Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
open
Total volume
$8,860
Trades
1,293
Unique wallets
241
Liquidity
$16,613
Latest YES mid
48¢
Latest NO mid
52¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 00:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+3.5¢
(top1%: 41% YES on $3.4K
vs crowd: 38% YES on $7.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 39 | $1.8K | $2.5K | $610 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 65 | $750 | $2.0K | $1.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 68 | $210 | $380 | $170 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 69 | $169 | $114 | +$55 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 39 | $1.4K | $2.0K | $610 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 31 | $358 | $903 | $546 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 28 | $68 | $394 | $327 |
| Median | 23 | $48 | $74 | $26 |
| Below median | 48 | $59 | $196 | $137 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 27 | $424 | $355 | +$69 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 31 | $496 | $857 | $361 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $10 | $62 | $52 |
| unranked | 10 | $90 | $46 | +$44 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winged-Maker 0x1437…acfe | Up | +1,000 | $10 | $10 | 18 | 05-15 00:42 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +587 | $94 | $94 | 11 | 05-15 00:42 |
| Quixotic-Cultivar 0x3d1e…f604 | Down | +471 | $428 | $428 | 7 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Funny-Keyboarding 0xa665…01e3 | Up | +400 | $85 | $85 | 10 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | +386 | $122 | $122 | 13 | 05-15 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xed8d…9c21 | Up | +386 | $240 | $240 | 30 | 05-15 00:43 |
| Upbeat-Necktie 0x48ea…3e30 | Down | +340 | $138 | $138 | 38 | 05-15 00:42 |
| Used-Down 0xe016…949a | Down | +309 | $306 | $306 | 3 | 05-15 00:42 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +306 | $67 | $67 | 13 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | +304 | $301 | $301 | 3 | 05-15 00:43 |
| Upbeat-Necktie 0x48ea…3e30 | Up | +279 | $178 | $178 | 31 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | +265 | $60 | $60 | 15 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Tired-Art 0xa64d…cad1 | Down | +264 | $258 | $258 | 2 | 05-15 00:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e | Down | +253 | $86 | $86 | 46 | 05-15 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xed8d…9c21 | Down | +251 | $110 | $110 | 32 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Up | +243 | $140 | $140 | 46 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Down | +220 | $69 | $69 | 32 | 05-15 00:42 |
| Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | +219 | $219 | $219 | 1 | 05-15 00:44 |
| Impassioned-Botany 0x9826…983b | Down | +176 | $174 | $174 | 1 | 05-15 00:42 |
| Colorful-Pipe 0xb373…2aa2 | Down | +176 | $174 | $174 | 1 | 05-15 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e | Up | +170 | $126 | $126 | 43 | 05-15 00:41 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | +167 | $45 | $57 | 3 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Up | +166 | $44 | $44 | 14 | 05-15 00:41 |
| International-Glimpse 0xf54b…7843 | Down | +153 | $150 | $150 | 3 | 05-15 00:42 |
| Concrete-Beanstalk 0xdcd2…dae3 | Up | +150 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 00:43 |
| Concrete-Beanstalk 0xdcd2…dae3 | Down | +150 | $124 | $124 | 3 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Second-Igloo 0xe361…5ff5 | Down | +144 | $143 | $143 | 1 | 05-15 00:42 |
| Foolish-Thinking 0x997b…785a | Up | +139 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-15 00:43 |
| Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | +136 | $20 | $20 | 18 | 05-15 00:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x97d1…801b | Up | +130 | $10 | $10 | 8 | 05-15 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd901…8e14 | Down | +120 | $57 | $57 | 22 | 05-15 00:42 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Down | +119 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-15 00:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x4336…e51c | Up | +115 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 05-15 00:42 |
| Obvious-Letter 0xa484…b12c | Up | +109 | $97 | $97 | 4 | 05-15 00:34 |
| Ornate-Poverty 0x881a…0321 | Up | +104 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Ornate-Poverty 0x881a…0321 | Down | +104 | $100 | $100 | 3 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Frozen-Milepost 0xaed7…92d3 | Down | +103 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 05-15 00:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | +102 | $52 | $52 | 19 | 05-15 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd901…8e14 | Up | +102 | $79 | $79 | 24 | 05-15 00:40 |
| Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail 0x7e5d…c4c3 | Up | +101 | $60 | $60 | 11 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail 0x7e5d…c4c3 | Down | +100 | $24 | $24 | 14 | 05-15 00:40 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Up | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1f5…224a | Down | +97 | $71 | $83 | 12 | 05-15 00:42 |
| Mortified-Nightclub 0x4b5c…8aa4 | Down | +85 | $25 | $25 | 9 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Mortified-Nightclub 0x4b5c…8aa4 | Up | +83 | $27 | $27 | 8 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Severe-Sole 0x621e…0caf | Up | +81 | $19 | $19 | 7 | 05-15 00:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x866c…b8be | Down | +80 | $74 | $74 | 3 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Hoarse-Airship 0x6680…160f | Down | +79 | $79 | $79 | 1 | 05-15 00:43 |
| Tender-Idea 0xbb20…1f06 | Down | +78 | $70 | $70 | 4 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Dry-Innovation 0xba0b…a926 | Up | +78 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 05-15 00:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Up | +76 | $57 | $57 | 18 | 05-15 00:40 |
| Severe-Sole 0x621e…0caf | Down | +76 | $17 | $17 | 13 | 05-15 00:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x424e…263b | Up | +75 | $56 | $56 | 6 | 05-15 00:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb | Up | +73 | $64 | $64 | 11 | 05-15 00:39 |
| Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008 | Up | +60 | $36 | $36 | 6 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Up | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 00:44 |
| Periodic-Setback 0x8e84…cb71 | Up | +49 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 05-15 00:42 |
| Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535 | Up | +47 | $44 | $44 | 3 | 05-15 00:34 |
| Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | +46 | $43 | $43 | 3 | 05-15 00:34 |
| Valuable-Curl-Caribou 0xb6a9…9298 | Up | +45 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 05-15 00:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 00:44:38 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Up | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39bac7… |
| 05-15 00:44:38 | Unlawful-Glucose-Eyebrows 0xc127…ee33 | Up | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39bac7… |
| 05-15 00:44:38 | Sandy-Tussle 0x8da2…ab27 | Up | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39bac7… |
| 05-15 00:44:38 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | BUY | 219 | 100¢ | $219 | 0x39bac7… |
| 05-15 00:44:38 | (anonymous) 0x7535…f222 | Up | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39bac7… |
| 05-15 00:44:38 | Slow-Wing 0x62f5…453f | Up | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39bac7… |
| 05-15 00:44:38 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Up | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x39bac7… |
| 05-15 00:44:36 | Growling-Preservation 0x7dbb…2096 | Down | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xf51b67… |
| 05-15 00:44:36 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Up | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12fbbb… |
| 05-15 00:44:36 | Growling-Preservation 0x7dbb…2096 | Down | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x33c676… |
| 05-15 00:44:36 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Up | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x33c676… |
| 05-15 00:44:36 | Bouncy-Roadway-Bassoon 0x4f9a…104b | Up | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x33c676… |
| 05-15 00:44:36 | Enormous-Ritual 0x4979…bd15 | Down | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xa5df78… |
| 05-15 00:44:36 | Enormous-Ritual 0x4979…bd15 | Down | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x12fbbb… |
| 05-15 00:44:36 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Up | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa5df78… |
| 05-15 00:44:36 | Slow-Wing 0x62f5…453f | Up | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa5df78… |
| 05-15 00:44:36 | Bouncy-Roadway-Bassoon 0x4f9a…104b | Up | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf51b67… |
| 05-15 00:44:34 | (anonymous) 0x9dc6…d565 | Up | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6d36e3… |
| 05-15 00:44:34 | (anonymous) 0x9dc6…d565 | Up | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x958dd9… |
