Realized P&L (24h)
+$91
Unrealized P&L
-$77
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (24h)
3
Trades (24h)
0
2,531 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$20.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$247
22 positions
First seen
2026-09-24
last 10-30 23:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
89% 54% -$441
Politics
8% 66% +$176
Crypto
2% 77% -$15
Tech
0% 100% +$98
Sports
0% 67% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +62 $38 83¢ $52 +$13 10-29 22:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +51 $38 79¢ $41 +$3 10-26 02:24
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +76 $29 48¢ $36 +$8 10-30 09:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +68 $29 35¢ $24 -$5 10-28 05:36
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +14 $10 100¢ $14 +$4 10-30 12:30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? No +12 $10 100¢ $12 +$3 10-30 21:18
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026? No +11 $10 97¢ $11 +$1 10-30 21:10
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October? No +11 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 10-30 22:06
Will Emmanuel Bwacha win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election? No +12 $10 82¢ $9 $0 10-20 09:27
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +14 $10 68¢ $9 $0 10-30 21:45
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +14 $10 67¢ $9 $0 10-30 21:56
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +81 $19 8¢ $7 -$13 10-28 17:26
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +53 $10 12¢ $6 -$3 10-28 17:43
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +8 $3 34¢ $3 $0 10-27 10:46
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +186 $10 1¢ $2 -$8 10-28 21:51
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? Yes +37 $10 2¢ $1 -$9 10-23 16:12
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +27 $19 2¢ $1 -$18 10-24 03:34
Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes +16 $1 3¢ $1 -$1 10-29 21:23
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +217 $10 0¢ $1 -$9 10-29 14:38
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +24 $19 2¢ $0 -$19 10-29 13:23
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +16 $6 1¢ $0 -$6 10-22 19:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +46 $19 0¢ $0 -$19 10-29 09:43