Careful-Characteristic — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$56

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

22.7%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

14 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.20K

$1.20K lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

$181

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-12 21:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

57% 14% $-5

Crypto

43% 25% $-51

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No		+184	$178	98¢	$181	+$4	05-12 21:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	1	$179	180	0	+180	Yes	+$2	05-09 23:21
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	1	$178	184	0	+184	open	—	05-12 21:17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	1	$176	0	177	-177	Yes	$-0	05-07 15:27
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 6?	1	$145	0	198	-198	No	$-53	05-06 08:56
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?	1	$140	0	141	-141	No	$-0	05-12 14:23
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 12?	1	$116	0	116	-116	Yes	$-0	05-12 14:23
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 12?	1	$116	0	116	-116	No	$-0	05-12 14:23
Will Dan Frei be the Republican nominee for NE-02?	1	$64	0	64	-64	No	$-0	05-12 14:27
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	1	$53	54	0	+54	No	+$1	05-09 23:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 7?	2	$19	0	24	-24	No	$-5	05-07 03:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	2	$9	0	9	-9	Yes	$-0	05-11 14:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?	1	$2	0	3	-3	No	$-0	05-11 14:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 21:17:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	184	96¢	$178	0x3b008d…
05-12 14:27:59	Will Dan Frei be the Republican nominee for NE-02?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xae86c9…
05-12 14:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 12?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x21da6f…
05-12 14:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x69e109…
05-12 14:23:03	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$140	0x363fcc…
05-11 14:21:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?	No	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x93b194…
05-11 14:08:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe61b42…
05-11 14:07:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbab043…
05-09 23:26:25	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x279feb…
05-09 23:21:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	180	99¢	$179	0xb649c3…
05-07 15:27:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	177	100¢	$176	0xd095e2…
05-07 03:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 7?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x26e262…
05-07 03:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 7?	No	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0xdbf7e6…
05-06 08:56:32	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 6?	No	SELL	198	73¢	$145	0x0b590d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	5	$708	48	05-13 03:52
Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d	4	$588	17	05-12 20:37
Happy-Default 0x4699…e03c	3	$2.57K	3	05-13 00:35
Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad	3	$543	25	05-13 08:43