Realized P&L (7d)
-$73
Unrealized P&L
+$133
Hit rate
18.6%
Resolved (7d)
13
Trades (7d)
225
225 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3.66K
$3.66K lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$820
16 positions
First seen
2026-10-26
last 11-02 18:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
44% 0% -$34
Other
43% 55% -$39
Pop-Culture
13% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,284 $322 34¢ $441 +$119 11-02 07:42
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +200 $163 82¢ $165 +$2 11-02 17:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +57 $55 98¢ $55 +$0 11-02 18:30
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +50 $35 66¢ $33 -$1 10-31 05:17
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +50 $34 66¢ $33 -$1 10-31 07:49
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +41 $31 74¢ $31 +$0 11-02 17:25
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +56 $5 34¢ $19 +$14 11-01 13:38
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No +14 $13 96¢ $13 +$0 10-30 17:12
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +46 $8 22¢ $10 +$2 11-02 12:17
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +10 $9 84¢ $8 $0 10-30 17:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +22 $6 24¢ $5 -$1 10-30 10:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +3 $3 76¢ $3 $0 10-30 10:01
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +9 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 10-30 19:01
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? Yes +20 $1 7¢ $1 $0 10-31 19:47
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes +14 $2 4¢ $1 -$2 10-30 16:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +0 $0 74¢ $0 +$0 10-30 02:47