Reliable-Liver — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$127

Open exposure

$147

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-25 11:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 83% +$8

Other

26% 100% +$1

Sports

6% 100% +$2

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	+105	$105	100¢	$105	+$0	10-09 08:22
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	+27	$27	99¢	$27	$0	10-09 08:23
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+7	$7	100¢	$7	$0	08-20 12:04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-25 11:36
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	-3	-$3	99¢	$-3	+$0	07-08 06:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$719	722	0	+722	No	+$3	02-03 11:56
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	1	$708	709	0	+709	No	+$1	04-08 15:52
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$706	709	0	+709	No	+$3	03-04 13:07
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	1	$704	705	0	+705	No	+$1	05-10 13:00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	1	$686	687	0	+687	No	+$1	06-10 08:21
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	2	$290	147	147	+0	No	+$2	07-17 01:12
will bnb dip to 400 in january	1	$132	132	0	+132	No	+$0	01-22 13:23
will bnb dip to 100 in august	1	$126	126	0	+126	No	+$0	08-03 10:16
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	1	$122	0	122	-122	No	$0	01-22 13:21
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	10-09 08:22
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$63	63	0	+63	No	+$0	09-14 11:16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	10-09 08:23
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	06-24 14:11
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-14 08:33
Trump out as President by September 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	09-19 14:42
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	08-20 12:03
will avcce win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	03-04 13:06
Will BNB reach $1,000 in May?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-22 10:24
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	07-08 06:10
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	04-14 16:12
will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-03 12:02
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-19 10:18
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	08-20 12:04
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	09-14 11:18
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-10 13:02
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	06-10 08:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-10 13:01
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-24 13:55
open above 11 on march 31 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-19 08:58
nvda above 225 on february 6 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-03 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 11:36:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1f4a60…
10-09 08:23:00	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xb94d9d…
10-09 08:22:24	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xbc33d1…
09-19 14:42:17	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x919afe…
09-14 11:18:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb96e36…
09-14 11:16:52	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x03cd22…
08-20 12:04:03	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x18fce4…
08-20 12:03:00	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa2bd3e…
08-03 10:18:02	will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by july 31 2026 20260626210612732	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x72628d…
08-03 10:16:51	will bnb dip to 100 in august	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xd90c52…
07-17 01:12:52	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	147	99¢	$146	0xc6f9cc…
07-08 06:10:35	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0bb974…
07-08 06:09:19	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	147	98¢	$144	0x147ab7…
07-08 06:05:26	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf51cf0…
06-24 14:11:16	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf9921e…
06-14 08:33:36	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf21b41…
06-10 08:22:12	Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xac624d…
06-10 08:21:03	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	687	100¢	$686	0x1245f2…
05-22 10:24:44	Will BNB reach $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb2666a…
05-19 10:18:47	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2444c5…
05-19 10:17:42	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x525fc0…
05-10 13:02:54	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x090be4…
05-10 13:01:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbcde6e…
05-10 13:00:55	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	705	100¢	$704	0x25566d…
04-24 13:55:42	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb5617f…
04-14 16:12:17	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x4cf635…
04-08 15:52:53	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	709	100¢	$708	0xf1fc89…
03-24 06:42:09	nflx above 150 on march 27 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce8d1c…
03-19 08:58:45	open above 11 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x616d39…
03-04 13:07:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	709	100¢	$706	0x829e90…
03-04 13:06:25	will avcce win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdefb74…
02-03 12:03:12	nvda above 225 on february 6 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf71233…
02-03 12:02:26	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x489451…
02-03 11:56:52	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	722	100¢	$719	0x4e9c0b…
01-22 13:23:26	will bnb dip to 400 in january	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xd2ede8…
01-22 13:21:52	will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x694571…