Tough-Dealing-Marsh — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1.73K

Unrealized P&L

+$72

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved (90d)

1,832

Trades (90d)

21,600

63,057 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$65.2K

$356.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$196

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-24

last 11-03 10:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 55% +$6,234

Other

12% 57% -$2,522

Sports

8% 51% -$1,100

Tech

0% 100% +$63

Politics

0% 100% +$70

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 3365 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	—	+199	$122	98¢	$196	+$74	11-03 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	—	+8	$3	2¢	$0	-$3	11-03 10:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	192	$1.4K	1,176	802	+375	Down	-$197	05-25 18:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 05:00 UTC	193	$1.1K	1,798	350	+1,448	Up	+$127	08-31 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	139	$969	1,973	0	+1,973	Up	-$182	11-03 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	40	$955	1,856	0	+1,856	Up	-$322	05-29 02:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 00:15 UTC	18	$867	652	647	+5	Up	+$372	07-03 00:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 04:25 UTC	13	$813	661	650	+10	Up	+$433	07-02 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 13:15 UTC	9	$810	1,195	0	+1,195	Down	-$371	07-05 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	53	$808	1,130	670	+460	Up	-$201	05-31 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 07:15 UTC	440	$801	8,508	687	+7,821	Up	+$172	06-08 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	236	$779	8,268	323	+7,945	Down	-$209	05-25 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	81	$736	1,110	0	+1,110	Down	+$73	11-03 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	15	$727	1,063	430	+634	Down	-$333	05-31 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 14:20 UTC	12	$672	1,276	0	+1,276	Down	+$166	07-05 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 00:40 UTC	142	$669	1,316	0	+1,316	Down	-$81	08-02 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	209	$644	519	307	+212	Down	+$80	05-29 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	50	$644	1,012	0	+1,012	Down	-$17	05-30 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 13:20 UTC	7	$631	922	0	+922	Down	+$291	07-05 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	316	$589	5,657	250	+5,407	Down	-$206	05-25 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	147	$585	767	386	+381	Up	+$315	05-26 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	207	$582	1,097	0	+1,097	Up	+$325	11-01 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	151	$573	1,132	0	+1,132	Down	-$272	05-29 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	46	$562	764	0	+764	Up	+$202	11-03 01:08
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	2	$557	308	308	+0	Up	+$58	06-01 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	240	$539	15,455	0	+15,455	Down	-$482	05-25 18:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	95	$529	425	425	+0	Down	-$6	06-03 13:18
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 4pt5	6	$525	526	526	-0	Haiti	+$358	06-18 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	55	$520	464	338	+126	Down	+$276	05-27 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 05:10 UTC	8	$513	420	413	+7	Up	+$278	07-02 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	50	$510	1,046	0	+1,046	Down	+$167	05-29 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	23	$509	809	0	+809	Down	+$28	06-02 00:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 10:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x1d24e9…
11-03 10:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x27a471…
11-03 10:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x84dbd6…
11-03 10:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xa24d6e…
11-03 10:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc8790a…
11-03 10:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa163f3…
11-03 10:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x138258…
11-03 10:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5ae068…
11-03 10:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x287d53…
11-03 10:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xab0cba…
11-03 10:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x486fcd…
11-03 10:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc8962a…
11-03 10:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc41fa6…
11-03 10:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x397225…
11-03 10:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x091545…
11-03 10:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9be771…
11-03 10:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0be98f…
11-03 10:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9de971…
11-03 10:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x6aaa4e…
11-03 10:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	66¢	$18	0x8f78ee…
11-03 10:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x3e4b31…
11-03 10:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x3509bf…
11-03 10:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfc21ad…
11-03 10:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x64570d…
11-03 10:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x003f51…
11-03 10:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x4ec9ad…
11-03 10:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xd54a42…
11-03 10:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbfe46e…
11-03 10:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	71	9¢	$6	0x236547…
11-03 10:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc07fb4…
11-03 10:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x79c4df…
11-03 10:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x77ac2a…
11-03 10:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4ffba7…
11-03 10:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1339a3…
11-03 10:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x8d2706…
11-03 10:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x289cdd…
11-03 10:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0xa2dfc0…
11-03 10:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9d8f83…
11-03 10:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x7828cd…
11-03 10:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x20d1f1…
11-03 10:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x89ae7e…
11-03 10:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x77f11f…
11-03 10:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc6f3d3…
11-03 10:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x58de54…
11-03 10:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x1774d6…
11-03 10:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xbd3fdd…
11-03 10:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9d0e09…
11-03 10:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xaf5093…
11-03 10:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x06f129…
11-03 10:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x55bfb1…
11-03 10:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x247d01…
11-03 10:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7813f1…
11-03 10:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x928278…
11-03 10:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x3a6c8d…
11-03 10:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x01868e…
11-03 10:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x59eb71…
11-03 10:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc9edad…
11-03 10:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x5716bb…
11-03 10:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xda26ee…
11-03 10:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x28998a…
11-03 10:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0xa992af…
11-03 09:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1882ad…
11-03 09:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd88cde…
11-03 09:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x398ede…
11-03 09:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xd3671f…
11-03 09:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb529db…
11-03 09:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x366103…
11-03 09:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa0cc0b…
11-03 09:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x428fd8…
11-03 09:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb6f5f2…
11-03 09:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd2c138…
11-03 09:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa2ad26…
11-03 09:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x3dcccd…
11-03 09:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x40751d…
11-03 09:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xa3a672…
11-03 09:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9ad668…
11-03 09:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xedec71…
11-03 09:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x30d52e…
11-03 09:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc809f9…
11-03 09:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x88d279…
11-03 09:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xa69a46…
11-03 09:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x919294…
11-03 09:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0x753146…
11-03 09:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x49391e…
11-03 09:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xf76b3d…
11-03 09:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	48	72¢	$34	0xb78ed5…
11-03 09:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	73¢	$24	0x907182…
11-03 09:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xdacd61…
11-03 09:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	115	72¢	$82	0xca7c77…
11-03 09:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	38	73¢	$27	0xb3d72a…
11-03 09:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9c9f61…
11-03 09:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x406332…
11-03 09:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8d3f09…
11-03 09:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xa2c56f…
11-03 09:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb421bb…
11-03 09:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x91b007…
11-03 09:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x43b2c2…
11-03 09:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x05359f…
11-03 09:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe989db…
11-03 09:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xa41fe4…