Muddy-Package — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$900

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 07-22 01:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

55% — —

Sports

22% 100% +$0

Politics

16% 100% +$0

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	3	$196	135	135	+0	open	—	07-06 13:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$147	83	83	+0	open	—	07-02 06:54
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$104	61	61	+0	open	—	06-26 21:22
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$94	51	51	+0	open	—	06-26 21:23
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	1	$67	88	0	+88	open	—	05-27 20:27
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$62	35	35	+0	open	—	06-26 21:23
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$59	32	32	+0	open	—	06-26 21:22
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$53	60	0	+60	open	—	07-22 01:41
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$51	55	0	+55	open	—	05-27 20:27
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	07-02 06:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	5	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-27 20:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-27 20:26
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-27 20:28
Rainbow FDV above $600M one day after launch?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-31 12:03
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-26 07:23
ethereum etf flows on february 26	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-26 07:22
Rainbow FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-31 12:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-05 21:23
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$1	1	0	+1	Thunder	+$0	05-05 21:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 01:41:22	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x65994f…
07-22 01:40:06	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xbebd01…
07-06 13:27:05	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	135	65¢	$88	0x330e3d…
07-02 06:55:59	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	39	80¢	$31	0x485bc2…
07-02 06:55:19	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	96	80¢	$77	0xf6a5e7…
07-02 06:54:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x76c81b…
07-02 06:54:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	83	88¢	$73	0x5a69d5…
06-26 21:25:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x3f18b5…
06-26 21:24:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	83	89¢	$74	0xd90bbe…
06-26 21:23:23	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	35	86¢	$30	0xbf641c…
06-26 21:23:10	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	93¢	$47	0xec6bd3…
06-26 21:22:55	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	61	87¢	$53	0xc430c4…
06-26 21:22:44	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	32	92¢	$29	0x62e9ae…
06-14 16:07:55	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xc0ce00…
06-14 16:07:33	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0x3d8d9a…
06-14 16:07:06	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	84¢	$51	0xef6c50…
06-14 16:06:55	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	91¢	$46	0x99c17a…
05-27 20:28:26	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x5b9d96…
05-27 20:27:42	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	76¢	$67	0x32dfe6…
05-27 20:27:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0x5b0f49…
05-27 20:26:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x137ffc…
05-27 20:26:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbcdbd4…
05-05 21:24:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc99918…
05-05 21:24:02	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x8634b6…
05-05 21:23:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xef6754…
05-05 21:23:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x026e8c…
05-05 21:23:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd81c00…
05-05 21:23:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4d4d59…
05-05 21:23:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5462f9…
02-26 07:23:10	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2ccec7…
02-26 07:23:02	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x79d240…
02-26 07:22:32	ethereum etf flows on february 26	Positive	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x484cdb…
01-31 12:03:58	Rainbow FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd7a40a…
01-31 12:03:52	Rainbow FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x36f4ec…