Extroverted-Aggradation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$169

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

23.0%

Resolved

141

Trades

439

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-26 03:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Sports

52% 4% -$14

Other

32% 48% +$184

Politics

15% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		+10	$2	17¢	$2	$0	10-26 03:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?	11	$1.4K	864	864	+0	No	+$103	05-29 08:36
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$658	330	330	+0	No	$0	05-20 07:01
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$519	260	260	+0	No	$0	05-21 10:11
Will Brighton finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	2	$499	250	250	+0	No	$0	04-04 15:29
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$497	250	250	+0	No	$0	05-21 04:34
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$457	230	230	+0	open	—	05-14 16:29
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$439	220	220	+0	No	+$0	03-30 14:42
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$420	410	410	+0	No	$0	05-19 11:33
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$419	210	210	+0	No	$0	05-22 04:53
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$404	570	570	+0	open	—	06-28 16:24
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$399	200	200	+0	No	$0	05-19 05:21
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$391	200	200	+0	open	—	05-21 08:20
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$377	190	190	+0	open	—	05-14 12:24
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$367	190	190	+0	No	$0	05-17 09:44
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$359	180	180	+0	No	$0	04-20 03:25
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$354	180	180	+0	No	-$1	04-12 03:07
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$354	180	180	+0	No	$0	05-20 04:24
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$339	170	170	+0	No	$0	04-07 09:48
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$339	170	170	+0	No	$0	05-14 00:27
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$330	180	180	+0	No	$0	05-20 08:48
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-19 14:05
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-20 00:26
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-19 14:38
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-21 18:33
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$319	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-21 17:07
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$318	160	160	+0	No	$0	05-21 22:43
Will Bournemouth finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	1	$160	160	0	+160	No	+$0	03-30 14:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 26?	5	$88	60	59	+1	No	+$31	05-26 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 25?	2	$86	60	60	+0	No	+$34	05-25 14:19
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 26?	5	$86	60	59	+1	No	+$33	05-26 07:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 03:45:41	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x9d3ac5…
07-09 17:57:14	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	180	1¢	$1	0x6217a3…
07-09 10:18:07	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x4054d8…
07-08 01:12:59	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x934797…
07-07 17:59:11	Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xe888f7…
07-07 16:07:52	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$2	0x293ee3…
07-07 13:36:58	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x014d96…
07-07 01:03:13	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x82a23e…
07-06 12:08:38	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x88811c…
07-06 00:25:19	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0xfee160…
07-05 21:31:04	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x6d27a4…
07-05 12:11:16	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x771cb8…
07-05 10:01:08	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0xa21134…
07-05 06:18:23	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$1	0x33cd32…
07-05 03:40:13	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$1	0x0e18d4…
07-05 03:12:23	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0x432728…
07-05 01:50:28	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x592dc7…
07-04 08:01:55	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$1	0x7c18f4…
07-04 05:50:41	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$1	0x3cf9e8…
07-03 23:42:05	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$1	0x730d5c…
07-03 19:34:31	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0x73b203…
07-03 14:51:10	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	230	1¢	$1	0x98a4f0…
07-03 13:25:53	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$2	0xee19e9…
07-01 05:15:35	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$1	0x5a52ba…
07-01 01:36:43	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$1	0x0ee640…
06-30 22:25:22	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$1	0xe57bb4…
06-30 17:19:31	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0x5deb23…
06-29 21:32:47	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$1	0x033576…
06-29 13:52:44	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0xf15550…
06-28 16:24:01	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$2	0x3d9b89…
06-28 13:55:35	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	180	1¢	$1	0x80a833…
06-28 11:30:26	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x53b78d…
06-28 07:46:14	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x283a26…
06-28 04:06:10	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$2	0xc5a815…
06-28 00:08:01	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	220	1¢	$1	0xf830c2…
06-27 22:51:28	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x7b72e3…
06-27 18:17:35	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	220	1¢	$2	0xe3371c…
06-27 15:05:22	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x87f586…
06-27 13:33:43	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x626a10…
06-26 07:37:14	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$1	0x8745e1…
06-26 07:00:02	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$1	0x776b43…
06-26 06:06:07	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0x873c2c…
06-26 06:00:38	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$1	0x28e7a1…
06-26 04:40:56	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0x71bf10…
06-26 00:08:37	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x487382…
06-25 20:39:31	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	180	1¢	$1	0x2fe0ae…
06-25 18:10:29	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x569a76…
06-25 17:42:13	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$1	0x1c8711…
06-25 14:15:01	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$1	0x17a9fc…
06-25 13:37:56	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$1	0x768c8c…
06-25 06:34:19	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	240	1¢	$1	0x382d96…
06-25 01:24:20	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	240	1¢	$2	0x1b72f2…
06-24 21:58:23	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$1	0xbfb6b3…
06-24 21:31:10	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0xf57ea1…
06-24 20:42:14	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$1	0x8d4ade…
06-24 18:58:49	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$2	0xe51763…
06-24 17:36:55	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0x105fea…
06-24 14:17:04	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$1	0xedf8a2…
06-24 06:05:50	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0xcfc9ad…
06-23 12:51:55	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	180	1¢	$1	0x19ac57…
06-23 10:22:04	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0xa14479…
06-22 20:50:53	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0x057c73…
06-22 14:24:34	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x586bb6…
06-22 13:14:46	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	180	1¢	$1	0x12b09a…
06-22 09:02:13	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$1	0x638441…
06-22 05:23:23	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$1	0x010b9c…
06-21 19:55:43	Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x35ac58…
06-19 18:35:29	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	230	14¢	$31	0x941755…
06-01 04:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?	No	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0x99110b…
06-01 04:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1?	No	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x46699d…
05-31 09:49:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?	No	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xad3805…
05-31 09:34:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?	No	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x359ebf…
05-31 08:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 31?	No	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0xa3b7df…
05-31 06:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 31?	No	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x7ff2d2…
05-31 06:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 31?	No	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0xca8b69…
05-31 06:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 31?	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xfe395a…
05-31 03:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on May 31?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xb59b11…
05-30 03:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 30?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x50320a…
05-30 02:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xcf317c…
05-30 02:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 30?	No	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x3540a9…
05-29 22:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29?	No	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x74d2de…
05-29 16:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?	No	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x0538a8…
05-29 13:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xfbadf9…
05-29 13:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x09c14a…
05-29 13:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x439900…
05-29 13:33:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd77ab9…
05-29 13:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xef2ecb…
05-29 13:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6aeea4…
05-29 11:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc923c1…
05-29 11:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x68ba86…
05-29 10:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd67890…
05-29 10:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 29?	No	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xaf4f1e…
05-29 10:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 29?	No	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x278952…
05-29 10:14:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 29?	No	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x926292…
05-29 09:02:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 29?	No	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xb10fb9…
05-29 09:01:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 29?	No	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x5e0094…
05-29 08:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?	No	SELL	796	85¢	$677	0x238763…
05-29 08:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?	No	SELL	56	89¢	$50	0xc0e1c5…
05-29 08:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x0aec82…
05-29 06:27:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x029a4b…