Realized P&L (90d)
-$75
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved (90d)
1,575
Trades (90d)
2,355
2,355 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$18.9K
$18.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$883
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-24
last 10-28 23:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Other
90% 54% -$308
Politics
7% 64% +$274
Crypto
2% 62% -$36
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Sports
0% 0% -$7
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +68 $29 75¢ $51 +$22 10-28 05:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +51 $38 96¢ $49 +$11 10-23 22:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +44 $38 100¢ $44 +$6 10-25 08:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +45 $38 96¢ $44 +$6 10-25 13:38
will bitcoin dip to 72pt5k in october 2026 No +44 $38 99¢ $44 +$6 10-17 21:35
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +43 $38 99¢ $43 +$5 10-27 23:01
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +111 $38 38¢ $42 +$4 10-20 19:40
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +97 $38 42¢ $41 +$3 10-24 13:06
will ethereum dip to 2000 in october 2026 No +41 $38 99¢ $40 +$3 10-14 13:15
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +52 $38 74¢ $38 +$0 10-27 17:03
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +54 $38 70¢ $38 $0 10-26 00:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +46 $29 66¢ $30 +$2 10-28 09:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +55 $29 54¢ $30 +$1 10-28 20:11
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +43 $29 66¢ $28 $0 10-26 20:52
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? No +31 $19 90¢ $28 +$9 10-17 21:37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +51 $38 54¢ $28 -$11 10-26 02:24
will bitcoin dip to 75k in october 2026 No +25 $19 97¢ $24 +$5 10-14 13:19
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +25 $19 94¢ $24 +$5 10-24 05:23
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? No +23 $19 97¢ $22 +$4 10-17 21:38
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +22 $19 100¢ $21 +$2 10-28 00:23
will bitcoin dip to 70k in october 2026 No +20 $18 100¢ $20 +$2 10-17 20:43
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$1 10-23 09:50
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +81 $19 23¢ $18 -$1 10-28 17:26
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +29 $19 64¢ $18 -$1 10-24 16:26
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +29 $19 62¢ $18 -$1 10-24 14:11
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +130 $38 14¢ $18 -$21 10-23 21:26
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? No — +27 $19 62¢ $17 -$2 10-28 21:41
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? No +126 $38 13¢ $16 -$22 10-25 20:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +25 $10 58¢ $15 +$5 10-22 19:53
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +103 $38 14¢ $14 -$24 10-24 12:27