Reflecting-Normalization 0x615fcf…e75f37
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Realized P&L
-$276
Unrealized P&L
+$29
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
856
Trades
2,181
lifetime
Volume
$13.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$277
22 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 10-28 07:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 163 days
Categories
Other
53% 48% +$456
Crypto
30% 31% -$310
Politics
11% 38% -$277
Tech
3% 29% -$52
Sports
2% 46% -$26
Pop-Culture
1% 14% -$66
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 No +63 -$12 60¢ $37 +$50 08-10 11:26
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553 No +40 $20 88¢ $35 +$15 08-20 16:14
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +40 $14 55¢ $22 +$8 10-27 08:50
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +20 $16 99¢ $20 +$4 10-14 06:55
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +20 $12 98¢ $20 +$8 09-16 21:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +20 $16 98¢ $20 +$4 10-08 06:47
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +20 $12 94¢ $19 +$7 10-09 06:36
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? No +20 $15 93¢ $19 +$3 10-16 06:11
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +20 $14 82¢ $16 +$2 10-14 06:18
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +20 $15 76¢ $15 $0 10-14 06:19
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +80 $10 14¢ $11 +$0 10-07 14:34
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -10 -$8 94¢ $-9 -$1 05-08 06:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +10 $8 93¢ $9 +$2 08-06 12:14
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +25 $18 36¢ $9 -$9 10-20 11:53
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +100 $0 6¢ $6 +$6 10-12 06:43
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +20 -$3 21¢ $4 +$7 10-13 09:56
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +30 $11 12¢ $4 -$7 10-02 07:14
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? No +70 $17 1¢ $1 -$16 10-01 06:14
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? No +50 $12 2¢ $1 -$12 10-01 06:11
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +300 $23 0¢ $0 -$22 10-27 15:31
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? Yes +50 $7 0¢ $0 -$7 09-24 14:02
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? No +39 $13 0¢ $0 -$13 10-11 07:09