Recent-Moustache — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$540

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

214

Trades

571

lifetime

Volume

$9.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-01

last 10-15 19:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% -$540

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$440	372	161	+211	Down	-$160	10-15 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$331	360	238	+122	Up	+$31	10-15 17:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:05 UTC	2	$260	161	161	+0	Down	+$60	09-28 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$259	177	177	+0	Down	+$59	10-15 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$254	200	200	+0	Up	+$54	10-15 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$244	155	155	+0	Down	+$44	10-15 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$225	179	179	+0	Up	+$25	10-15 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$225	139	139	+0	Down	+$25	10-15 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$217	132	132	+0	Up	+$17	10-15 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	5	$186	212	186	+26	Up	+$26	10-15 17:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:35 UTC	3	$157	233	119	+114	Down	-$43	09-28 16:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:50 UTC	4	$142	201	87	+114	Up	-$38	09-28 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$134	131	84	+48	Up	+$14	10-15 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$123	81	81	+0	Down	+$23	10-15 16:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:00 UTC	2	$122	77	77	+0	Down	+$22	09-28 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:05 UTC	2	$122	115	115	+0	Up	+$22	09-28 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$120	96	96	+0	Down	+$70	06-02 06:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:40 UTC	2	$116	69	69	+0	Down	+$16	09-28 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$116	68	68	+0	Up	+$16	10-15 17:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:10 UTC	2	$105	707	0	+707	Up	-$105	09-28 17:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:55 UTC	1	$100	164	0	+164	Up	-$100	09-28 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$100	156	0	+156	Down	-$100	10-15 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$100	141	0	+141	Down	-$100	10-15 18:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:15 UTC	4	$98	86	74	+12	Down	+$26	09-28 17:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:20 UTC	4	$95	72	72	+0	Down	+$15	09-28 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$87	62	62	+0	Down	+$37	06-02 06:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:45 UTC	4	$85	124	124	+0	Up	+$15	09-28 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	9	$79	97	85	+12	Up	+$11	09-11 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:00 UTC	7	$74	73	73	+0	Up	+$4	09-28 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	5	$74	56	56	+0	Down	+$38	10-15 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 19:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x72be27…
10-15 19:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0xce1aa0…
10-15 19:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x6df88e…
10-15 18:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xc42f4c…
10-15 18:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x390c7f…
10-15 18:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	177	90¢	$159	0xde7aff…
10-15 18:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	177	56¢	$100	0xe2e7f8…
10-15 18:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xc694a7…
10-15 18:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	161	87¢	$140	0x7c4f17…
10-15 18:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xa086bf…
10-15 17:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0xbd755b…
10-15 17:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x85b1e7…
10-15 17:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	155	93¢	$144	0x6c9bb1…
10-15 17:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	155	64¢	$100	0x52e981…
10-15 17:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x48d148…
10-15 17:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	238	76¢	$181	0xaab1e8…
10-15 17:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x8d6214…
10-15 17:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	179	70¢	$125	0x3f1d7f…
10-15 17:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xd10d3d…
10-15 17:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	132	89¢	$117	0x38a28f…
10-15 17:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x9cb313…
10-15 17:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	139	90¢	$125	0x4dcb9f…
10-15 17:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xbc05d7…
10-15 17:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x9fd306…
10-15 17:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xbb7912…
10-15 17:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xe1b2bc…
10-15 17:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	68	97¢	$66	0x0d4a58…
10-15 17:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xb13668…
10-15 17:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x453a8e…
10-15 17:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	53	40¢	$21	0xb2dede…
10-15 17:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x37ad21…
10-15 17:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	133	64¢	$85	0xd47ccd…
10-15 17:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	133	45¢	$60	0xdd9ee5…
10-15 17:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x17c248…
10-15 17:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xee02fb…
10-15 16:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0x4afa0d…
10-15 16:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xbf3b73…
10-15 16:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	81	90¢	$73	0xfed444…
10-15 16:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x117884…
10-15 16:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x1a371e…
10-15 16:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa5d64a…
10-15 16:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	23	16¢	$4	0x02075b…
10-15 16:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x5c844b…
10-15 16:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x393b2b…
10-15 16:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	84	88¢	$74	0x3ae04b…
10-15 16:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	84	60¢	$50	0x580095…
10-15 16:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0xefa80a…
10-15 16:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x72caac…
10-15 16:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfc3040…
10-15 16:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x595cb5…
10-15 16:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x139c79…
10-15 16:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x985d7f…
10-15 16:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x53fd1a…
10-15 16:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xec4eca…
10-15 16:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd81679…
10-15 16:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	33	42¢	$14	0xe2794c…
10-15 16:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x521962…
10-15 16:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	29	79¢	$23	0x04c651…
10-15 16:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x76f250…
10-15 16:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0x2c854e…
10-15 16:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x35f5e8…
10-15 16:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	24	68¢	$16	0xc1361b…
10-15 16:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xfdbd23…
10-15 16:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xa78b26…
10-15 16:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0xe9542d…
10-15 16:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x07202a…
10-15 16:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	56	32¢	$18	0x7611b5…
10-15 16:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x9fc7f3…
10-04 19:57:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd4287d…
10-04 19:50:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x38a662…
10-04 19:49:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0x3c610f…
10-04 19:45:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x46211d…
10-04 19:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:35 UTC	Up	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x6a8b39…
10-04 19:35:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x37ad37…
10-04 19:32:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:30 UTC	Down	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x88868f…
10-04 19:31:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x41d83a…
10-04 19:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x1fa8d3…
10-04 19:30:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6641a1…
10-04 19:26:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x2157c9…
10-04 19:25:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:25 UTC	Down	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x0fe891…
10-04 19:25:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x250e26…
10-04 19:23:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xc10959…
10-04 19:23:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xefea76…
10-04 19:23:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x9068b5…
10-04 19:22:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0xe64691…
10-04 19:20:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x1481d4…
10-04 19:15:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x1de95f…
10-04 19:14:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x241bcc…
09-28 17:40:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xb916ae…
09-28 17:39:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x362805…
09-28 17:38:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:35 UTC	Up	SELL	35	76¢	$27	0x96723e…
09-28 17:36:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd8f766…
09-28 17:35:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0b4574…
09-28 17:30:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x2f0151…
09-28 17:30:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xbfaffa…
09-28 17:25:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xaac08e…
09-28 17:25:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x3eeb07…
09-28 17:24:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:20 UTC	Down	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x9d8e3d…
09-28 17:23:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:20 UTC	Up	SELL	42	61¢	$25	0xa7d023…
09-28 17:21:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x1e5d35…