Glorious-Leaver — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$32

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,686 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.93K

$38.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-02 12:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 57% -$509

Other

7% 29% -$164

Politics

0% 20% -$41

Sports

0% 38% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	Yes		+66	$10	8¢	$5	-$4	10-02 12:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	6	$619	407	407	+0	Up	+$19	05-17 15:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$615	364	364	+0	Down	+$15	05-17 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	5	$605	507	507	+0	Up	+$5	05-20 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	6	$525	403	403	+0	Down	+$25	05-20 04:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$342	212	212	+0	Up	+$42	05-17 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	4	$337	289	289	+0	Up	+$37	05-20 05:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:35 UTC	6	$335	223	223	+0	Down	+$35	06-04 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	4	$329	210	210	+0	Down	+$29	05-20 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$322	190	190	+0	Up	+$22	05-20 10:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$320	219	219	+0	Down	+$20	05-17 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	6	$307	197	197	+0	Up	+$27	05-18 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$285	192	192	+0	Down	-$15	05-20 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	5	$282	203	203	+0	Up	-$18	05-20 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$282	182	182	+0	Up	+$82	05-17 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	5	$280	256	184	+71	Down	-$20	05-19 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	4	$276	226	226	+0	Up	-$24	05-20 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	4	$271	271	271	+0	Up	-$29	05-20 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$258	194	136	+58	Down	-$42	05-17 15:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$238	179	179	+0	Up	+$38	05-17 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$236	169	169	+0	Up	+$36	05-16 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$235	152	152	+0	Up	+$35	05-17 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$233	167	167	+0	Up	+$33	05-20 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$233	270	149	+121	Up	-$46	05-20 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$231	364	149	+215	Down	-$169	05-20 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$231	192	192	+0	Down	+$31	05-18 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$230	137	137	+0	Down	+$30	05-18 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:15 UTC	5	$229	177	177	+0	Down	+$49	06-04 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$226	157	157	+0	Down	+$26	05-16 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$225	126	126	+0	Up	+$25	05-16 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$220	157	157	+0	Up	+$20	05-19 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 12:26:36	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	Yes	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x9ef0df…
09-19 13:00:20	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	344	11¢	$38	0x41f61a…
08-10 03:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x46a11a…
08-10 03:50:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x85a355…
08-10 03:49:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x82d8d8…
08-10 03:42:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x200cb2…
08-10 03:41:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:40 UTC	Up	SELL	51	55¢	$28	0x4ae9e2…
08-10 03:40:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x4d11c7…
08-10 03:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:35 UTC	Up	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0xc39e3d…
08-10 03:39:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:35 UTC	Up	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x814cd3…
08-10 03:38:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xd7f6f4…
08-10 03:34:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	29	74¢	$21	0xcc4c78…
08-10 03:30:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x5c1f7c…
08-10 03:26:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x518806…
08-10 03:25:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:25 UTC	Up	SELL	49	72¢	$35	0x920972…
08-10 03:24:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x32d783…
08-10 03:20:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	38	84¢	$32	0x223035…
08-10 03:20:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x08ac39…
08-10 03:09:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:05 UTC	Up	SELL	71	97¢	$68	0xb2f7c4…
08-10 03:06:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x07887d…
08-10 03:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x2d5197…
08-10 03:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x9c6c5a…
08-09 18:43:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x2c59f0…
08-09 18:41:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	54	47¢	$25	0x59fa8b…
08-09 18:36:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x37faa1…
08-09 18:35:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x6ed512…
08-09 18:21:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 18:20 UTC	Up	SELL	39	75¢	$29	0xd27be3…
08-09 18:20:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x88694e…
08-09 18:11:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x8940c5…
08-09 18:09:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	45	97¢	$43	0xbb15eb…
08-09 18:05:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x3709ee…
08-09 17:59:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 17:55 UTC	Up	SELL	186	45¢	$84	0x607e5c…
08-09 17:58:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	186	5¢	$10	0x50e13b…
08-09 17:58:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 17:55 UTC	Up	SELL	53	85¢	$45	0x7fb784…
08-09 17:55:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x77c59c…
08-09 17:52:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xb6b093…
08-09 17:51:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x367574…
08-09 07:53:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x1ae3a5…
08-09 07:46:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x2dd572…
08-09 07:44:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:40 UTC	Up	SELL	13	79¢	$11	0x302e59…
08-09 07:44:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:40 UTC	Up	SELL	26	77¢	$20	0xc5e919…
08-09 07:41:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x468b71…
08-09 07:39:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe458c8…
08-09 07:35:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x8f0c65…
08-09 07:08:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:05 UTC	Up	SELL	45	81¢	$37	0x33d24d…
08-09 07:05:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xdff0d7…
08-09 07:04:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x209274…
08-09 07:04:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	29	71¢	$21	0xefdb91…
08-09 07:01:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x7cdeda…
08-09 06:59:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:55 UTC	Up	SELL	54	82¢	$45	0xc49f3c…
08-09 06:56:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xc86a3e…
08-09 06:32:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0xb522ae…
08-09 06:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:25 UTC	Up	SELL	51	78¢	$40	0xed5c9b…
08-09 06:26:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x601abd…
08-09 06:24:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x6fe5fc…
08-09 06:18:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	34	87¢	$29	0x75d6b7…
08-09 06:18:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x489b79…
08-09 06:18:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	34	82¢	$28	0xf84c00…
08-09 06:16:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x97416c…
08-09 06:13:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:10 UTC	Up	SELL	64	82¢	$53	0x817d51…
08-09 06:13:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x989204…
08-09 06:11:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xc90943…
08-09 06:09:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	49	92¢	$45	0xd183ad…
08-09 06:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xd89de0…
08-09 06:08:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x23e595…
08-09 06:08:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	52	76¢	$39	0x19d847…
08-09 06:07:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xfd7438…
08-09 06:04:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	22	83¢	$18	0xb17e7e…
08-09 06:03:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x2ceb93…
08-09 06:02:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	30	73¢	$22	0x878592…
08-09 06:01:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xe94702…
08-09 05:57:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x88e1d0…
08-09 05:56:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:55 UTC	Up	SELL	34	85¢	$29	0xaa9656…
08-09 05:54:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x691bc3…
08-09 05:47:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0x46db22…
08-09 05:45:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x6ae5c7…
08-09 05:42:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xa175d5…
08-09 05:41:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xb859e4…
08-09 05:38:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc50fb8…
08-09 05:36:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xbc8063…
08-09 05:34:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0xe9f2bd…
08-09 05:33:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x279671…
08-09 05:29:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x82aad5…
08-09 05:29:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:25 UTC	Up	SELL	32	84¢	$27	0x8515d8…
08-09 05:29:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x0f645e…
08-09 05:26:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:25 UTC	Up	SELL	22	64¢	$14	0x4f1c37…
08-09 05:26:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x5344ec…
07-12 06:55:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xa9eb22…
07-12 06:16:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x365cfb…
07-12 06:11:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xe89bd4…
07-12 05:59:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:55 UTC	Down	SELL	47	75¢	$35	0x8904b3…
07-12 05:59:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xd65596…
07-12 05:58:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:55 UTC	Down	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0xe3c565…
07-12 05:57:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x478a18…
07-12 05:55:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xb86c39…
07-12 05:53:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x89f5d0…
07-12 05:53:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:50 UTC	Down	SELL	81	65¢	$52	0x184463…
07-12 05:52:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x632b4d…
07-12 05:50:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xface75…
07-12 05:50:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x76cb7a…