
11-03 02:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9c83c9…
11-03 02:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x76befc…
11-03 02:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1f0552…
11-03 02:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x0f9561…
11-03 02:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xb930e6…
11-03 02:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x302d52…
11-03 02:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x0c8c84…
11-03 02:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xf0b262…
11-03 02:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x7f92fc…
11-03 02:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	71¢	$23	0x228fd1…
11-03 02:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x090d18…
11-03 02:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x9e25f8…
11-03 02:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x48805a…
11-03 02:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x39c1f3…
11-03 02:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x09ef5c…
11-03 02:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x1cda03…
11-03 02:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	61	61¢	$37	0x40635b…
11-03 02:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe783f6…
11-03 02:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xa44dce…
11-03 02:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x3c3d87…
11-03 02:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x320858…
11-03 02:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xe86c73…
11-03 02:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x534752…
11-03 02:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xf83455…
11-03 02:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xa180e3…
11-03 02:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x4ac513…
11-03 02:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xc7b42b…
11-03 02:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xcbec74…
11-03 02:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xcb4bf0…
11-03 02:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0x3ad230…
11-03 02:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd91dfd…