Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$111

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$56

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-25

last 10-03 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

72% 100% +$6

Politics

28% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	+30	$29	95¢	$29	+$0	08-26 19:57
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	+12	$11	97¢	$12	+$0	08-25 09:21
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	+13	$10	62¢	$8	-$2	08-25 11:28
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+12	$9	64¢	$8	-$2	08-25 15:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 00:54:21	Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4f37df…
08-26 20:34:46	Will Iran target Iraq by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb38ae7…
08-26 19:57:12	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x87e871…
08-26 18:05:40	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xcb6c9a…
08-26 18:03:34	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x71cdd9…
08-26 09:04:22	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x08556c…
08-25 15:13:55	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0x5ffa93…
08-25 11:28:42	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	81¢	$10	0xea5e24…
08-25 09:21:00	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe4b094…
08-25 09:20:33	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x913007…
08-25 07:03:03	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x94e3fa…
08-25 05:44:13	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xa0af05…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	3	$29	30	+30	open	—	08-26 19:57
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	2	$11	12	+12	open	—	08-25 09:21
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	08-25 11:28
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?	1	$10	14	+14	No	+$4	08-25 07:03
Will Iran target Iraq by August 31, 2026?	1	$10	11	+11	No	+$1	08-26 20:34
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	1	$10	11	+11	No	+$1	08-26 09:04
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?	1	$10	11	+11	No	+$1	08-25 05:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	1	$9	12	+12	open	—	08-25 15:13
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	1	$8	9	+9	Yes	+$1	08-26 18:03
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	10-03 00:54