Realized P&L (90d)
-$91
Unrealized P&L
+$324
Hit rate
57.1%
Resolved (90d)
29
Trades (90d)
681
681 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$12.5K
$12.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$4.31K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-26
last 11-14 00:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
58% 62% -$31
Politics
28% 20% -$88
Crypto
8% 50% +$7
Pop-Culture
6% 50% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +1,314 $1,275 97¢ $1.3K -$1 11-13 04:53
Will USD/JPY hit 110 (Low) in 2026? No +784 $780 100¢ $783 +$3 11-08 18:48
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +533 $505 96¢ $510 +$4 11-11 00:13
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No +501 $494 99¢ $497 +$3 11-03 17:39
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +562 -$41 35¢ $197 +$238 11-12 19:24
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +155 $153 99¢ $153 +$1 11-08 01:11
Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +141 $128 95¢ $134 +$6 11-04 14:09
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +312 $44 32¢ $100 +$56 11-14 00:08
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +101 $69 68¢ $69 +$0 11-12 14:40
Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? No +73 $67 94¢ $68 +$1 11-09 20:57
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? No +64 $63 97¢ $62 $0 11-10 02:07
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +324 $70 16¢ $52 -$18 11-13 16:12
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? No +49 $46 98¢ $48 +$1 11-12 13:58
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +49 $42 92¢ $45 +$3 11-11 01:18
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 $0 11-07 21:09
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +50 $35 66¢ $33 -$2 11-03 20:30
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +50 $34 65¢ $33 -$1 10-31 07:49
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +30 $29 96¢ $28 $0 11-12 19:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +24 $19 97¢ $24 +$4 11-04 16:49
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +33 $22 68¢ $22 $0 11-10 03:28
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +56 $16 39¢ $22 +$6 11-11 20:16
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +50 $2 34¢ $17 +$15 11-03 17:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting? No +17 $17 99¢ $17 +$0 11-10 16:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +202 $16 8¢ $16 $0 11-13 22:46
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No +14 $13 99¢ $14 +$1 10-30 17:12
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026? No +13 $12 96¢ $12 +$0 10-30 17:59
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +17 $7 61¢ $10 +$3 11-11 14:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +25 $10 40¢ $10 +$0 11-13 17:57
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$0 11-09 17:39
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-13 07:23