| 05-15 00:44:34 | Growling-Preservation 0x7dbb…2096 | Down | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x6d36e3… |
| 05-15 00:44:34 | Growling-Preservation 0x7dbb…2096 | Down | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x958dd9… |
| 05-15 00:44:27 | Valuable-Curl-Caribou 0xb6a9…9298 | Up | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8ace64… |
| 05-15 00:44:27 | Made-Up-Stock 0x0493…d1fa | Down | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x8ace64… |
| 05-15 00:44:22 | Valuable-Curl-Caribou 0xb6a9…9298 | Up | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x824dfb… |
| 05-15 00:44:22 | Valuable-Curl-Caribou 0xb6a9…9298 | Up | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x380030… |
| 05-15 00:44:22 | Enormous-Ritual 0x4979…bd15 | Down | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x380030… |
| 05-15 00:44:22 | Enormous-Ritual 0x4979…bd15 | Down | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x824dfb… |
| 05-15 00:44:20 | Appropriate-Vagrant 0x5cd4…9aab | Down | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x5c7384… |
| 05-15 00:44:20 | Valuable-Curl-Caribou 0xb6a9…9298 | Up | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c7384… |
| 05-15 00:44:20 | Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf | Down | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4c25d5… |
| 05-15 00:44:20 | Valuable-Curl-Caribou 0xb6a9…9298 | Up | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c25d5… |
| 05-15 00:43:54 | Concrete-Beanstalk 0xdcd2…dae3 | Up | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x09f235… |
| 05-15 00:43:54 | Dependent-Curler 0xe53f…06d7 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x09f235… |
| 05-15 00:43:54 | Crisp-Impress 0x32e8…5567 | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x09f235… |
| 05-15 00:43:54 | Insignificant-Nod 0x4d1f…6465 | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x09f235… |
| 05-15 00:43:54 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 45 | 99¢ | $45 | 0x09f235… |
| 05-15 00:43:54 | Hoarse-Airship 0x6680…160f | Down | BUY | 79 | 100¢ | $79 | 0x09f235… |
| 05-15 00:43:54 | Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf | Up | SELL | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x30d6df… |
| 05-15 00:43:54 | Decimal-Bike 0x9341…d75f | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x09f235… |
| 05-15 00:43:54 | (anonymous) 0xed8d…9c21 | Up | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0952ee… |
| 05-15 00:43:54 | Spiffy-Sailboat 0xd91e…bf1d | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x0952ee… |
| 05-15 00:43:54 | Dual-Fishing 0x0e43…9296 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe29402… |
| 05-15 00:43:54 | (anonymous) 0xed8d…9c21 | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe29402… |
| 05-15 00:43:54 | (anonymous) 0xed8d…9c21 | Up | BUY | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x30d6df… |
| 05-15 00:43:49 | Original-Snowstorm 0xebad…d9e5 | Down | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x81ba17… |
| 05-15 00:43:49 | Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x01679c… |
| 05-15 00:43:49 | Wasteful-Roundabout 0x1331…97c2 | Down | BUY | 44 | 99¢ | $44 | 0x81ba17… |
| 05-15 00:43:49 | Cruel-Collaboration 0x1ccb…a91e | Up | SELL | 47 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x81ba17… |
| 05-15 00:43:49 | Foolish-Thinking 0x997b…785a | Up | BUY | 129 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x81ba17… |
| 05-15 00:43:49 | (anonymous) 0xed8d…9c21 | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x01679c… |
| 05-15 00:43:37 | Indolent-Sprag 0xd491…2ce9 | Down | BUY | 41 | 100¢ | $41 | 0xabe4c3… |
| 05-15 00:43:37 | Cruel-Collaboration 0x1ccb…a91e | Up | BUY | 41 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xabe4c3… |
| 05-15 00:43:30 | Ugly-Sip 0x71a6…ff12 | Down | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xba4b97… |
| 05-15 00:43:30 | Dull-Loyalty 0x6d6c…e6dd | Down | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xae711f… |
| 05-15 00:43:30 | Cruel-Collaboration 0x1ccb…a91e | Up | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xba4b97… |
| 05-15 00:43:30 | Cruel-Collaboration 0x1ccb…a91e | Up | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xae711f… |
| 05-15 00:43:21 | Lustrous-Extremist 0x0eab…7de3 | Down | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x67134e… |
| 05-15 00:43:21 | Cruel-Collaboration 0x1ccb…a91e | Up | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x67134e… |
| 05-15 00:43:19 | Cruel-Collaboration 0x1ccb…a91e | Up | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe6fa82… |
| 05-15 00:43:19 | (anonymous) 0x5b9e…187a | Down | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe6fa82… |
