Realized P&L
+$33
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
87.6%
Resolved
116
Trades
259
lifetime
Volume
$817
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$47
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 11-06 12:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Other
67% 67% +$27
Politics
32% 87% +$7
Tech
1% 0% -$1
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 7? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 $0 11-06 10:29
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 11-04 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on November 6? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 11-06 10:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 11-04 10:39
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 10-21 11:17
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -3 -$3 98¢ $-3 $0 07-21 07:30
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -2 -$2 97¢ $-2 $0 06-08 13:29
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $0 11-04 10:59
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -16 -$4 12¢ $-2 +$2 05-11 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 7? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $0 11-06 12:50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 7? No +2 $2 80¢ $2 $0 11-05 16:09
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 08-17 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on November 6? No +2 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 11-06 12:50