Realized P&L (30d)
+$1.16K
Unrealized P&L
+$171
Hit rate
88.5%
Resolved (30d)
25
Trades (30d)
486
5,046 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$6.40K
$81.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$3.88K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 15:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Politics
74% 27% +$8,591
Other
26% 32% +$2,592
Sports
0% 50% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 201 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +1,000 $966 98¢ $983 +$17 10-01 13:08
Will Adam Hamilton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +303,212 $303 0¢ $455 +$152 11-02 18:25
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +447 $388 86¢ $382 -$6 10-13 14:41
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +58,005 $246 1¢ $319 +$73 11-03 14:04
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +10,326 $196 2¢ $222 +$26 11-03 12:42
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,000 $170 2¢ $215 +$45 10-14 07:18
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +119,518 $120 0¢ $179 +$60 11-03 14:44
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +5,000 $110 3¢ $173 +$63 11-02 21:28
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +10,000 $155 2¢ $150 -$5 11-02 23:48
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,910 $140 7¢ $136 -$4 11-03 14:58
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +5,000 $65 2¢ $88 +$23 11-02 18:15
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? Yes +80,000 $130 0¢ $80 -$50 11-03 13:07
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? Yes +8,372 $100 1¢ $80 -$20 11-02 23:31
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? Yes +7,500 $90 1¢ $79 -$11 11-02 23:30
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? Yes +17,413 $100 0¢ $61 -$39 11-02 23:33
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? Yes +20,000 $50 0¢ $40 -$10 11-03 13:09
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? Yes +15,400 $31 0¢ $38 +$8 11-03 14:07
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas? Yes +5,000 $20 0¢ $25 +$5 11-03 00:20
Will Republicans win Maine and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? Yes +13,000 $36 0¢ $20 -$16 11-03 13:09
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +5,000 $20 0¢ $18 -$2 11-02 23:50
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas? Yes +15,000 $30 0¢ $15 -$15 11-02 23:37
Will Republicans win Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan? Yes +15,000 $30 0¢ $15 -$15 11-02 23:35
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +10,000 $30 0¢ $15 -$15 11-02 23:39
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan? Yes +15,000 $30 0¢ $15 -$15 11-02 23:36
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? Yes +15,000 $30 0¢ $15 -$15 11-02 23:36
Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +15,000 $30 0¢ $15 -$15 11-02 23:50
Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +15,000 $30 0¢ $15 -$15 11-02 23:35
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan? Yes +10,000 $20 0¢ $10 -$10 11-02 23:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan? Yes +10,000 $20 0¢ $10 -$10 11-02 23:38
Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? Yes +10,000 $20 0¢ $10 -$10 11-02 23:35