Known-Cosset — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$192

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.5%

Resolved

334

Trades

1,547

lifetime

Volume

$2.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 08-20 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 48% -$135

Other

18% 69% -$52

Politics

2% 38% -$5

Sports

2% 62% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 22?	23	$53	571	81	+490	No	-$10	05-23 03:33
Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?	11	$41	39	29	+10	Up	+$4	05-26 19:13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 29?	43	$34	20	15	+5	Yes	+$0	05-29 09:17
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 26?	6	$30	40	15	+25	Yes	+$0	05-26 19:13
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 26?	8	$29	20	15	+5	No	+$1	05-26 19:13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?	4	$28	15	13	+2	No	+$0	05-29 09:10
Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 22?	23	$28	47	47	+0	No	-$4	05-22 19:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9AM ET	8	$27	27	40	-13	Down	-$18	05-31 13:38
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 26?	8	$26	30	15	+15	No	-$2	05-26 19:13
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 26?	7	$25	30	10	+20	No	-$5	05-26 19:13
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 23?	17	$24	47	32	+15	Yes	+$2	05-23 00:50
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23?	15	$24	69	70	-1	No	+$0	05-22 23:45
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 24?	9	$22	41	15	+26	No	-$2	05-24 10:27
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on May 29?	5	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-29 07:27
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 29?	3	$18	10	8	+2	No	+$0	05-30 04:36
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 30?	3	$18	10	8	+2	No	+$0	05-30 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	9	$17	35	0	+35	Down	-$7	06-01 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9AM ET	4	$17	15	15	+0	Down	-$6	05-31 13:38
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 23?	4	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	-$2	05-22 18:28
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 18-24?	4	$16	15	10	+5	No	-$2	05-24 18:40
iran closes its airspace by june 8	6	$16	29	10	+19	Yes	-$1	06-11 06:09
XRP Up or Down on May 18?	4	$15	15	10	+5	Down	$0	05-26 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	8	$15	114	0	+114	Down	-$5	06-01 07:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?	4	$15	149	0	+149	Yes	+$0	05-24 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	7	$15	30	0	+30	Down	-$10	06-01 14:42
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?	10	$15	47	0	+47	No	+$0	05-19 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	14	$15	76	0	+76	Down	-$5	06-01 10:44
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 20?	10	$15	88	0	+88	No	+$0	05-21 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	11	$15	35	0	+35	Down	-$10	06-01 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	9	$15	36	0	+36	Down	+$1	06-01 09:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 23:00:16	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xb9f776…
07-29 04:32:12	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x52ac33…
07-29 04:32:11	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$1	0xe60e26…
07-28 17:07:26	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x017246…
07-14 01:40:14	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x49deaf…
07-14 00:04:35	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x77e45d…
07-14 00:04:34	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xf8e8c2…
07-14 00:04:34	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xe7668e…
07-14 00:04:34	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xdabf34…
07-14 00:04:34	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x680481…
07-14 00:04:34	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x40a09a…
07-13 21:05:22	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x4e6162…
07-13 17:10:14	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x7abf80…
07-13 06:43:10	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x42d199…
07-06 22:47:11	Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0xbd62df…
07-06 17:40:14	Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xa1710b…
07-06 16:44:04	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb29231…
07-06 14:39:50	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2a3b6c…
07-06 14:31:46	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x0d979a…
07-05 23:40:16	Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xe21ae1…
06-24 13:19:47	Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x10206a…
06-23 17:18:29	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2ca743…
06-23 17:18:26	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xf12dfb…
06-23 03:53:31	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$1	0x30bf2d…
06-22 22:14:31	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x2d2ee3…
06-22 22:09:29	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xb703f0…
06-22 22:09:29	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x894c76…
06-22 22:09:16	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x169c48…
06-22 20:37:19	israeli forces enter beirut by june 30	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa1d3b3…
06-22 16:18:55	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xae9af1…
06-22 04:04:55	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x7480ea…
06-21 22:32:29	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	79	1¢	$1	0x532034…
06-21 22:31:47	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0x1d09ab…
06-21 22:31:19	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	154	1¢	$1	0x4ebee3…
06-21 22:31:10	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xa1de75…
06-21 22:24:19	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3046b4…
06-21 22:23:32	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x39c9fa…
06-21 22:06:49	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf766a5…
06-20 19:52:29	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x953cf0…
06-17 15:09:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30f9b9…
06-17 15:08:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1bc45c…
06-15 18:24:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdcb98b…
06-13 19:54:12	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0xe3f47d…
06-13 19:44:10	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x21d942…
06-13 19:34:40	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	105	2¢	$2	0x6448ef…
06-13 19:30:12	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xa2fe15…
06-13 19:30:10	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x84ae8f…
06-13 19:29:06	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x08a8a7…
06-13 19:28:42	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$0	0x0da4a3…
06-13 19:28:01	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xe69f17…
06-13 19:27:45	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x78669f…
06-13 19:27:37	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x283513…
06-13 19:26:25	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x932de3…
06-13 19:25:51	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x29b127…
06-13 19:25:24	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0x66d0b4…
06-13 19:25:13	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xdc3c18…
06-12 10:44:10	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x70f987…
06-12 10:36:51	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x08918b…
06-11 06:09:27	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x409f87…
06-11 04:08:15	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf513a8…
06-11 00:09:52	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$0	0x243d83…
06-10 23:32:54	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x838a0c…
06-10 23:32:54	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x359ce9…
06-10 23:32:52	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xe31fab…
06-10 23:32:52	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x6ed90a…
06-10 23:32:52	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x4e33ad…
06-10 23:32:52	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	115	0¢	$0	0x2f8b6f…
06-10 23:29:52	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x0bd950…
06-10 23:28:00	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x9e7a51…
06-10 23:23:46	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xa3954e…
06-10 23:23:46	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x96e014…
06-10 23:23:46	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x5bb331…
06-10 23:23:46	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0x1acc10…
06-10 23:11:04	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xb1e181…
06-10 23:11:04	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x95c191…
06-10 23:10:27	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x1521e9…
06-10 22:14:31	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x908936…
06-10 18:36:24	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	SELL	335	0¢	$1	0x4e3db4…
06-10 17:36:22	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0xb0b025…
06-10 15:09:43	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	121	0¢	$0	0xcb6767…
06-10 15:09:39	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0xad2405…
06-10 15:09:36	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xaef91c…
06-10 15:09:34	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xfba9a1…
06-10 15:09:33	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x2577b3…
06-10 15:09:31	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xc7140d…
06-10 15:09:31	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0x3345cc…
06-10 15:09:30	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x73f1c4…
06-10 14:55:30	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xfbb939…
06-10 14:36:03	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x15335e…
06-10 14:32:15	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf21276…
06-10 14:32:15	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x80b3bb…
06-10 14:32:15	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x3cb702…
06-10 14:28:57	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x572b87…
06-10 13:56:33	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x75cec7…
06-09 15:53:09	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x4e8cfe…
06-09 06:55:06	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xd4d6e6…
06-08 12:49:39	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x760e92…
06-07 22:07:16	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x384792…
06-07 21:19:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4c47e4…
06-07 20:30:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd70150…