Athletic-Cement — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.3%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

4,588 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$55.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 09-03 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 188 days

Categories

Other

73% 71% -$763

Politics

16% 70% +$10

Crypto

9% 73% -$117

Sports

3% 60% -$62

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	29	$2.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$24	05-29 06:12
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	6	$705	454	454	+0	Yes	-$23	05-30 03:52
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	32	$700	391	370	+21	Yes	+$8	05-14 14:23
James Comey arrested by May 15?	12	$663	543	382	+160	Yes	-$23	04-29 14:54
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Fujian Sturgeons	5	$635	342	342	+1	Fujian Sturgeons	-$5	04-18 15:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$630	584	492	+92	No	-$97	06-01 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 28?	31	$594	309	309	+0	No	+$23	05-28 09:52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	5	$578	169	645	-476	No	-$128	05-11 06:45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$557	309	309	+0	Yes	+$57	04-14 08:23
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?	18	$531	338	350	-11	Yes	+$80	05-27 16:50
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 29?	16	$493	275	275	+0	Yes	$0	05-29 10:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?	13	$483	228	294	-66	Yes	+$21	04-30 12:17
bitcoin etf flows on april 14	11	$443	223	223	+0	Positive	+$2	04-15 06:51
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$442	242	242	+0	Yes	+$42	04-05 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 1?	7	$424	214	214	+0	No	+$4	05-01 02:59
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	4	$401	204	204	+0	Yes	+$1	04-11 13:12
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	8	$360	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-28 10:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$359	266	266	+0	No	+$1	05-26 13:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?	12	$346	151	251	-100	Yes	-$38	04-29 10:25
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 27?	14	$340	188	188	+0	No	+$35	05-27 07:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	5	$331	141	272	-131	No	-$20	05-25 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?	9	$322	203	153	+50	Yes	+$10	06-18 06:33
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	4	$318	306	286	+20	Yes	+$78	04-02 07:51
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	6	$310	257	257	+0	Yes	-$30	04-12 02:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$303	400	400	+0	Yes	-$21	05-01 01:20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?	7	$302	163	163	+0	Yes	+$7	07-22 10:37
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 20 39	4	$300	300	90	+210	No	+$0	04-01 02:53
highest temperature in hong kong on april 20 2026 26c	2	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	04-20 03:06
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 15?	9	$296	153	153	+0	Yes	+$8	05-15 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9?	9	$272	171	171	+0	Yes	+$22	06-09 15:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 11:35:27	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?	No	SELL	14	47¢	$6	0x8ea941…
09-03 08:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	146	2¢	$3	0x38b847…
09-03 06:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x7540ee…
09-03 06:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xda5ddd…
09-03 06:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xe35c08…
09-03 06:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x2b4a12…
09-03 06:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x238def…
09-02 08:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x557c5c…
09-02 06:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x4cdd8e…
09-02 06:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x7e7ef9…
09-02 06:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0x44b099…
09-02 06:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x1f9974…
09-02 05:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xcc5fae…
09-02 05:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xec7227…
09-01 10:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4cf248…
09-01 09:29:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb305b4…
09-01 09:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb207e6…
08-31 03:04:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0x1b8636…
08-28 10:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x922c47…
08-28 07:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0a6f0e…
08-28 07:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x9f7434…
08-28 07:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x7a3415…
08-28 06:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0xd73fb0…
08-28 06:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd8b7f7…
08-27 12:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$47	0x50f05d…
08-27 06:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x6b9d25…
08-27 05:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x6ac06a…
08-27 05:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x157d80…
08-27 03:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x326fee…
08-27 02:29:10	Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x097caa…
08-25 07:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xce4869…
08-25 05:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x6a830b…
08-25 05:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	64	81¢	$52	0x089375…
08-25 03:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xff9d66…
08-25 03:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	No	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0x459cb3…
08-25 02:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfa4deb…
08-25 02:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x86f43e…
08-25 02:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcd9de4…
08-25 02:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 25?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xd37160…
08-24 12:24:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe8862e…
08-24 09:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xd1d003…
08-24 07:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xf19c05…
08-24 04:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 24?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xef2595…
08-24 04:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe5c8ee…
08-24 04:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeca3b2…
08-24 04:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7497a1…
08-24 02:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 24?	No	BUY	27	82¢	$22	0x438dce…
08-21 11:42:28	will ethereum reach 2500 in august 2026	No	SELL	21	46¢	$9	0x1d896f…
08-21 07:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0xaf0f5f…
08-21 07:07:42	will ethereum reach 2500 in august 2026	No	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0xb7c7cc…
08-21 06:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x35fe26…
08-21 05:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	141	92¢	$130	0x2df0ca…
08-21 05:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc44a7a…
08-21 04:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x5bb267…
08-21 03:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 21?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0xe0c7ed…
08-21 02:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xafdd93…
08-20 11:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xc38ca6…
08-20 08:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xefff93…
08-20 08:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x0bec94…
08-20 08:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x551811…
08-20 08:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$10	0x87604b…
08-20 07:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x934e06…
08-20 06:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x8fe659…
08-19 11:46:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe15410…
08-19 05:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x5051b6…
08-19 05:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x831ce5…
08-18 06:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x3313a4…
08-18 05:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x713216…
08-18 05:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x08160a…
08-18 05:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x2eb0c2…
08-18 03:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x395fdc…
08-17 02:07:04	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x495a23…
08-12 12:37:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x546a2a…
08-12 12:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x620cc0…
08-12 12:18:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x19c3fd…
08-12 12:18:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x8d363d…
08-12 06:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?	No	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xc7f8bd…
08-12 05:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0xd491b2…
08-12 05:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x8907dc…
08-12 04:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 12?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x0321e6…
08-12 02:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xb52b40…
08-11 08:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x2e1997…
08-11 07:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x6f6998…
08-11 06:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xc88750…
08-11 06:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x43cf28…
08-11 06:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x093cc8…
08-11 06:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x3e16c1…
08-10 07:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 10?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x7ec534…
08-10 02:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x3ebd87…
08-07 12:13:07	will ethereum reach 2000 in august 2026	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x6180b4…
08-07 10:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 7?	Yes	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x04eb4f…
08-07 08:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	118	88¢	$103	0x462637…
08-07 07:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	SELL	55	5¢	$3	0x69f52d…
08-07 07:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x98b388…
08-07 07:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x008a33…
08-07 07:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x14c9c3…
08-07 07:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x720a21…
08-07 02:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xa04049…
08-07 02:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xa613ab…
08-06 10:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xb205aa…