Realized P&L
+$994
Unrealized P&L
-$105
Hit rate
56.9%
Resolved
29
Trades
982
lifetime
Volume
$67.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$63.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 22:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
65% — —
Sports
28% 62% +$994
Other
6% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +17,959 $16,186 86¢ $15.5K -$679 10-08 19:30
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +9,130 $7,759 85¢ $7.8K +$33 10-19 02:29
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +7,346 $6,966 93¢ $6.8K -$123 10-19 20:53
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +4,835 $4,459 92¢ $4.4K -$35 10-07 18:28
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +4,404 $4,245 95¢ $4.2K -$70 10-27 02:14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,331 $3,979 88¢ $3.8K -$146 10-19 06:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,616 $2,546 97¢ $2.5K +$0 10-25 23:46
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +17,959 $1,820 14¢ $2.5K +$631 10-08 20:50
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +2,402 $2,277 97¢ $2.3K +$52 09-25 17:54
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +2,208 $2,027 90¢ $2.0K -$43 10-05 14:02
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9,130 $1,398 15¢ $1.3K -$60 10-19 15:25
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1,312 $1,261 96¢ $1.3K +$2 10-25 23:35
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1,331 $1,278 92¢ $1.2K -$55 10-15 17:34
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +1,119 $1,098 97¢ $1.1K -$9 10-26 06:19
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +984 $925 92¢ $910 -$15 10-15 22:05
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +938 $899 96¢ $902 +$2 10-26 00:34
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +796 $772 97¢ $772 +$1 10-18 15:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +778 $692 87¢ $678 -$14 10-10 06:50
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +7,346 $422 7¢ $503 +$81 10-18 23:54
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,331 $356 12¢ $498 +$142 10-19 11:59
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,835 $371 8¢ $411 +$40 10-19 19:17
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +282 $274 97¢ $274 +$0 10-21 11:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +257 $248 97¢ $249 +$1 10-21 23:10
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +231 $226 98¢ $226 +$0 10-23 07:49
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,208 $203 10¢ $224 +$21 10-10 10:54
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +4,017 $145 5¢ $209 +$64 10-26 20:25
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +146 $135 95¢ $139 +$4 09-29 10:29
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1,331 $56 8¢ $108 +$53 10-19 14:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +778 $98 13¢ $100 +$2 10-08 19:16
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +984 $60 8¢ $74 +$13 10-20 11:07