Tough-Dealing-Marsh — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1.91K

Unrealized P&L

+$86

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved (90d)

1,861

Trades (90d)

21,651

63,321 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$65.8K

$357.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$233

1 position

First seen

2026-05-24

last 11-03 14:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 54% +$6,382

Other

12% 57% -$2,522

Sports

7% 51% -$1,100

Tech

0% 100% +$63

Politics

0% 100% +$70

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 3365 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	—	+236	$147	99¢	$233	+$86	11-03 14:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	192	$1.4K	1,176	802	+375	Down	-$197	05-25 18:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 05:00 UTC	193	$1.1K	1,798	350	+1,448	Up	+$127	08-31 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	139	$969	1,973	0	+1,973	Up	-$182	11-03 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	40	$955	1,856	0	+1,856	Up	-$322	05-29 02:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 00:15 UTC	18	$867	652	647	+5	Up	+$372	07-03 00:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 04:25 UTC	13	$813	661	650	+10	Up	+$433	07-02 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 13:15 UTC	9	$810	1,195	0	+1,195	Down	-$371	07-05 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	53	$808	1,130	670	+460	Up	-$201	05-31 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 07:15 UTC	440	$801	8,508	687	+7,821	Up	+$172	06-08 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	236	$779	8,268	323	+7,945	Down	-$209	05-25 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	81	$736	1,110	0	+1,110	Down	+$73	11-03 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	15	$727	1,063	430	+634	Down	-$333	05-31 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 14:20 UTC	12	$672	1,276	0	+1,276	Down	+$166	07-05 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 00:40 UTC	142	$669	1,316	0	+1,316	Down	-$81	08-02 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	209	$644	519	307	+212	Down	+$80	05-29 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	50	$644	1,012	0	+1,012	Down	-$17	05-30 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 13:20 UTC	7	$631	922	0	+922	Down	+$291	07-05 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	316	$589	5,657	250	+5,407	Down	-$206	05-25 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	147	$585	767	386	+381	Up	+$315	05-26 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	207	$582	1,097	0	+1,097	Up	+$325	11-01 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	151	$573	1,132	0	+1,132	Down	-$272	05-29 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	46	$562	764	0	+764	Up	+$202	11-03 01:08
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	2	$557	308	308	+0	Up	+$58	06-01 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	240	$539	15,455	0	+15,455	Down	-$482	05-25 18:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	95	$529	425	425	+0	Down	-$6	06-03 13:18
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 4pt5	6	$525	526	526	-0	Haiti	+$358	06-18 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	55	$520	464	338	+126	Down	+$276	05-27 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 05:10 UTC	8	$513	420	413	+7	Up	+$278	07-02 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	50	$510	1,046	0	+1,046	Down	+$167	05-29 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	23	$509	809	0	+809	Down	+$28	06-02 00:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 14:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x4a48d3…
11-03 14:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x72fdfe…
11-03 14:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x5fed6b…
11-03 14:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0x66e078…
11-03 14:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	65¢	$21	0x1712c8…
11-03 14:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	69¢	$19	0xbed9c2…
11-03 14:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa9773c…
11-03 14:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x629ea7…
11-03 14:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x57dd9d…
11-03 14:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x76c080…
11-03 14:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x72a431…
11-03 14:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe4dd37…
11-03 14:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xccedd4…
11-03 14:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0xb389a9…
11-03 14:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7959e7…
11-03 14:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5791d4…
11-03 14:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf26c00…
11-03 14:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xd67c77…
11-03 14:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6a0fa2…
11-03 14:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd3f22c…
11-03 14:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x44494e…
11-03 14:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x931b4a…
11-03 14:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5a0c43…
11-03 14:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x1fb1a1…
11-03 14:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	62¢	$17	0x718f52…
11-03 14:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	58¢	$15	0x9b6e0c…
11-03 14:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0xa571ef…
11-03 14:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x02dac4…
11-03 14:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x3c2147…
11-03 14:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe76ddc…
11-03 14:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x67c2fa…
11-03 14:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x034983…
11-03 14:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x3a7fb9…
11-03 14:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe83230…
11-03 14:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe5864c…
11-03 14:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xacc7e8…
11-03 14:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x15279c…
11-03 14:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0925fa…
11-03 14:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd93b8a…
11-03 14:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9366e1…
11-03 14:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xb730fb…
11-03 14:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0x74865b…
11-03 14:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0xe53877…
11-03 14:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xaa1c59…
11-03 14:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x432ef8…
11-03 14:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7ceb86…
11-03 14:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd242d5…
11-03 14:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xaa54c9…
11-03 14:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x120685…
11-03 14:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xc88660…
11-03 14:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0xbbab90…
11-03 14:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xfc1f7a…
11-03 14:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0xe1f6a0…
11-03 14:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x19689c…
11-03 14:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x393e5f…
11-03 14:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8d6c5f…
11-03 14:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x242237…
11-03 14:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xaa717c…
11-03 14:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x8de5c1…
11-03 14:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1a4d31…
11-03 14:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	47	62¢	$29	0xfd078f…
11-03 14:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x509b86…
11-03 14:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x160a4b…
11-03 14:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf8f4bf…
11-03 14:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x3472ae…
11-03 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x4f2603…
11-03 14:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x93e2b4…
11-03 14:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x219510…
11-03 14:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa8ddc0…
11-03 14:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x69d745…
11-03 14:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x2c1bde…
11-03 14:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	51¢	$16	0xcf4645…
11-03 14:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	34	57¢	$19	0xa9f738…
11-03 14:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0xecdff7…
11-03 14:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xff60e8…
11-03 14:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0x1d58d6…
11-03 14:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x174a73…
11-03 14:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0x003188…
11-03 14:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xe30f6d…
11-03 14:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xda7dc4…
11-03 14:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9a48af…
11-03 14:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x61ed92…
11-03 14:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7a0d69…
11-03 14:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9218e7…
11-03 14:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x47d516…
11-03 14:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x95b817…
11-03 14:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf93fce…
11-03 14:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc2169e…
11-03 14:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x65c5ae…
11-03 14:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf2f836…
11-03 14:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xd9828f…
11-03 14:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x663284…
11-03 14:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x121877…
11-03 14:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x87acb3…
11-03 14:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x21fa1d…
11-03 14:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x61c240…
11-03 14:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfc322d…
11-03 14:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5c3043…
11-03 14:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3b4acb…
11-03 14:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xbf943b…