(anonymous) 0x5f83cb…835dc1 Create alert
hot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.72K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.64K
Hit rate
76.0%
Resolved
151
Trades
393
lifetime
Volume
$37.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$96
Open exposure
$7.90K
17 positions
First seen
2026-07-27
last 11-13 06:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Other
48% 59% +$375
Politics
42% 89% +$2,329
Tech
10% 47% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +1,331 $599 96¢ $1.3K +$672 08-06 12:20
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,000 $500 84¢ $845 +$345 11-05 07:17
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +933 $700 86¢ $798 +$98 11-01 13:19
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +746 $500 95¢ $706 +$206 11-05 07:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +886 $700 76¢ $669 -$31 11-11 08:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +694 $500 96¢ $668 +$168 10-06 18:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +725 $500 88¢ $641 +$141 11-05 17:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +568 $500 94¢ $531 +$31 11-05 09:01
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +551 $375 91¢ $502 +$127 09-03 10:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +725 $500 66¢ $482 -$18 11-11 08:31
us announces end of iranian blockade by november 30 2026 No +500 $325 92¢ $462 +$137 09-28 07:53
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +607 $170 25¢ $152 -$18 11-10 20:42
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? Yes +83 $69 88¢ $73 +$4 11-11 21:00
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $213 15¢ $44 -$170 09-10 22:23
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher? Yes +39 $28 78¢ $31 +$3 11-13 06:32
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +300 $72 6¢ $19 -$52 09-05 21:15
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 No +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$0 08-11 07:00