Secondary-Cinnamon — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

62 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$15.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$250

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-08 06:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

71% 75% +$533

Politics

29% 50% -$257

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?	No		+3	$3	96¢	$3	+$0	09-29 03:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	4	$1.3K	670	670	+0	No	+$1	05-07 05:32
russia coup attempt in 2026	4	$772	424	424	+0	open	—	06-04 06:00
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	2	$770	435	435	+0	open	—	06-29 11:47
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	2	$762	387	387	+0	No	+$0	05-09 06:51
Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?	2	$747	406	406	+0	No	-$8	05-29 05:32
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	3	$720	400	400	+0	open	—	05-30 06:50
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	3	$696	369	369	+0	No	-$3	05-11 09:08
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	2	$675	354	354	+0	No	+$0	08-13 07:22
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	2	$668	356	356	+0	open	—	08-13 09:24
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	2	$662	347	347	+0	No	-$8	05-05 05:23
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?	2	$655	362	362	+0	No	+$4	05-31 06:34
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	2	$635	347	347	+0	No	-$10	06-03 08:14
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5	1	$420	456	0	+456	Over	+$36	06-07 05:04
Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	1	$409	414	0	+414	FCSB	+$5	05-11 10:06
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5	1	$398	420	0	+420	Over	+$22	06-06 06:54
Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)	1	$392	426	0	+426	Albacete Balompié	+$34	05-30 06:52
Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)	1	$391	416	0	+416	Liaoning Tieren FC	+$25	05-10 08:12
Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)	1	$389	396	0	+396	Slovenia	+$7	06-04 06:02
Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?	2	$384	200	200	+0	No	-$5	03-17 08:24
Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	1	$380	391	0	+391	RB Leipzig	+$11	05-09 07:40
Spread: Albania (-2.5)	1	$371	391	0	+391	Israel	+$20	06-03 08:16
Spread: Dinamo 1948 (-2.5)	1	$369	393	0	+393	FCSB	+$24	05-29 05:34
Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	1	$365	380	0	+380	National Bank of Egypt Club	+$15	05-07 06:15
Spread: Croatia (-2.5)	1	$361	382	0	+382	Belgium	+$21	06-02 05:10
val intz fura 2026 03 16	2	$344	190	190	+0	INTZ	+$36	03-17 07:21
Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)	1	$329	362	0	+362	BK Hacken	+$33	05-31 06:37
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)	1	$326	351	0	+351	Shandong Taishan FC	-$326	05-05 06:44
atp blanc harris 2026 03 12	1	$242	410	0	+410	Billy Harris	-$242	03-12 12:21
val bbb lyon 2026 03 11	1	$193	230	0	+230	LYON	+$37	03-11 08:39
val ae4 trn 2026 03 17	1	$188	290	0	+290	TrinitY	-$188	03-17 09:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 06:29:10	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2ea149…
09-29 03:32:32	Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x4a7c90…
08-13 09:24:42	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	SELL	356	94¢	$334	0x271717…
08-13 07:26:51	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	BUY	356	94¢	$334	0xf75bc0…
08-13 07:22:54	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	No	SELL	354	95¢	$338	0x12827c…
08-13 06:25:16	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	No	BUY	354	95¢	$338	0xfd11ec…
06-30 05:31:52	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	724	10¢	$72	0xc7890b…
06-30 03:10:52	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	364	9¢	$33	0x9f42d8…
06-30 03:10:52	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	360	9¢	$32	0x4bca7b…
06-29 11:47:47	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	435	87¢	$378	0x2aafcf…
06-08 05:00:39	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	435	90¢	$392	0xefb94e…
06-07 05:04:58	Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	456	92¢	$420	0x701ed7…
06-06 06:54:34	Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	420	95¢	$398	0xaf342b…
06-04 06:02:58	Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)	Slovenia	BUY	396	98¢	$389	0xecbf4a…
06-04 06:00:27	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	SELL	27	91¢	$25	0x1ae80b…
