Rich-Confusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$33

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-16 02:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

82% 0% $-3

Politics

15% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$1	62	+62	Yes	$-1	04-28 05:49
Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?	1	$1	128	+128	open	—	04-28 05:35
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	open	—	04-28 05:48
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 29?	1	$1	102	+102	open	—	04-28 06:08
Will Trump dance today?	1	$1	500	+500	open	—	04-28 05:49
Will NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	12	+12	open	—	04-28 05:54
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?	1	$1	12	+12	open	—	04-28 06:06
Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $640 in April?	1	$1	200	+200	open	—	04-28 06:00
Will Trump say "Muslim" during King Charles visit?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	04-28 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 28?	1	$1	128	+128	open	—	04-28 05:30
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	1	$1	12	+12	open	—	04-28 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C or higher on April 29?	1	$1	269	+269	open	—	04-28 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 29?	1	$1	188	+188	open	—	04-28 06:09
Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	1	$1	20	+20	No	$-1	04-28 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 29?	1	$1	254	+254	open	—	04-28 06:08
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$1	125	+125	No	$-1	04-28 05:50
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	1	$1	18	+18	open	—	05-16 02:16
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 29?	1	$1	199	+199	open	—	04-28 06:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	open	—	04-28 05:42
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 29?	1	$1	196	+196	open	—	04-28 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on April 29?	1	$1	163	+163	open	—	04-28 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on April 29?	1	$1	178	+178	open	—	04-28 06:08
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?	1	$1	29	+29	open	—	04-28 06:01
Bitcoin ETF Flows on April 28?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	04-28 05:59
Will "BEEF: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	1	$1	6	+6	open	—	04-28 05:38
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	1	$1	17	+17	open	—	04-28 05:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	04-28 05:34
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	04-28 05:48
Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-28 05:40
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	1	$1	33	+33	open	—	04-28 05:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 02:16:28	Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x192a19…
04-28 06:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	188	1¢	$1	0x38cf0a…
04-28 06:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	196	1¢	$1	0x41dd78…
04-28 06:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	199	1¢	$1	0x28211f…
04-28 06:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 46°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	178	1¢	$1	0x3bcc06…
04-28 06:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	269	0¢	$1	0x2e9eea…
04-28 06:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	254	0¢	$1	0x5b891d…
04-28 06:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x5fcefc…
04-28 06:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on April 29?	No	BUY	163	1¢	$1	0x220186…
04-28 06:06:46	Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8c1369…
04-28 06:05:10	Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7ed6c2…
04-28 06:01:56	Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?	Down	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x9d0a9c…
04-28 06:00:26	Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $590 in April?	Yes	BUY	178	1¢	$1	0x90c2a7…
04-28 06:00:08	Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $640 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xcf2419…
04-28 05:59:34	Bitcoin ETF Flows on April 28?	Negative	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf9bc72…
04-28 05:54:08	Will NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x746715…
04-28 05:50:08	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x65d422…
04-28 05:49:52	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x88ec61…
04-28 05:49:08	Will Trump dance today?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0d77bd…
04-28 05:48:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdb6048…
04-28 05:48:26	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x12fd0c…
04-28 05:47:18	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0de5e6…
04-28 05:45:12	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1f3880…
04-28 05:42:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x31d4c3…
04-28 05:40:06	Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6ed4a5…
04-28 05:38:54	Will "BEEF: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x31fdeb…
04-28 05:38:18	Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0d2754…
04-28 05:36:42	Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc33d11…
04-28 05:35:58	Will Hong Kong have between 160-170mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	128	1¢	$1	0xf35ec4…
04-28 05:34:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x104a5b…
04-28 05:33:10	Will Trump say "Queen" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x462dbd…
04-28 05:32:34	Will Trump say "Muslim" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe4a908…
04-28 05:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	128	1¢	$1	0xb98d45…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	23	$1.17K	178	05-29 20:46
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	19	$29.1K	2,210	05-01 06:11
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	15	$55.0K	1,155	06-01 00:34
Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6	13	$6.57K	117	04-28 10:44
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	13	$2.03K	638	05-06 07:32
Blue-Gelatin 0x0f60…026a	13	$1.02K	29	04-28 09:23
(anonymous) 0x5aec…904b	12	$12.5K	199	04-27 15:51
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	11	$3.61K	435	05-29 22:06