Rosy-Airmail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 05-07 16:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 20% +$17

Other

5% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$112	103	103	+0	Down	+$92	05-05 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$98	79	79	+0	Down	+$58	05-06 13:20
btc updown 5m 1773160800	2	$94	75	74	+1	open	—	03-10 16:45
btc updown 5m 1773160200	2	$80	223	0	+223	open	—	03-10 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$60	50	50	+0	Down	+$40	05-05 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$57	48	48	+0	open	—	05-04 15:21
btc updown 5m 1773162900	1	$30	140	0	+140	open	—	03-10 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$27	22	22	+0	Down	+$17	05-06 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$21	217	0	+217	Up	$-21	05-05 18:07
btc updown 5m 1773158700	1	$20	2,222	0	+2,222	open	—	03-10 16:10
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$20	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	04-24 15:15
btc updown 5m 1773230100	2	$20	11,316	0	+11,316	open	—	03-11 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	2	$20	10,125	0	+10,125	Up	$-20	05-05 13:41
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$20	1,218	0	+1,218	open	—	04-03 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$20	1,097	0	+1,097	open	—	05-04 15:31
btc updown 5m 1773161100	2	$20	1,269	0	+1,269	open	—	03-10 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$20	253	0	+253	Down	$-20	05-05 17:32
btc updown 5m 1773159900	1	$20	61	0	+61	open	—	03-10 16:28
btc updown 5m 1773156900	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	03-10 15:35
btc updown 5m 1773159600	1	$20	61	0	+61	open	—	03-10 16:22
btc updown 5m 1773156000	2	$20	51	0	+51	open	—	03-10 15:23
btc updown 5m 1773155700	2	$20	65	0	+65	open	—	03-10 15:16
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	1	$15	288	0	+288	open	—	03-11 08:01
btc updown 5m 1773156600	1	$15	24	0	+24	open	—	03-10 15:30
btc updown 5m 1773162000	1	$11	25	0	+25	open	—	03-10 17:01
btc updown 5m 1773154200	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-10 14:53
btc updown 5m 1773164100	1	$10	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	03-10 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$10	64	0	+64	open	—	04-30 16:48
btc updown 5m 1774002000	1	$10	500	0	+500	open	—	03-20 10:23
bitcoin above 72k on april 8	1	$10	1,708	0	+1,708	open	—	04-08 15:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 16:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	127	8¢	$10	0x5f4c70…
05-07 09:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc5200e…
05-06 14:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	119	8¢	$10	0xa47b0c…
05-06 14:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xa1b045…
05-06 14:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x3885e5…
05-06 13:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0xdd7ffa…
05-06 13:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x9af12b…
05-06 13:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xeb7c23…
05-06 13:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0x4477be…
05-06 13:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x9caddc…
05-06 13:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x324311…
05-05 18:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xebce29…
05-05 18:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xc999f8…
05-05 18:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x13efdb…
05-05 17:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x1fba5d…
05-05 17:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xa3703f…
05-05 17:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xbd00f8…
05-05 17:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x121f61…
05-05 17:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xbd803f…
05-05 17:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x816ee5…
05-05 17:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xc36b25…
05-05 13:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x205255…
05-05 13:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x4c8960…
05-05 13:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x21c920…
05-05 13:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x9b17ba…
05-05 12:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x598b6a…
05-05 12:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x6aaf53…
05-05 12:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x679489…
05-04 15:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x74b6b5…
05-04 15:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	97	10¢	$10	0x8fbb99…
05-04 15:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x4f8c2f…
05-04 15:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x8e34ee…
04-30 16:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xf24f1d…
04-30 16:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0xfaf5b7…
04-29 17:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x07716f…
04-25 18:31:26	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xf2e7fd…
04-25 18:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xb57a45…
04-25 11:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x568de9…
