Unfinished-Weird — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$282

Unrealized P&L

-$112

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

325 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.09K

$14.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$280

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-01 21:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

90% 55% +$470

Politics

5% 100% +$35

Sports

5% 33% +$92

Tech

0% 0% -$10

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+141	$100	74¢	$105	+$5	08-25 06:12
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+2,857	$200	4¢	$101	-$99	07-20 16:55
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+94	$50	72¢	$67	+$17	09-14 03:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	+70	$42	8¢	$6	-$36	10-28 19:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	2	$1.2K	686	686	+0	Yes	+$185	06-29 22:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$696	515	515	+0	No	+$36	06-25 11:08
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?	2	$629	330	330	+0	Yes	+$29	05-02 15:45
Natural Disaster in 2026?	12	$344	208	208	+0	open	—	11-01 21:43
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$297	617	617	+0	No	+$97	07-09 19:03
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	3	$256	263	154	+109	Yes	-$34	06-22 07:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	2	$249	149	149	+0	Yes	+$49	09-09 09:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$243	143	143	+0	No	+$43	05-01 11:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$241	141	141	+0	No	+$41	06-01 08:44
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$234	139	139	+0	Yes	+$34	04-12 18:42
peter mandelson charged by march 31	2	$220	122	122	+0	No	+$20	03-30 18:04
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	2	$220	120	120	+0	Yes	+$20	06-14 22:34
spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	2	$212	116	116	+0	Up	+$12	06-09 12:09
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$201	158	158	+0	open	—	10-27 14:22
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	1	$200	250	0	+250	Yes	+$50	06-19 22:14
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$200	2,857	0	+2,857	open	—	07-20 16:55
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$199	146	146	+0	No	-$1	06-22 16:14
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$180	943	943	+0	No	-$20	06-17 21:22
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	2	$175	128	128	+0	Yes	+$55	07-06 20:54
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	2	$159	111	111	+0	Yes	+$39	07-10 20:52
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	2	$156	98	98	+0	Yes	+$36	07-09 21:48
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-10-11?	2	$155	95	95	+0	Yes	+$35	10-11 07:58
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	2	$148	98	98	+0	Yes	+$48	06-17 22:22
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$144	89	89	+0	England	+$24	07-11 23:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	4	$139	121	119	+2	No	+$19	04-13 16:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	2	$138	175	175	+0	Yes	+$38	09-11 10:20
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	4	$136	100	100	+0	open	—	08-11 10:00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$135	106	106	+0	Yes	+$35	03-05 07:06
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	2	$128	78	78	+0	Yes	+$28	03-01 16:07
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	2	$126	76	76	+0	Yes	+$26	06-24 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 21:43:43	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	SELL	208	96¢	$199	0x054fff…
10-28 19:03:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xa02277…
10-28 19:01:04	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x429f04…
10-28 19:01:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xd32b00…
10-28 19:00:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xf126ac…
10-28 18:59:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x106335…
10-27 14:22:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	158	64¢	$101	0xcbf179…
10-27 11:52:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0xb4264a…
10-24 16:46:47	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0xc2adf3…
10-24 09:59:09	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x5dc48b…
10-21 20:50:15	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	56	96¢	$53	0x4a951d…
10-21 20:44:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x9e3a5e…
10-21 20:34:18	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	42	25¢	$11	0x2ff819…
10-21 19:38:20	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xd5eb0f…
10-21 19:32:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x5ca42f…
10-21 19:25:59	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x4fda67…
10-17 10:35:02	Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x3511e2…
10-16 19:15:22	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xbd61f1…
10-11 07:58:39	Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xfeb6c5…
10-11 06:10:24	Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0x3f45ac…
10-10 17:05:57	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x1b064b…
10-10 13:23:12	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	74	96¢	$71	0x8d8c46…
10-10 11:01:43	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x471708…
09-20 16:27:03	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x9e5b06…
09-19 14:11:11	Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x5f637d…
09-19 12:53:23	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	SELL	60	15¢	$9	0x751efd…
09-19 11:58:00	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x63b25b…
09-19 11:27:26	Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-09-19?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x7f9677…
09-19 10:58:25	Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x203294…
09-19 08:36:03	Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x21dc0d…
