Frosty-Shoat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.9%

Resolved

Trades

100

lifetime

Volume

$159

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 05-15 20:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 17% $-12

Politics

17% — —

Other

8% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774812300	3	$10	10	5	+5	open	—	03-29 19:31
Dual FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$9	10	9	+0	Yes	$-8	04-01 10:54
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-31 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	04-25 09:40
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	03-31 10:16
btc updown 5m 1774808400	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-29 18:25
btc updown 5m 1774798500	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-29 15:40
btc updown 15m 1774876500	4	$6	12	12	+0	open	—	03-30 13:28
btc updown 5m 1774796700	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-29 15:10
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-31 10:21
btc updown 5m 1775042400	3	$5	6	3	+4	open	—	04-01 11:22
btc updown 5m 1774799100	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	03-29 15:47
btc updown 5m 1774877700	2	$4	6	5	+0	open	—	03-30 13:39
Fluent FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	$-1	03-31 10:16
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	$-0	03-31 10:16
btc updown 5m 1775041800	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	04-01 11:11
hype updown 5m 1774807500	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	03-29 18:05
will trump dance during easter lunch on april 1	2	$2	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 10:54
Dual FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-01 10:55
btc updown 15m 1774877400	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-30 13:31
Wingbits FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	$-2	04-01 10:54
btc updown 5m 1774793400	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-29 14:16
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	03-31 10:17
will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	3	$2	25	25	+0	open	—	04-01 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-25 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-25 09:31
btc updown 5m 1774953900	2	$2	18	0	+18	open	—	03-31 10:48
khamenei of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 0 4	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 10:17
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 10:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	04-01 10:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 20:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7b31e9…
05-15 20:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc568ea…
05-15 20:27:12	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0xebb08d…
05-15 20:26:59	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	SELL	57	1¢	$0	0x4c9010…
05-15 20:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x184db3…
05-14 12:01:10	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x03f861…
05-14 09:46:27	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xd0b5fe…
05-14 09:45:17	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xf3dcad…
04-25 09:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x00b322…
04-25 09:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb49351…
04-25 09:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x6b41a7…
04-25 09:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x5d87c7…
04-01 11:22:25	btc updown 5m 1775042400	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x6e772b…
04-01 11:21:19	btc updown 5m 1775042400	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x87a9e1…
04-01 11:18:41	btc updown 5m 1775042400	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xaf97c9…
04-01 11:14:55	btc updown 5m 1775042100	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3c33ac…
04-01 11:11:41	btc updown 5m 1775041800	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xec097f…
04-01 11:11:01	btc updown 5m 1775041800	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xba559a…
04-01 11:10:23	btc updown 5m 1775041800	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9f73c7…
04-01 11:06:31	btc updown 5m 1775041500	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xed24d5…
04-01 10:55:49	will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x22892f…
04-01 10:55:43	Wingbits FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x8c5f40…
04-01 10:55:37	cz binance of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 20 39	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x34874b…
04-01 10:55:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x729d82…
04-01 10:55:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0xd51b82…
04-01 10:55:19	Fluent FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x0e7ad9…
04-01 10:55:05	Dual FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8ba411…
04-01 10:54:57	Wingbits FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xcd7bff…
04-01 10:54:49	will trump dance during easter lunch on april 1	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x9a94cf…
04-01 10:54:37	Dual FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x0e08bd…
04-01 04:58:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbdf357…
04-01 04:55:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x827d13…
04-01 04:52:59	will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xf2226c…
04-01 04:52:55	will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x83f1bf…
03-31 11:22:17	Dual FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xf707e5…
03-31 10:50:45	btc updown 5m 1774954200	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x996670…
03-31 10:48:35	btc updown 5m 1774953900	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfb398a…
03-31 10:45:43	btc updown 5m 1774953900	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb84821…
