Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$200
$1,939 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$2,464
Latest YES mid
32¢
Latest NO mid
68¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 12:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $72 | $108 | $36 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $30 | $20 | +$10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| Median | 4 | $1 | $12 | $11 |
| Below median | 3 | $9 | $13 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $54 | $54 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| unranked | 4 | $20 | $16 | +$4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antique-Roundabout 0x1648…c24b | Yes | +91 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 23:55 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | +76 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 16:57 |
| Indolent-Sensitive 0x8bac…cf49 | Yes | +50 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 03:20 |
| Inconsequential-Spider 0xc2bc…1485 | No | +47 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-14 05:49 |
| Fruitful-Report 0xedee…f2b4 | Yes | +36 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 05:15 |
| Qualified-Readiness 0x2946…8eb4 | Yes | +32 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 03:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x7969…9fec | No | +24 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-14 01:00 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +16 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 05-14 07:34 |
| Massive-Salmon 0xe3a6…9e63 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 05:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x91b6…caca | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 01:42 |
| Spiffy-Jury 0x01a6…59b0 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 21:00 |
| Trifling-Compass 0x1d39…5c77 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 06:20 |
| Watchful-Binoculars 0xb040…ef71 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 01:45 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 22:12 |
| Sugary-Boysenberry 0xc197…3099 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 20:18 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 03:31 |
| Loving-Hook 0xb55b…be21 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 04:05 |
| Knowledgeable-Card 0x608a…966b | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 06:01 |
| Obedient-Wind 0xa6d7…d801 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 00:08 |
| Obvious-Suet 0x82f1…df3e | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 01:17 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 08:43 |
| Compassionate-Font 0x5c5d…1e18 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 08:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 12:02:37 | Frosty-Shoat 0x4ede…1f8f | No | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x521502… |
| 05-14 08:59:03 | Compassionate-Font 0x5c5d…1e18 | No | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0xc6a2d4… |
| 05-14 07:34:09 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0x062ec4… |
| 05-14 06:20:23 | Trifling-Compass 0x1d39…5c77 | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x8d59b4… |
| 05-14 06:16:13 | Kind-Rotation 0x3646…ba5a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xd53092… |
| 05-14 06:01:06 | Knowledgeable-Card 0x608a…966b | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xa81414… |
| 05-14 05:49:17 | Inconsequential-Spider 0xc2bc…1485 | No | BUY | 47 | 74¢ | $35 | 0x7230c9… |
| 05-14 05:15:20 | Fruitful-Report 0xedee…f2b4 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 25¢ | $9 | 0x113668… |
| 05-14 04:05:54 | Loving-Hook 0xb55b…be21 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xd2ddb8… |
| 05-14 03:31:46 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xb29f1e… |
| 05-14 03:21:21 | Qualified-Readiness 0x2946…8eb4 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 31¢ | $10 | 0xa6a0c3… |
| 05-14 03:20:39 | Indolent-Sensitive 0x8bac…cf49 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 29¢ | $15 | 0x357cbe… |
| 05-14 01:45:19 | Watchful-Binoculars 0xb040…ef71 | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x90ce60… |
| 05-14 01:42:08 | (anonymous) 0x91b6…caca | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x5b6e45… |
| 05-14 01:17:19 | Obvious-Suet 0x82f1…df3e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x023433… |
| 05-14 01:00:01 | (anonymous) 0x7969…9fec | No | BUY | 24 | 81¢ | $19 | 0x792d85… |
| 05-14 00:08:37 | Obedient-Wind 0xa6d7…d801 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x9e8016… |
| 05-13 23:55:39 | Antique-Roundabout 0x1648…c24b | Yes | BUY | 91 | 22¢ | $20 | 0x3fcdf9… |
| 05-13 22:12:43 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xcd993d… |
| 05-13 21:00:44 | Spiffy-Jury 0x01a6…59b0 | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x733d3c… |
| 05-13 20:18:14 | Sugary-Boysenberry 0xc197…3099 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xa7ea01… |
| 05-13 16:57:36 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 20¢ | $15 | 0x6b4e2c… |
| 05-13 09:11:27 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xa3df1c… |
| 05-13 09:11:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x693c44… |
| 05-13 08:43:19 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0xf1677a… |
| 05-13 08:40:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 77¢ | $3 | 0xe3e80c… |
| 05-13 08:40:17 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 77¢ | $3 | 0xba39fc… |
| 05-13 05:13:05 | Massive-Salmon 0xe3a6…9e63 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x068558… |