Focused-Porcelain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.30K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.3%

Resolved

641

Trades

4,176

lifetime

Volume

$152.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 09-10 00:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Other

71% 66% -$1,366

Sports

23% 64% -$4

Politics

3% 77% +$39

Crypto

3% 83% +$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	27	$2.8K	1,926	1,926	+0	No	-$515	07-06 01:29
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	19	$2.4K	1,910	1,485	+425	Portugal	-$304	07-03 01:04
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	28	$2.4K	1,252	1,252	+0	No	+$44	06-27 04:58
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	16	$1.9K	1,164	940	+224	No	+$20	03-28 03:24
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	23	$1.9K	2,336	759	+1,578	England	+$773	07-06 02:52
lol blg t1 2026 07 04	62	$1.6K	1,725	1,725	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$17	07-04 10:39
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	39	$1.5K	1,360	1,006	+355	Yes	+$81	06-14 04:12
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	11	$1.4K	730	730	+0	Yes	+$10	06-14 18:10
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	32	$1.4K	1,190	405	+785	Argentina	-$12	07-04 00:36
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	15	$1.3K	3,070	3,070	+0	Belgium	-$1,317	07-07 01:52
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$1.3K	675	675	+0	No	+$21	06-21 04:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 4?	30	$1.3K	680	670	+9	No	+$6	06-04 10:22
will paraguay reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134481	5	$1.3K	1,420	0	+1,420	No	+$106	07-04 12:03
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$1.3K	670	670	+0	Yes	+$78	06-26 00:47
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	16	$1.3K	1,120	280	+840	Mexico	+$144	07-01 03:43
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$1.2K	676	676	+0	No	+$138	06-19 23:03
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	14	$1.2K	615	615	+0	Yes	-$21	06-26 00:15
will algeria reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134505	5	$1.1K	1,260	0	+1,260	No	+$126	07-03 02:05
will ecuador reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134484	4	$1.1K	584	584	+0	No	+$59	07-01 03:08
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$1.1K	6,757	6,757	+0	No	-$24	06-24 00:07
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	19	$1.1K	548	597	-49	Yes	+$42	06-09 02:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 2?	28	$1.0K	527	527	+0	No	+$9	06-02 05:35
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	6	$1.0K	1,225	0	+1,225	United States	+$210	07-02 01:43
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	15	$1.0K	734	430	+304	No	+$37	07-03 00:48
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	17	$969	539	569	-30	No	+$26	03-31 18:28
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	6	$967	503	503	+0	No	+$38	05-01 10:00
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	9	$957	682	682	+0	Yes	-$89	07-06 21:50
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$951	501	501	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 22:39
highest temperature in shanghai on april 12 2026 17corbelow	16	$947	732	720	+12	Yes	+$7	04-12 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 3?	17	$942	480	480	+0	No	+$17	06-03 07:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 00:36:24	laptop fdv above 750m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x92cbd2…
09-09 23:40:31	laptop fdv above 750m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xddb91e…
09-09 23:39:10	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x6818dc…
09-09 15:36:19	LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x77d264…
09-09 14:21:40	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xc5ac14…
09-09 13:41:51	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xd764fb…
09-09 13:12:15	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xd05818…
09-09 12:53:45	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x43f811…
09-09 12:46:25	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xfe27da…
09-09 12:33:30	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xdb273d…
09-09 12:31:57	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x77091b…
08-22 07:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 22?	No	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0xfb4afe…
08-22 07:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 22?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x62bac8…
08-22 06:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 22?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x84d5ba…
08-22 06:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x35c54b…
08-22 05:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 22?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x107055…
08-22 01:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x556acb…
08-21 22:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 22?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xd56475…
08-21 07:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 21?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x58d2bb…
08-21 06:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1cbdff…
08-21 06:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 21?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf4a380…
08-21 06:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x475ddd…
08-21 02:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x93db32…
08-21 02:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x8c35c6…
08-21 00:25:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf7e4ea…
08-21 00:25:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf4960b…
08-20 05:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	No	SELL	92	2¢	$2	0x0310ed…
08-20 02:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x68b810…
08-20 01:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x8e2cc1…
08-20 01:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	No	SELL	25	68¢	$17	0x43abc1…
08-20 01:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x6698f5…
08-20 01:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x36439a…
08-20 01:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xbe9822…
08-19 19:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	No	SELL	70	96¢	$67	0x548bba…
08-19 11:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xc6a5a3…
08-19 10:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xe83392…
08-19 09:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x9da691…
08-19 04:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?	No	SELL	98	59¢	$58	0xcb593f…
08-19 04:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xfab410…
08-19 01:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x134130…
08-19 01:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xafbfec…
08-19 01:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x69b3b7…
08-19 01:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc220fe…
08-19 01:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 19?	No	SELL	146	90¢	$131	0xd3d69e…
08-19 01:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xd54134…
08-19 00:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x21579b…
08-19 00:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	38	92¢	$34	0x1452ed…
08-19 00:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	62	92¢	$58	0x10e185…
08-19 00:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x753a08…
08-18 08:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 18?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xa15770…
08-18 08:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 18?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x5136e4…
08-18 03:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x718a90…
08-18 02:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7c8ba0…
08-18 02:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x862cb4…
08-18 02:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xe8f431…
08-17 08:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 17?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x9706b6…
08-17 07:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 17?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x758dab…
08-17 06:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 17?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6d8da0…
08-17 06:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 17?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6dad10…
08-17 06:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 17?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x2c2862…
08-17 06:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 17?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x21b728…
08-17 05:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 17?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x928d4c…
08-17 05:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 17?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x133f1c…
08-17 05:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 17?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xbba394…
08-17 05:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 17?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x5b5cf7…
08-17 04:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 17?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x482d02…
08-17 03:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xed49e9…
08-17 03:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 17?	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x5205dd…
08-17 03:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 17?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x4534cd…
08-17 03:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 17?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x95b63b…
08-17 03:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 17?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x33a627…
08-17 03:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 17?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2fa333…
08-17 03:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 17?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4120cd…
08-17 02:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc7a9cc…
08-17 02:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 17?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$12	0x602d60…
08-17 00:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 17?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xa91f4f…
08-16 05:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0xdeb6df…
08-16 05:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x94fd1e…
08-16 05:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x7cb9c8…
08-16 05:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8eea00…
08-16 05:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x324033…
08-16 05:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x16ac53…
08-16 05:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x7ab60c…
08-16 04:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 16?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x8cd705…
08-16 04:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 16?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0xd6ca78…
08-16 03:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x6fd43e…
08-16 03:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x42a8a0…
08-16 03:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x127f14…
08-16 03:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x9eac63…
08-16 03:12:40	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	SELL	80	86¢	$68	0x7e84ed…
08-15 23:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 16?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x8d77bd…
08-15 23:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 16?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x0e7d30…
08-15 22:54:45	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 16?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x9fd7eb…
08-15 10:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xac6185…
08-15 09:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5eaf50…
08-15 09:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdead52…
08-15 09:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb17645…
08-15 09:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xeebba3…
08-15 09:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf8d51f…
08-15 09:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x34e417…