Wiggly-Put — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$258

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

1,195

Trades

1,762

lifetime

Volume

$86.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-03-15

last 08-22 04:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 87% -$258

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+20	$19	98¢	$20	+$0	08-22 04:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	30	$1.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$718	04-10 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 12:45 UTC	1	$196	200	0	+200	Up	+$4	03-25 12:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 03:00 UTC	6	$192	100	99	+1	Down	+$1	03-30 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 16:30 UTC	1	$191	200	0	+200	Down	+$9	03-24 16:38
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 09:15 UTC	2	$191	100	99	+1	Down	+$2	03-30 09:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 09:15 UTC	1	$190	200	0	+200	Up	+$10	03-24 09:25
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:00 UTC	6	$190	100	99	+1	Up	+$3	03-30 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 15:30 UTC	1	$190	200	0	+200	Down	+$10	03-25 15:39
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 22:45 UTC	2	$189	200	0	+200	Up	+$11	03-24 22:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 11:30 UTC	1	$189	200	0	+200	Down	+$11	03-25 11:42
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 05:15 UTC	1	$189	200	0	+200	Down	+$11	03-25 05:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 00:30 UTC	1	$189	200	0	+200	Up	+$11	03-25 00:37
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 06:45 UTC	9	$189	100	99	+1	Down	+$4	03-30 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 17:45 UTC	1	$188	200	0	+200	Up	+$12	03-24 17:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 04:00 UTC	2	$188	100	99	+1	Up	+$5	03-30 04:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 13:30 UTC	1	$188	200	0	+200	Up	+$12	03-25 13:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 00:15 UTC	1	$188	200	0	+200	Down	+$12	03-25 00:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 20:15 UTC	1	$188	200	0	+200	Up	+$12	03-24 20:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 09:30 UTC	1	$188	200	0	+200	Up	+$12	03-24 09:40
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 14:15 UTC	8	$188	200	0	+200	Up	+$12	03-24 14:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 07:45 UTC	4	$187	100	99	+1	Up	+$6	03-30 07:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:15 UTC	2	$187	100	99	+1	Down	+$6	03-30 14:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 08:30 UTC	1	$187	200	0	+200	Up	+$13	03-25 08:33
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:15 UTC	4	$186	100	99	+1	Up	+$7	03-30 13:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 02:45 UTC	3	$186	100	99	+1	Up	+$7	03-30 02:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 15:00 UTC	1	$186	200	0	+200	Down	+$14	03-25 15:09
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 11:00 UTC	4	$186	200	0	+200	Down	+$14	03-24 11:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 18:00 UTC	1	$186	200	0	+200	Up	+$14	03-24 18:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 13:00 UTC	5	$186	200	0	+200	Down	+$14	03-24 13:09
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 12:00 UTC	1	$186	200	0	+200	Down	-$186	03-25 12:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 04:24:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xd95b88…
05-18 07:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x431b72…
05-18 07:19:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	79¢	$14	0xf7b1df…
05-18 03:32:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xc4eaaf…
05-18 02:18:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x6134a0…
05-17 23:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xaaab83…
05-17 22:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xaa37c3…
05-17 22:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x757cd0…
05-17 22:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xffbd9e…
05-17 20:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0xc6efcd…
05-17 20:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x473a22…
05-17 18:03:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x89b741…
05-17 14:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x1ed280…
05-17 14:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xabb36a…
05-17 12:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0xa070c6…
05-17 10:32:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0xa81572…
05-17 08:19:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0x752dfa…
05-17 03:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x459c5c…
05-17 03:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfab2c2…
05-17 01:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xffdb87…
05-17 01:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xfa5a6d…
05-17 01:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x9c0709…
05-16 17:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0x836c4e…
05-16 16:04:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x1705c6…
05-16 12:33:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x0229bc…
05-16 12:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	75¢	$16	0x51041a…
05-16 10:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x5470ff…
05-16 02:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	72¢	$17	0x5b640f…
05-16 01:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x7ba2e8…
05-15 21:48:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$3	0xbe907c…
05-15 21:48:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x839ec2…
05-15 21:48:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xdbb847…
05-15 21:48:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$9	0x98afa7…
05-15 19:03:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x086aad…
05-15 18:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	77¢	$18	0x7a435b…
05-15 18:17:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x14472d…
05-15 18:04:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	79¢	$18	0xc8a7ca…
05-15 16:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x2a5b3d…
05-15 16:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0x277c58…
05-15 16:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3bd4e6…
05-15 14:48:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x316cbb…
05-15 13:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xea7b46…
05-15 13:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	78¢	$14	0x46b567…
05-15 11:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0xe0e8c2…
05-15 11:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb8b925…
05-15 11:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa60693…
05-15 11:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x4cbbe1…
05-15 11:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x383711…
05-15 11:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x0d7013…
05-15 08:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x486cc5…
05-15 06:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x3eb120…
05-15 05:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x436c82…
05-15 05:03:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0xbbec2f…
05-15 02:33:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0x975fb0…
05-15 00:48:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x33aa31…
05-15 00:48:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x014f67…
05-15 00:47:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc4e20d…
05-15 00:47:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x213b12…
05-15 00:47:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd97293…
05-15 00:33:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	77¢	$22	0xd51595…
05-14 22:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	78¢	$22	0x79c728…
05-14 22:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x4b7cbc…
05-14 20:47:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0x57cb69…
05-14 20:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	74¢	$21	0xbabd21…
05-14 19:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	79¢	$22	0xb83ef8…
05-14 14:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x6f9a93…
05-14 14:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x01a133…
05-14 14:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x2a3166…
05-14 14:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf7f86d…
05-14 12:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x89019f…
05-14 12:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x64c471…
05-14 12:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x491e21…
05-14 12:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xcb5cf8…
05-14 12:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	75¢	$16	0x292624…
05-14 10:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xdcd607…
05-14 10:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x24073e…
05-14 10:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x942b81…
05-14 10:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x1ec721…
05-14 10:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1d36e5…
05-14 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xeb8528…
05-14 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0d2539…
05-14 10:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x1d5c01…
05-14 10:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	76¢	$24	0xaddefb…
05-14 04:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	79¢	$24	0xd84920…
05-14 00:32:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4e12f7…
05-13 20:33:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x4a3373…
05-13 20:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0xa71394…
05-13 20:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	78¢	$8	0x3b062a…
05-13 19:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x2d4b6a…
05-13 15:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0x2874fe…
05-13 12:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x498801…
05-13 12:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x4af8ce…
05-13 10:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	77¢	$22	0xf3a5d4…
05-13 09:32:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0x1f71ce…
05-13 07:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	80¢	$22	0xaa6b4e…
05-13 06:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	77¢	$21	0x32af2b…
05-13 05:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	75¢	$20	0x3da9fc…
05-13 04:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0x505a7f…
05-13 00:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xdfed1e…
05-13 00:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x3ebb44…