03-31 10:43:43	btc updown 5m 1774953600	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x250b86…
03-31 10:42:35	cz binance of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 20 39	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9ea57d…
03-31 10:33:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xcb6437…
03-31 10:32:51	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 31 april 6	No	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x4d9b7e…
03-31 10:32:43	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xba47d3…
03-31 10:32:37	will iran strike bahrain again in march	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x44a5c8…
03-31 10:32:19	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0xd72cd8…
03-31 10:26:53	R2 FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xcf41a4…
03-31 10:23:03	will trump dance during easter lunch on april 1	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf3f520…
03-31 10:21:37	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x025ae3…
03-31 10:17:25	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x32e036…
03-31 10:17:15	khamenei of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 0 4	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x3359b4…
03-31 10:16:55	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xd7dfe8…
03-31 10:16:43	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb5c924…
03-31 10:16:31	Fluent FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xa50fb3…
03-31 10:16:21	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	7	49¢	$4	0x982efa…
03-31 10:15:19	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x9ef3a6…
03-31 03:25:53	Fluent FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x167f67…
03-30 20:13:01	Wingbits FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xe738b4…
03-30 18:23:15	Wingbits FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x36c073…
03-30 18:22:47	Dual FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xdaccf4…
03-30 18:22:25	Fluent FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x87f03f…
03-30 17:36:43	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x832fa6…
03-30 14:10:35	btc updown 5m 1774879800	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x145c25…
03-30 13:41:25	btc updown 5m 1774878000	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x602db0…
03-30 13:39:11	btc updown 5m 1774877700	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xaa442d…
03-30 13:38:19	btc updown 5m 1774877700	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x7e4dfe…
03-30 13:31:49	btc updown 15m 1774877400	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x6801bd…
03-30 13:31:11	btc updown 15m 1774877400	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8ec808…
03-30 13:28:16	btc updown 15m 1774876500	Down	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xe9767b…
03-30 13:27:36	btc updown 15m 1774876500	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0d68d0…
03-30 13:26:00	btc updown 15m 1774876500	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x041345…
03-30 13:25:20	btc updown 15m 1774876500	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2a456f…
03-30 13:06:12	btc updown 5m 1774875900	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcac077…
03-30 12:55:56	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0930cd…
03-30 12:38:06	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xf7d90b…
03-30 09:28:34	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 31 april 6	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7b015e…
03-30 04:26:50	khamenei of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 0 4	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6cd597…
03-30 04:24:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xc9519d…
03-29 19:40:26	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x3d483f…
03-29 19:31:32	btc updown 5m 1774812300	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1192d6…
03-29 19:25:22	btc updown 5m 1774812300	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3e4e6c…
03-29 19:25:20	btc updown 5m 1774812300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf176fb…
03-29 18:32:26	will iran strike bahrain again in march	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xcc4ce1…
03-29 18:25:30	btc updown 5m 1774808400	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8f3cd0…
03-29 18:20:54	btc updown 5m 1774808400	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x77264e…
03-29 18:05:26	hype updown 5m 1774807500	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x809886…
03-29 17:21:20	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x89ffaa…
03-29 17:17:16	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x47fcdd…
03-29 16:52:10	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6cc172…
03-29 15:47:56	btc updown 5m 1774799100	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x92c83e…
03-29 15:45:44	btc updown 5m 1774799100	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2cf0cb…
03-29 15:40:20	btc updown 5m 1774798500	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7ddb8a…
03-29 15:36:00	btc updown 5m 1774798500	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xc6f221…
03-29 15:36:00	btc updown 5m 1774798500	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x4aaa92…
03-29 15:25:36	btc updown 5m 1774797900	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xde50a6…
03-29 15:15:06	btc updown 5m 1774797000	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf8b820…
03-29 15:10:44	btc updown 5m 1774796700	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5b6853…
03-29 15:06:46	btc updown 5m 1774796700	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x943595…
03-29 14:16:14	btc updown 5m 1774793400	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc5578a…
03-29 14:11:30	btc updown 5m 1774793400	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf5fe4e…
03-29 14:04:48	btc updown 5m 1774792800	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc767a7…