Frosty-Acquaintance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

86.3%

Resolved

304

Trades

766

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-21

last 10-29 06:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

100% 76% -$25

Crypto

0% 36% -$5

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes		+7	$0	6¢	$0	+$0	10-29 06:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 19?	2	$408	216	216	+0	Yes	+$22	06-19 16:04
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 19?	2	$383	200	200	+0	Yes	+$11	06-19 13:23
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19?	3	$341	186	186	+0	Yes	+$31	06-19 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 19?	10	$325	186	186	-0	Yes	+$46	06-20 04:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 18?	2	$291	154	154	+0	No	+$17	06-18 13:01
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?	8	$288	324	0	+324	No	-$288	06-20 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?	2	$245	137	137	+0	Yes	+$30	06-17 19:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	2	$240	130	130	+0	No	+$19	05-13 20:38
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 18?	2	$238	124	124	+0	No	+$9	06-18 13:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?	2	$205	110	110	+0	No	+$14	06-20 05:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 14?	6	$201	106	106	+0	No	+$10	05-14 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?	3	$195	108	108	+0	Yes	+$20	06-17 04:49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 17?	6	$168	150	50	+100	Yes	+$12	05-17 12:44
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?	3	$166	93	93	+0	No	+$14	06-20 04:12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 14?	6	$142	88	88	+0	No	+$33	05-14 17:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?	5	$138	82	82	+0	Yes	-$7	05-18 03:43
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on May 12?	7	$130	73	73	+0	No	+$16	05-12 21:10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?	6	$130	155	0	+155	Yes	+$25	06-18 15:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 8?	2	$112	59	59	+0	No	+$6	05-08 19:39
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 11?	3	$92	58	58	+0	Yes	+$17	05-11 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?	1	$91	100	0	+100	Yes	-$91	05-15 18:07
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 14?	1	$91	100	0	+100	No	+$9	05-14 14:19
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 12?	2	$89	46	46	+0	No	+$3	05-12 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 15?	5	$86	45	45	+0	No	+$4	06-15 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 12?	8	$76	50	50	+0	No	+$24	05-12 21:56
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 16?	1	$75	87	0	+87	Yes	+$12	06-16 02:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 15?	4	$73	100	0	+100	No	+$27	05-14 19:01
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 12?	2	$73	38	38	+0	No	+$3	05-12 17:17
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 11?	4	$71	51	30	+22	No	-$1	05-11 18:16
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 11?	2	$68	37	37	+0	No	+$6	05-11 19:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 06:03:56	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x686128…
08-13 09:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x33ec35…
08-13 08:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x4a3237…
08-12 16:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 12?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x1213d0…
08-12 16:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x399683…
08-12 15:45:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 12?	No	SELL	23	16¢	$4	0x6899bf…
08-12 11:41:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x7b11e3…
08-12 11:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0x986459…
08-12 09:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0x4123c9…
08-12 07:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa74ca7…
08-12 05:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xadc96b…
08-12 04:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 12?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xf20ca0…
08-12 03:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x8f8570…
08-12 03:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xf4a12f…
08-11 15:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xa707cf…
08-11 15:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xfe99a7…
08-11 15:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x6ef768…
08-11 15:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x0404b9…
08-11 15:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x107a67…
08-11 15:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0fbc70…
08-11 15:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 11?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x54fe15…
08-11 15:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 11?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0bec5d…
08-11 15:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 11?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4f0a2e…
08-11 12:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 11?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x51c4c1…
08-11 12:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc7ea6c…
08-11 09:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 11?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x1c995e…
08-11 09:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x982e5e…
08-11 09:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xcbe63a…
08-11 09:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x90edf4…
08-11 09:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 11?	No	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0xed57f0…
08-10 19:01:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xd44ed1…
08-10 19:01:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xd7535e…
08-10 18:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x52e089…
08-10 18:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x9b23e9…
08-10 18:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x868966…
08-10 18:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x6d396b…
08-10 18:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x53e18f…
08-10 18:37:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x1ee239…
08-10 16:38:03	Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	235	1¢	$2	0x5a58bd…
08-10 16:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x393b5f…
08-10 15:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf515e0…
08-10 15:22:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x18b616…
08-10 15:22:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe7201f…
08-10 15:21:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 10?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xcad41a…
08-10 14:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x53960f…
08-10 13:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 10?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xde1e88…
08-10 13:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0x4b602b…
08-10 13:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x65d9d8…
08-10 10:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 10?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x68a419…
08-10 10:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x43b5ff…
08-10 09:55:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 10?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xa9ced6…
08-10 09:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 10?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x525e7c…
08-10 09:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xf83be8…
08-10 09:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x14e9f9…
08-10 07:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x6feba4…
08-10 06:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x9c6c09…
08-10 06:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xbc83db…
08-10 06:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x39e358…
08-10 06:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcecf6b…
08-10 06:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x1bd1ac…
08-10 06:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x406059…
08-10 05:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x1d6aec…
08-10 05:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x98b4ea…
08-10 05:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0xd5f284…
08-10 05:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xcc32de…
08-10 05:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x69b4ba…
08-09 13:49:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$21	0xf6a3c9…
08-09 13:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 9?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x56fe26…
08-09 13:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xcf0d5c…
08-09 09:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7c1ae0…
08-09 09:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x2ceaa9…
08-09 09:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb6e64f…
08-09 09:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 9?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xbe3948…
08-09 09:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5406e7…
08-09 09:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 9?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xec6100…
08-09 08:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x25c025…
08-09 06:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 9?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xabcfed…
08-09 06:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 9?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x588b05…
08-08 16:56:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 8?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x2997b7…
08-08 16:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x765a33…
08-08 16:26:04	lol sk navi 2026 08 08 game2	Natus Vincere	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xea82c7…
08-08 16:24:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xca9a43…
08-08 15:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xe25e78…
08-08 15:04:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xb06be8…
08-08 15:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xf2e838…
08-08 15:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 8?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x4fae84…
08-08 10:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x2b6966…
08-08 10:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 8?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x43c136…
08-08 09:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x72fa1d…
08-08 09:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xbbf648…
08-08 09:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x834f57…
08-08 09:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x69dd12…
08-08 09:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$5	0x3d3cf2…
08-08 08:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x74a6b2…
08-08 08:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0xb7b1c8…
08-08 08:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x38ab1e…
08-08 08:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xa3897c…
08-08 07:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0x2d8953…
08-08 07:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x52261f…
08-08 07:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x9ddecc…