Realized P&L (30d)
-$91
Unrealized P&L
+$387
Hit rate
57.8%
Resolved (30d)
27
Trades (30d)
527
526 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$10.3K
$10.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$3.67K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-26
last 11-12 16:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
54% 62% -$31
Politics
29% 20% -$88
Crypto
9% 75% +$7
Pop-Culture
8% 50% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will USD/JPY hit 110 (Low) in 2026? No +784 $780 100¢ $783 +$3 11-08 18:48
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,538 $293 34¢ $529 +$236 11-09 03:34
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +533 $505 96¢ $511 +$6 11-11 00:13
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No +501 $494 99¢ $496 +$2 11-03 17:39
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +202 $166 87¢ $176 +$10 11-09 21:08
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +155 $153 99¢ $153 +$1 11-08 01:11
Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +141 $128 95¢ $134 +$6 11-04 14:09
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +116 $94 83¢ $96 +$2 11-09 04:43
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +215 $13 37¢ $79 +$67 11-12 14:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting? Yes +116 $56 60¢ $69 +$13 11-10 14:47
Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? No +73 $67 94¢ $68 +$1 11-09 20:57
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +101 $69 63¢ $64 -$5 11-12 14:40
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? No +64 $63 97¢ $62 $0 11-10 02:07
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? No +49 $46 98¢ $48 +$1 11-12 13:58
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +49 $42 92¢ $45 +$3 11-11 01:18
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +202 $43 21¢ $43 -$1 11-10 14:42
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +44 $27 95¢ $41 +$15 11-10 23:45
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 $0 11-07 21:09
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +50 $34 66¢ $33 -$1 10-31 07:49
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +50 $35 66¢ $33 -$2 11-03 20:30
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +56 $16 43¢ $24 +$8 11-11 20:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +24 $19 97¢ $24 +$4 11-04 16:49
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +33 $22 65¢ $21 -$1 11-10 03:28
Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +20 $19 97¢ $20 +$0 11-05 17:26
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +50 $2 34¢ $17 +$15 11-03 17:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting? No +17 $17 99¢ $17 +$0 11-10 16:21
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No +14 $13 99¢ $14 +$1 10-30 17:12
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026? No +13 $12 95¢ $12 $0 10-30 17:59
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +17 $7 57¢ $10 +$3 11-11 14:58
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$0 11-09 17:39