09-19 08:34:57	Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x3be5e8…
09-14 11:30:18	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xf07e26…
09-14 03:47:03	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x21727f…
09-14 03:06:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xc1da5d…
09-12 11:49:27	Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xb35978…
09-12 11:40:19	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xda1e35…
09-12 11:40:06	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x7c6552…
09-12 11:40:04	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x5d938a…
09-12 09:45:12	Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x2e4031…
09-12 09:45:10	Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x34a44d…
09-12 02:10:45	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	SELL	70	86¢	$61	0xbcea36…
09-12 00:04:28	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xe75bb1…
09-11 10:20:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	SELL	175	50¢	$88	0x87bc4a…
09-11 01:26:52	US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina	Coco Gauff	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xa27bc5…
09-09 12:31:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	BUY	175	29¢	$50	0x3c331d…
09-09 12:01:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?	Down	SELL	67	76¢	$51	0xb27e82…
09-09 10:52:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x99e9fc…
09-09 09:17:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	Yes	SELL	149	100¢	$149	0x57b6b8…
09-06 12:17:58	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x4eef5e…
09-06 12:14:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x7e6606…
09-05 13:15:00	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x9bdf6f…
09-05 13:14:54	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x969575…
09-05 12:45:43	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xbdff83…
09-05 12:41:04	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x0f06f8…
09-02 23:37:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x10a462…
09-02 08:20:57	Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x30a5e7…
08-30 15:36:30	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xdabf29…
08-30 15:33:07	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xb3dd92…
08-26 12:48:22	spx opens up or down on august 26 2026	Up	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0xee5dd5…
08-26 09:19:58	spx opens up or down on august 26 2026	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xbb17ff…
08-25 21:11:30	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-25?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xabab5c…
08-25 18:59:01	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-25?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x79c101…
08-25 06:12:28	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x6d2583…
08-23 18:53:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x71648d…
08-22 10:47:09	Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xdb6b8a…
08-20 08:19:06	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x697986…
08-11 10:00:03	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x5caef8…
08-08 22:39:04	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xf23cda…
08-08 20:15:00	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x2c312d…
08-08 18:22:19	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x245f0f…
08-08 16:30:57	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x56d6db…
08-08 16:30:07	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xef22e0…
08-08 16:29:00	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x69ff87…
08-04 09:56:53	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xfefeb8…
08-04 07:23:09	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x4a3563…
08-04 06:41:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xb0c05d…
08-03 21:20:15	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3c11e3…
08-03 21:19:02	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	44	66¢	$29	0xdfb0cf…
08-03 21:17:42	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	51	66¢	$34	0x14a6af…
08-03 03:02:12	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x382bf8…
08-02 19:54:56	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x6159eb…
08-02 19:52:33	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x18f0e6…
08-02 19:43:47	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x41ae73…
07-20 16:55:19	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,857	7¢	$200	0xf92f11…
07-15 20:01:17	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xf55576…
07-11 23:41:26	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	SELL	89	95¢	$84	0x9381e0…
07-11 22:08:50	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	89	67¢	$60	0x507b81…
07-10 20:52:35	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	111	89¢	$99	0x63e2cf…
07-10 20:02:46	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	111	54¢	$60	0xc6cab8…
07-09 21:48:11	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	98	98¢	$96	0x01ea96…
07-09 20:05:25	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	98	61¢	$60	0xeb74ae…
07-09 19:03:47	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	617	32¢	$197	0xaeb9da…
07-07 22:40:44	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	SELL	64	47¢	$30	0x741748…
07-07 22:06:11	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xaf4ef8…
07-07 21:31:16	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x1f1e37…
07-07 20:25:17	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x73bdb8…
07-07 17:32:23	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	189	2¢	$3	0xc22b8b…
07-07 17:03:11	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	189	11¢	$20	0xdcadef…
07-06 20:54:01	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	SELL	128	90¢	$115	0xd1a967…
07-06 19:17:11	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	128	47¢	$60	0x85a9e2…