Realized P&L
-$201
Unrealized P&L
+$139
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved
1,644
Trades
2,483
lifetime
Volume
$20.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$1.06K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-24
last 10-30 09:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
89% 54% -$425
Politics
8% 65% +$280
Crypto
2% 64% -$54
Tech
0% 100% +$3
Sports
0% 67% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +103 $38 57¢ $58 +$21 10-24 12:27
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +64 $48 82¢ $53 +$5 10-30 06:56
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +111 $38 46¢ $51 +$13 10-20 19:40
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +97 $38 50¢ $48 +$10 10-24 13:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +51 $38 91¢ $46 +$8 10-23 22:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +68 $29 67¢ $46 +$17 10-28 05:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +44 $38 99¢ $44 +$6 10-25 08:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +45 $38 96¢ $43 +$5 10-25 13:38
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +43 $38 100¢ $43 +$5 10-27 23:01
will bitcoin dip to 72pt5k in october 2026 No +44 $38 96¢ $42 +$5 10-17 21:35
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +54 $38 76¢ $41 +$3 10-26 00:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +62 $38 64¢ $40 +$2 10-29 22:18
will ethereum dip to 2000 in october 2026 No +41 $38 98¢ $40 +$2 10-14 13:15
will bitcoin dip to 70k in october 2026 No +40 $37 99¢ $40 +$2 10-30 00:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +44 $38 84¢ $37 -$1 10-29 22:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +74 $38 50¢ $36 -$2 10-29 19:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +56 $22 57¢ $32 +$10 10-24 01:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +80 $31 40¢ $32 +$1 10-29 23:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +51 $38 60¢ $31 -$7 10-26 02:24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +43 $29 70¢ $30 +$2 10-26 20:52
will bitcoin dip to 75k in october 2026 No +35 $29 83¢ $29 +$1 10-29 01:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30? No +30 $10 97¢ $29 +$19 10-28 08:00
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +25 $19 88¢ $22 +$3 10-24 05:23
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +22 $19 99¢ $21 +$2 10-28 00:23
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +24 $19 89¢ $21 +$2 10-30 00:42
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? No +23 $19 90¢ $21 +$2 10-17 21:38
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 10-23 09:50
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October? No +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$1 10-30 02:07
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +29 $19 66¢ $19 +$0 10-24 16:26
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +29 $19 66¢ $19 +$0 10-24 14:11