Shimmering-Cloud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$763

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

299

Trades

616

lifetime

Volume

$18.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$169

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 11-03 11:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

61% 47% -$157

Politics

16% 82% -$565

Crypto

13% 26% -$100

Sports

10% 50% +$58

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+121	$113	96¢	$116	+$3	09-15 17:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+150	$38	22¢	$34	-$4	11-03 11:42
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	+11	$8	93¢	$10	+$3	06-27 18:13
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+100	$5	5¢	$5	+$0	09-25 17:21
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+100	$2	4¢	$4	+$2	10-23 08:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,583	1,583	+0	No	-$585	05-25 19:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	35	$628	724	614	+110	Yes	+$12	10-30 23:46
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	20	$554	433	433	+0	No	-$50	10-27 18:12
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	3	$547	390	200	+189	San Diego Padres	-$13	05-30 02:01
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-31?	3	$482	359	197	+162	No	-$35	05-31 06:48
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	18	$480	460	460	+0	No	+$4	09-29 02:51
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	9	$402	244	194	+50	No	+$12	10-23 22:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	12	$349	290	290	+0	Yes	-$37	10-27 01:53
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?	3	$336	259	107	+152	No	+$1	05-30 13:43
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 1?	4	$275	152	152	+0	Down	-$17	06-01 17:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	10	$246	239	139	+100	Yes	+$4	10-17 03:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	13	$214	377	226	+151	Yes	+$66	10-29 01:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?	4	$197	148	60	+87	Yes	-$4	06-05 16:09
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$194	202	0	+202	No	+$8	05-30 17:59
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-05-30?	1	$194	198	0	+198	No	+$4	05-30 10:41
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	6	$192	197	97	+100	open	—	09-25 17:21
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-05-29?	1	$192	198	0	+198	No	+$6	05-29 20:21
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-31?	1	$191	201	0	+201	No	+$10	06-01 01:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$190	196	0	+196	No	+$6	05-30 20:39
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 28?	1	$187	188	0	+188	No	+$1	05-28 14:00
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 23?	2	$176	101	101	+0	Yes	-$20	06-23 13:46
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)	1	$175	182	0	+182	Washington Nationals	+$7	05-31 19:36
Will Sagan Tosu win on 2026-05-30?	1	$170	177	0	+177	No	+$7	05-30 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 31?	1	$167	169	0	+169	Yes	+$2	05-31 09:41
Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	1	$166	173	0	+173	No	+$7	05-29 23:59
Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-05-30?	1	$166	173	0	+173	No	+$7	05-30 09:28
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$164	166	0	+166	No	+$2	05-30 23:30
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries	1	$163	166	0	+166	Golden State Valkyries	+$3	05-29 04:14
Will Santos FC vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?	1	$161	163	0	+163	No	+$2	05-31 00:34
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	8	$161	199	199	+0	open	—	11-01 18:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 11:42:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xf521d4…
11-03 10:59:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xe4a743…
11-02 19:22:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x0c9d56…
11-01 18:37:52	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xe0c014…
11-01 17:32:36	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xdca174…
10-31 17:13:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x9327db…
10-30 23:46:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xefb3e0…
10-30 22:59:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xc87a44…
10-30 22:07:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	31	85¢	$26	0x30fadc…
10-30 22:02:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	35	87¢	$30	0x035911…
10-30 21:51:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	52	87¢	$45	0xa5e3f3…
10-30 21:39:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	55	88¢	$48	0xe07714…
10-30 21:27:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0xf1ec9a…
10-30 20:00:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8484c0…
10-30 17:41:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0x6b8c17…
10-30 15:21:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	52	59¢	$31	0x69d4f4…
10-30 09:40:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	55	43¢	$24	0x7244e9…
10-30 07:50:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	31	57¢	$18	0xac3041…
10-29 01:34:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x43ef97…
10-28 19:58:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0x424be3…
10-28 10:53:55	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	32	5¢	$2	0x03bfc5…
10-27 22:03:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x0c9b65…
10-27 18:12:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xf4762a…
10-27 18:08:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xc53925…
10-27 16:03:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xbee6e1…
10-27 08:37:33	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x430f52…
10-27 04:51:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x6f96ed…
10-27 04:46:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x149502…
10-27 01:53:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x7ceae3…
10-26 23:21:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x09517b…
10-26 00:22:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x18e4bd…
10-25 15:24:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x925180…
10-25 05:23:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0xde336c…
10-24 13:38:21	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x2956dc…
10-24 13:36:24	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	51	37¢	$19	0x3adbcf…
10-24 10:19:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x0577dc…
10-24 09:43:39	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x5fe05c…
10-24 04:17:17	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x36c53d…
10-24 02:08:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	51	38¢	$19	0x507477…
10-24 01:24:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x1b0b53…
10-23 23:05:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	45	15¢	$7	0xd71c74…
10-23 23:05:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x2e3e71…
10-23 22:50:11	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xd5c35c…
10-23 19:36:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x2a016a…
10-23 19:29:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x002f34…
10-23 18:43:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x04de06…
10-23 15:37:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xb89339…
10-23 11:34:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xeb8102…
10-23 10:16:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x56e485…
10-23 08:39:24	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0xf7c664…
10-23 08:39:03	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x068df5…
10-23 03:56:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xfcd16d…
10-23 02:55:47	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x200c0c…
10-22 23:01:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	45	63¢	$28	0x308bf8…
10-22 14:09:50	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x3a0600…
10-22 10:54:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x3ca29b…
10-22 09:43:30	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x5ffb09…
10-22 06:34:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x70ea7a…
10-21 23:54:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0xfc3658…
10-21 23:51:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x6c7b03…
10-21 22:22:11	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xb5b4a4…
10-21 21:48:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x0ba0a1…
10-21 21:21:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x40b308…
10-21 21:11:56	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x1c787c…
10-21 20:04:53	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x83124a…
10-21 19:01:06	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	33	27¢	$9	0x784fb0…
10-21 19:00:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x0c4ee5…
10-21 16:41:50	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x7fcff9…
10-21 12:38:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xd86925…
10-21 10:27:41	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x37526e…
10-21 10:18:09	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x2f9564…
10-21 09:25:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x6f4f7e…
10-21 08:44:32	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	44	91¢	$40	0xb9851c…
10-21 08:43:47	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x1a697d…
10-21 06:10:27	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0xe12939…
10-21 06:05:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0x105d2e…
10-20 06:52:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	40	38¢	$15	0xef291f…
10-20 03:08:41	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$37	0x6b55ed…
10-20 00:03:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	BUY	51	3¢	$1	0x7af529…
10-19 18:11:18	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0xf99138…
10-19 12:16:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x6bcac1…
10-19 01:00:48	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x938274…
10-19 00:43:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xa77d03…
10-18 17:16:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x834ec6…
10-18 17:16:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	26	47¢	$12	0xdbe15b…
10-17 21:35:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x9367e4…
10-17 20:18:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xd7bbd9…
10-17 03:55:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x68e38b…
10-17 01:31:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x78f1f3…
10-16 17:45:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x94eced…
10-16 14:58:42	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x481a71…
10-16 13:32:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x5492fe…
10-16 11:00:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	35	65¢	$23	0x91a291…
10-16 10:49:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xd64b76…
10-16 01:03:51	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xe36a9d…
10-16 00:55:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x80c67b…
10-16 00:54:39	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x57295d…
10-15 18:00:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x4be3b4…
10-15 15:57:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0xe1fb12…
10-15 14:54:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0x8a4b80…