Affectionate-Response — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$691

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-02 11:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

39% 50% +$9

Crypto

39% 100% +$8

Other

21% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$67	56	56	+0	open	—	05-29 07:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$64	37	37	+0	open	—	04-28 09:39
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	3	$35	52	28	+24	open	—	03-05 08:50
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	2	$35	27	27	+0	open	—	03-03 14:17
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$30	25	25	+0	open	—	03-06 11:50
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	2	$27	25	25	+0	open	—	03-05 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 08:20
will qatar strike iran by march 31	2	$26	19	19	+0	open	—	03-10 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$25	76	0	+76	open	—	05-29 07:17
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	2	$23	37	37	+0	open	—	03-03 15:36
will trump say china 3 times during tech signing event on wednesday	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	03-04 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$20	54	0	+54	open	—	05-02 00:18
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	03-29 09:31
btc updown 5m 1774053300	2	$19	18	15	+3	open	—	03-21 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$18	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$17	54	0	+54	open	—	05-02 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	9	$17	100	100	+0	open	—	04-30 08:04
btc updown 5m 1774776600	2	$16	12	11	+0	open	—	03-29 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	05-02 00:07
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	1	$14	27	0	+27	open	—	04-24 11:42
us strike on somalia by march 7 324	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	03-09 12:14
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	03-04 17:18
Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-28 13:02
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	1	$10	42	0	+42	open	—	06-02 11:24
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	1	$10	36	0	+36	open	—	03-04 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-02 02:38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	05-06 09:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$10	24	0	+24	Yes	+$14	03-03 13:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-04 13:13
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	2	$10	110	110	+0	open	—	03-04 08:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 11:24:50	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x854f57…
05-29 07:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	56	75¢	$42	0x9d21b2…
05-29 07:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x86484e…
05-29 07:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xa41030…
05-29 07:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2a1c09…
05-06 09:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	18	71¢	$13	0x6a66e9…
05-06 09:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6154e0…
05-06 09:49:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x4121ad…
05-04 13:13:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd6cd1f…
05-04 13:13:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x3405a9…
05-02 02:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x576147…
05-02 00:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x5db1de…
05-02 00:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x858b00…
05-02 00:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0xd3c571…
05-02 00:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xec77a4…
04-30 08:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x947e66…
04-30 08:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xb32360…
04-30 08:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xcbe62f…
04-30 08:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xcd0d63…
04-30 08:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x1ff92c…
04-30 08:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	28	12¢	$3	0x97a8c9…
04-30 08:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0x645f52…
04-30 08:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x227b60…
04-30 08:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	30	12¢	$4	0xa8c33d…
04-30 08:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x99cd9a…
04-30 08:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x79ce8e…
04-30 08:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x631f6a…
04-30 08:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x38afe6…
04-30 08:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x5ca968…
04-28 13:04:12	Will Trump say "Windsor" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9c7f0d…
04-28 13:03:22	Will Trump say "Muslim" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x91e158…
04-28 13:02:34	Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x739928…
04-28 09:39:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xdcfea6…
04-24 11:42:30	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0xefc805…
04-20 08:10:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	37	76¢	$28	0x61fc68…
03-29 09:35:52	btc updown 5m 1774776600	Down	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9a8f6b…
03-29 09:32:42	btc updown 5m 1774776600	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x87de36…
03-29 09:31:36	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x9ebcaf…
03-21 00:39:27	btc updown 5m 1774053300	Down	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0x627da1…
03-21 00:35:55	btc updown 5m 1774053300	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2a8d25…
03-10 00:39:07	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0x097bdc…
03-09 12:14:49	us strike on somalia by march 7 324	No	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xda2c14…
03-06 11:50:19	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	25	79¢	$20	0xab8169…
03-06 08:08:19	us strike on somalia by march 7 324	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x045a13…
03-05 08:50:09	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x36cd18…
03-05 07:48:19	btc updown 5m 1772696700	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x31dd1b…
03-05 01:03:59	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	SELL	25	53¢	$13	0x315f63…
03-04 21:00:37	will trump say china 3 times during tech signing event on wednesday	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x8d42f6…
03-04 17:34:13	war powers resolution passes the senate	Yes	BUY	31	19¢	$6	0x726c75…
03-04 17:18:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x2a7014…
03-04 12:18:55	will trump say china 3 times during tech signing event on wednesday	Yes	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x24ac94…
03-04 08:36:03	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x8e960a…
03-04 08:22:57	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x736099…
03-04 08:05:05	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	Yes	SELL	110	4¢	$5	0x15e607…
03-03 23:34:09	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x787ef7…
03-03 23:29:15	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	Yes	BUY	110	5¢	$5	0x68be74…
03-03 23:22:19	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x87f725…
03-03 23:21:35	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x85d3b9…
03-03 15:36:35	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	SELL	37	36¢	$13	0x9c6572…
03-03 14:17:13	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0x94dae4…
03-03 13:08:17	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x8fc57e…
03-03 13:04:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x1ab15b…
03-03 13:03:03	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	Yes	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0xf753bf…
03-03 12:58:21	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xad1d5d…
03-03 12:46:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xae8831…
03-03 12:45:05	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x6dfc0d…