06-04 06:00:25	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	SELL	250	91¢	$228	0xa04137…
06-04 06:00:22	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	SELL	147	91¢	$134	0xe227bc…
06-04 02:46:40	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	BUY	424	91¢	$386	0x659378…
06-03 08:16:08	Spread: Albania (-2.5)	Israel	BUY	391	95¢	$371	0xdd6ad7…
06-03 08:14:06	Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	No	SELL	347	90¢	$312	0xf82e9a…
06-03 06:45:33	Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	No	BUY	347	93¢	$323	0xd3231f…
06-02 05:10:04	Spread: Croatia (-2.5)	Belgium	BUY	382	95¢	$361	0xf5ba18…
05-31 06:37:44	Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)	BK Hacken	BUY	362	91¢	$329	0xd54f30…
05-31 06:34:32	Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?	No	SELL	362	91¢	$329	0x61ec6c…
05-31 04:40:21	Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?	No	BUY	362	90¢	$326	0xbf17ea…
05-30 06:52:03	Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)	Albacete Balompié	BUY	426	92¢	$392	0x13345a…
05-30 06:50:09	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	63	90¢	$57	0x3ea493…
05-30 06:50:07	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	SELL	337	90¢	$303	0xc16965…
05-30 04:32:31	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?	No	BUY	400	90¢	$360	0x0d4ab2…
05-29 05:34:49	Spread: Dinamo 1948 (-2.5)	FCSB	BUY	393	94¢	$369	0xab147c…
05-29 05:32:50	Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?	No	SELL	406	91¢	$369	0x8ded9b…
05-29 02:57:28	Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?	No	BUY	406	93¢	$378	0xf15c2a…
05-14 06:34:32	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x50a08f…
05-14 06:04:33	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x6af947…
05-11 10:06:45	Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	FCSB	BUY	414	99¢	$409	0xcbe932…
05-11 09:08:15	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	369	94¢	$346	0x874d21…
05-11 07:05:15	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0x62e577…
05-11 07:04:57	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	318	95¢	$301	0x5f8d76…
05-10 08:12:57	Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)	Liaoning Tieren FC	BUY	416	94¢	$391	0xe4d2d2…
05-10 07:25:14	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	SELL	667	2¢	$13	0x68a5d3…
05-10 05:38:36	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	320	2¢	$6	0xbd2a83…
05-10 05:38:31	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	347	2¢	$6	0x3c981b…
05-09 07:40:53	Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	RB Leipzig	BUY	391	97¢	$380	0xa0ce9f…
05-09 06:51:48	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	387	98¢	$381	0xdfe828…
05-09 05:05:17	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	387	98¢	$381	0xc87b7e…
05-07 06:15:31	Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	National Bank of Egypt Club	BUY	380	96¢	$365	0x466bca…
05-07 05:32:48	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	No	SELL	370	98¢	$362	0xf570ca…
05-07 02:32:22	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	No	BUY	370	98¢	$361	0x181a26…
05-06 08:32:58	Spread: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5)	Matsumoto Yamaga FC	BUY	374	3¢	$12	0xc8389b…
05-06 08:32:54	Spread: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5)	Matsumoto Yamaga FC	BUY	380	3¢	$12	0xe5bb85…
05-06 07:37:04	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$289	0x9e616b…
05-06 06:06:38	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$289	0x0870c5…
05-05 06:44:46	Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)	Shanghai Shenhua FC	BUY	351	93¢	$326	0x9fcae1…
05-05 05:23:12	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	SELL	347	94¢	$327	0x1e9b02…
05-05 04:44:12	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	BUY	347	97¢	$335	0x6c2299…
03-17 09:02:59	val ae4 trn 2026 03 17	Alter Ego	BUY	290	65¢	$188	0xa99eb3…
03-17 08:24:45	Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$189	0x7a3725…
03-17 07:22:11	Will Milena Moreira win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x50659a…
03-17 07:21:21	val intz fura 2026 03 16	INTZ	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0x58d3ee…
03-16 07:28:49	val intz fura 2026 03 16	INTZ	BUY	190	81¢	$154	0xfc58e2…
03-12 12:21:41	atp blanc harris 2026 03 12	Darwin Blanch	BUY	410	59¢	$242	0xf62993…
03-11 08:39:29	val bbb lyon 2026 03 11	LYON	BUY	230	84¢	$193	0x9c1fbc…