| 05-15 00:42:42 | Indolent-Folder 0xdd1e…ccc9 | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xc4de45… |
| 05-15 00:42:42 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xc4de45… |
| 05-15 00:42:41 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Down | BUY | 255 | 99¢ | $252 | 0x230ab2… |
| 05-15 00:42:41 | Winged-Maker 0x1437…acfe | Up | BUY | 144 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x472fc6… |
| 05-15 00:42:41 | Winged-Maker 0x1437…acfe | Up | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x51946d… |
| 05-15 00:42:41 | Verifiable-Health 0x18b0…995c | Down | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x51946d… |
| 05-15 00:42:41 | Winged-Maker 0x1437…acfe | Up | BUY | 230 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x230ab2… |
| 05-15 00:42:41 | Alarmed-Almanac 0x454c…2324 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x230ab2… |
| 05-15 00:42:41 | Adventurous-Dredger 0x1f93…6d5d | Down | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x230ab2… |
| 05-15 00:42:41 | Second-Igloo 0xe361…5ff5 | Down | BUY | 144 | 99¢ | $143 | 0x472fc6… |
| 05-15 00:42:39 | Winged-Maker 0x1437…acfe | Up | BUY | 76 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb7e542… |
| 05-15 00:42:39 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Up | SELL | 76 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb7e542… |
| 05-15 00:42:30 | Profuse-Score 0xc571…c74e | Up | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x517bfe… |
| 05-15 00:42:30 | Winged-Maker 0x1437…acfe | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x517bfe… |
| 05-15 00:42:30 | Tragic-Beech 0x82e2…0cf6 | Up | SELL | 27 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7535a0… |
| 05-15 00:42:30 | Winged-Maker 0x1437…acfe | Up | BUY | 27 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7535a0… |
| 05-15 00:42:27 | Winged-Maker 0x1437…acfe | Up | BUY | 55 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb1e632… |
| 05-15 00:42:27 | Snoopy-Puggle 0xf94e…72ec | Down | BUY | 55 | 99¢ | $54 | 0xb1e632… |
| 05-15 00:42:23 | Used-Down 0xe016…949a | Down | BUY | 103 | 99¢ | $102 | 0x6d74fd… |
| 05-15 00:42:23 | Used-Down 0xe016…949a | Down | BUY | 103 | 99¢ | $102 | 0x87dcc4… |
| 05-15 00:42:23 | Winged-Maker 0x1437…acfe | Up | BUY | 96 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6d74fd… |
| 05-15 00:42:23 | Winged-Maker 0x1437…acfe | Up | BUY | 103 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xde589b… |
| 05-15 00:42:23 | Loud-Township 0x5c46…753d | Down | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x6d74fd… |
| 05-15 00:42:23 | Winged-Maker 0x1437…acfe | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf7df6a… |
| 05-15 00:42:23 | Practical-Chromolithograph 0x555e…64d4 | Down | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0xb2154e… |
| 05-15 00:42:23 | Used-Down 0xe016…949a | Down | BUY | 103 | 99¢ | $102 | 0xde589b… |
| 05-15 00:42:23 | Dependent-Blister 0x8e9d…fd5c | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf7df6a… |
| 05-15 00:42:23 | Winged-Maker 0x1437…acfe | Up | BUY | 103 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x87dcc4… |
| 05-15 00:42:23 | Winged-Maker 0x1437…acfe | Up | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb2154e… |
| 05-15 00:42:21 | (anonymous) 0xed8d…9c21 | Up | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xddd413… |
| 05-15 00:42:21 | Adventurous-Dredger 0x1f93…6d5d | Down | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xddd413… |
| 05-15 00:42:18 | Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04 | Down | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xfc91e9… |
| 05-15 00:42:18 | (anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e | Down | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xfc91e9… |
| 05-15 00:42:18 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 41 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xfc91e9… |
| 05-15 00:42:18 | Upbeat-Necktie 0x48ea…3e30 | Down | BUY | 17 | 97¢ | $16 | 0xfc91e9… |
| 05-15 00:42:09 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 42 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x800990… |
| 05-15 00:42:09 | (anonymous) 0xa1f5…224a | Up | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x15c5c5… |
| 05-15 00:42:09 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x800990… |
| 05-15 00:42:09 | (anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e | Down | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x800990… |
| 05-15 00:42:09 | (anonymous) 0x97d1…801b | Up | BUY | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x934d97… |