Tough-Dealing-Marsh — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.75K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

6,811

Trades

73,010

lifetime

Volume

$399.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-24

last 11-09 21:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 56% +$7,240

Other

10% 57% -$2,522

Sports

7% 51% -$1,100

Tech

0% 100% +$63

Politics

0% 100% +$70

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 3365 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	192	$1.4K	1,176	802	+375	Down	-$197	05-25 18:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 05:00 UTC	193	$1.1K	1,798	350	+1,448	Up	+$127	08-31 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	289	$1.1K	1,843	0	+1,843	Up	+$647	11-08 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	75	$976	1,968	0	+1,968	Down	-$128	11-08 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	139	$969	1,973	0	+1,973	Up	-$182	11-03 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	40	$955	1,856	0	+1,856	Up	-$322	05-29 02:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 00:15 UTC	18	$867	652	647	+5	Up	+$372	07-03 00:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 04:25 UTC	13	$813	661	650	+10	Up	+$433	07-02 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 13:15 UTC	9	$810	1,195	0	+1,195	Down	-$371	07-05 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	53	$808	1,130	670	+460	Up	-$201	05-31 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 07:15 UTC	440	$801	8,508	687	+7,821	Up	+$172	06-08 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	236	$779	8,268	323	+7,945	Down	-$209	05-25 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	116	$773	1,443	0	+1,443	Down	-$161	11-08 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	81	$736	1,110	0	+1,110	Down	+$73	11-03 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	15	$727	1,063	430	+634	Down	-$333	05-31 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	23	$676	1,160	0	+1,160	Down	+$61	11-03 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 14:20 UTC	12	$672	1,276	0	+1,276	Down	+$166	07-05 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 00:40 UTC	142	$669	1,316	0	+1,316	Down	-$81	08-02 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	209	$644	519	307	+212	Down	+$80	05-29 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	50	$644	1,012	0	+1,012	Down	-$17	05-30 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 13:20 UTC	7	$631	922	0	+922	Down	+$291	07-05 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	128	$614	1,077	0	+1,077	Down	-$249	11-08 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	30	$598	801	0	+801	Up	+$160	11-08 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	316	$589	5,657	250	+5,407	Down	-$206	05-25 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	147	$585	767	386	+381	Up	+$315	05-26 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	207	$582	1,097	0	+1,097	Up	+$325	11-01 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	151	$573	1,132	0	+1,132	Down	-$272	05-29 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	46	$562	764	0	+764	Up	+$202	11-03 01:08
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	2	$557	308	308	+0	Up	+$58	06-01 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	50	$556	1,054	0	+1,054	Down	+$234	11-08 01:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 22:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x06f0f4…
11-09 22:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe54164…
11-09 21:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x174e68…
11-09 21:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x92ca20…
11-09 21:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x012fb5…
11-09 21:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$6	0x7abbd0…
11-09 21:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x2e1eaf…
11-09 21:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x382e4c…
11-09 21:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x403c79…
11-09 21:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$6	0x07b8fb…
11-09 20:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x0b7aea…
11-09 20:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5ec190…
11-09 20:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0xce2bd4…
11-09 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xc7694f…
11-09 19:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	27¢	$9	0x5ece72…
11-09 17:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	258	4¢	$10	0xce0d96…
11-09 17:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x3fb14e…
11-09 15:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	57	14¢	$8	0x6c5c5d…
11-09 15:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc0b60e…
11-09 15:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x8e3e2d…
11-09 15:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0x7befb6…
11-09 15:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	76	79¢	$60	0x9de0c7…
11-09 14:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xc47311…
11-09 14:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x830d55…
11-09 14:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xbdea6c…
11-09 13:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x8a9132…
11-09 13:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	49	16¢	$8	0x0567b2…
11-09 13:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	34	33¢	$11	0x5d3189…
11-09 13:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0x30dc54…
11-09 13:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	145	3¢	$4	0x7242c5…
11-09 13:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	450	1¢	$4	0x020059…
11-09 13:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	312	4¢	$11	0x490339…
11-09 13:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0b70d2…
11-09 13:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x580971…
11-09 13:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x721d4b…
11-09 13:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0x690510…
11-09 13:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0x1a3b35…
11-09 13:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0xb934e4…
11-09 13:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x0a23ad…
11-09 13:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x4ff9f4…
11-09 12:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x26b232…
11-09 12:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x78f343…
11-09 12:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x4db791…
11-09 12:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x360284…
11-09 12:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x1dc198…
11-09 12:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xfa36a5…
11-09 12:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xd22250…
11-09 12:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x057c8b…
11-09 12:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x2448c7…
11-09 12:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x5c86fc…
11-09 12:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb82b07…
11-09 12:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xfe0025…
11-09 12:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xeb5ad7…
11-09 12:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x512bbc…
11-09 12:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x0f7f39…
11-09 11:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x63d131…
11-09 11:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0b4f19…
11-09 11:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf74138…
11-09 11:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9b54cd…
11-09 11:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xf50b38…
11-09 11:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xc73764…
11-09 11:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x518efc…
11-09 11:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xdba1af…
11-09 11:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x0cf7d3…
11-09 11:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x6bfe0a…
11-09 11:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	45	18¢	$8	0x337e94…
11-09 11:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xb55cb2…
11-09 11:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x61aff9…
11-09 11:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4e0c4c…
11-09 11:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x652028…
11-09 11:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9be62d…
11-09 11:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x77b279…
11-09 11:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x08d04e…
11-09 11:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4f422e…
11-09 11:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x6c2a2e…
11-09 11:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x523b7a…
11-09 11:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x4eba39…
11-09 11:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0xb39c29…
11-09 11:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x57d544…
11-09 11:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0x15e73f…
11-09 11:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x0efaa3…
11-09 11:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x1267d5…
11-09 11:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x42a9e3…
11-09 11:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x3a69fd…
11-09 11:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0xb784de…
11-09 11:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe97f49…
11-09 11:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa927de…
11-09 11:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x964e6e…
11-09 11:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x510566…
11-09 11:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2262d6…
11-09 11:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xaaf463…
11-09 11:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x694537…
11-09 11:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x676e20…
11-09 11:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc9faf4…
11-09 11:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcdd5b2…
11-09 11:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeb91b2…
11-09 11:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc95369…
11-09 11:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x934156…
11-09 11:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xe8ad2b…
11-09 11:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x16ce5f…