04-25 11:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x2aff4d…
04-25 10:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa0514c…
04-24 15:15:14	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0xd6d268…
04-08 15:49:45	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	Yes	BUY	1,708	1¢	$10	0xb616a9…
04-03 12:16:17	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,218	2¢	$20	0xa5afab…
03-20 15:18:29	bitcoin above 70k on march 20	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x27d6e5…
03-20 15:11:11	btc updown 5m 1774019400	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xad2e6c…
03-20 10:23:55	btc updown 5m 1774002000	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xba6b9d…
03-20 10:03:05	btc updown 5m 1774000800	Up	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0xa626c6…
03-20 09:44:21	btc updown 5m 1773999600	Up	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x4f2065…
03-17 07:27:29	btc updown 5m 1773732300	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xaea75f…
03-15 08:45:43	btc updown 5m 1773564300	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x27aaf2…
03-15 08:44:49	btc updown 5m 1773564000	Down	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0xb89dd4…
03-14 09:15:11	xrp up or down on march 14	Up	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x0a1e8e…
03-14 08:59:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x3013a5…
03-12 10:32:05	btc updown 5m 1773311400	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xe74ce4…
03-12 10:30:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf7fbc6…
03-12 10:03:09	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x46d5d2…
03-12 09:50:47	btc updown 5m 1773309000	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x83aefc…
03-11 18:42:35	btc updown 5m 1773254400	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xef3c8b…
03-11 17:11:01	will xrp reach 1pt8 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xf25029…
03-11 17:03:13	bitcoin above 74k on march 12	Yes	BUY	222	4¢	$10	0xcbcad3…
03-11 16:47:59	btc updown 5m 1773247500	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xab6919…
03-11 12:16:49	bitcoin up or down on march 11	Up	BUY	319	3¢	$10	0xa14892…
03-11 12:11:33	btc updown 5m 1773231000	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x02b212…
03-11 12:00:37	btc updown 5m 1773230100	Up	BUY	11,111	0¢	$10	0xfa7d3f…
03-11 11:59:03	btc updown 5m 1773230100	Up	BUY	205	5¢	$10	0x6394e2…
03-11 08:01:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	Yes	BUY	288	5¢	$15	0xd1b61c…
03-11 07:51:27	btc updown 5m 1773215400	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xc7d6e2…
03-11 07:44:25	btc updown 5m 1773214800	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x6d428e…
03-10 18:32:15	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x86fcd7…
03-10 18:01:35	btc updown 5m 1773165600	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x8f74f7…
03-10 17:53:53	btc updown 5m 1773165000	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x51dcfc…
03-10 17:38:45	btc updown 5m 1773164100	Up	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0x9c5850…
03-10 17:34:05	btc updown 5m 1773163800	Down	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0x9e7b7d…
03-10 17:30:27	btc updown 5m 1773163500	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0a498a…
03-10 17:17:31	btc updown 5m 1773162900	Up	BUY	140	21¢	$30	0x0c8385…
03-10 17:01:35	btc updown 5m 1773162000	Up	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xf5b77f…
03-10 16:51:29	btc updown 5m 1773161100	Up	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0x3d6082…
03-10 16:48:03	btc updown 5m 1773161100	Up	BUY	158	6¢	$10	0x91186a…
03-10 16:45:59	btc updown 5m 1773160800	Up	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x585863…
03-10 16:41:03	btc updown 5m 1773160800	Up	BUY	75	27¢	$20	0xcab4ce…
03-10 16:33:25	btc updown 5m 1773160200	Up	BUY	110	27¢	$30	0x59f2fe…
03-10 16:31:57	btc updown 5m 1773160200	Up	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0xbe7664…
03-10 16:28:13	btc updown 5m 1773159900	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xe25367…
03-10 16:22:01	btc updown 5m 1773159600	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xd1e2fd…
03-10 16:10:21	btc updown 5m 1773158700	Up	BUY	2,222	1¢	$20	0x8428e8…
03-10 15:35:43	btc updown 5m 1773156900	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xfee6e6…
03-10 15:30:31	btc updown 5m 1773156600	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x094a69…
03-10 15:23:03	btc updown 5m 1773156000	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x8fb817…
03-10 15:23:01	btc updown 5m 1773156000	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xf5c5ce…
03-10 15:16:27	btc updown 5m 1773155700	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x525d6d…
03-10 15:15:55	btc updown 5m 1773155700	Up	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x60d04b…
03-10 14:53:29	btc updown 5m 1773154200	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x304f63…
03-10 14:47:35	btc updown 5m 1773153900	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x16b448…