Realized P&L (30d)
+$2.62K
Unrealized P&L
-$343
Hit rate
99.2%
Resolved (30d)
4
Trades (30d)
34
34 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.96K
$2.96K lifetime
Avg / trade
$87
Open exposure
$758
17 positions
First seen
2026-10-25
last 10-28 17:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
81% 100% +$2,630
Other
18% 0% -$5
Crypto
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +202 $200 97¢ $196 -$4 10-27 08:15
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +596 $100 21¢ $123 +$23 10-26 06:01
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +152 $100 68¢ $104 +$4 10-26 06:06
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +173 $100 59¢ $103 +$3 10-26 06:01
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +127 $100 78¢ $98 -$2 10-28 17:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +52 $50 96¢ $50 +$0 10-27 08:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +36 $10 40¢ $14 +$4 10-27 08:12
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 10-27 08:12
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 10-27 08:31
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 10-26 06:15
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $0 10-26 06:12
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +50 -$3 16¢ $8 +$11 10-28 17:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +71 $10 12¢ $8 -$2 10-26 06:10
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +258 $390 3¢ $8 -$382 10-27 08:27
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +6 $1 52¢ $3 +$2 10-26 06:27
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +9 $1 13¢ $1 +$0 10-26 06:26
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +6 $1 17¢ $1 +$0 10-27 08:31