Lucky-Fright — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

12.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

660 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$519

$40.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

$84

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 12:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 31% -$86

Other

9% 61% -$21

Politics

0% 50% $0

Sports

0% 49% -$1

Tech

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in November?	No		+71	$70	97¢	$69	-$1	11-04 12:51
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes		+17	$15	84¢	$15	$0	11-03 14:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$1.2K	602	602	+0	No	-$2	01-07 10:21
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	2	$1.1K	545	545	+0	No	+$0	05-12 14:15
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	2	$1.1K	545	545	+0	No	-$1	05-14 11:08
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	2	$1.1K	545	545	+0	No	+$0	05-16 13:38
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	2	$1.1K	545	545	+0	No	+$0	05-15 12:43
will solana reach 160 in july 2026	2	$930	466	466	+0	No	+$0	07-11 15:50
will solana reach 150 in july 2026	2	$928	465	465	+0	No	+$0	07-14 15:02
will solana reach 140 in july 2026	2	$926	465	465	+0	No	$0	07-16 17:02
will solana reach 130 in july 2026	2	$921	465	465	+0	No	-$6	07-17 09:33
will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	2	$912	465	465	+0	No	-$8	07-21 16:12
will xrp reach 1pt8 in july 2026	2	$902	455	455	+0	No	-$1	07-22 17:12
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	2	$890	455	455	+0	No	+$0	07-25 17:54
will solana reach 110 in july 2026	2	$889	448	448	+0	No	-$1	07-23 17:22
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	2	$881	445	445	+0	No	+$0	07-24 17:22
will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	3	$878	440	440	+0	No	+$1	07-28 14:25
will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	2	$877	444	444	+0	No	-$3	07-29 16:45
will solana reach 150 december 29 january 4	1	$600	604	0	+604	No	+$4	01-01 18:19
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	4	$320	160	160	+0	No	$0	08-29 17:37
will bitcoin dip to 55k in september 2026	4	$260	132	132	+0	No	$0	09-04 23:53
will solana reach 150 in february 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-22 16:07
Will Solana reach $160 in May?	3	$180	91	91	+0	No	$0	05-09 14:14
will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	07-31 16:48
will solana reach 160 in august 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	08-14 15:44
will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	08-06 12:22
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	05-28 12:02
will xrp reach 2pt6 in march 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	03-29 06:03
will bnb reach 1100 in march	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-19 17:04
will solana reach 120 in march 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-30 06:55
will xrp reach 2pt2 in august 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	08-12 15:51
Will Solana reach $130 in May?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	05-23 08:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 12:51:22	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in November?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x8bd594…
11-04 12:50:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0xfc1566…
11-03 14:19:25	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x165c8d…
11-03 14:17:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x625ae7…
11-03 14:15:30	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0x0d2106…
11-03 14:15:06	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x31db18…
11-02 13:37:52	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xa926df…
10-30 06:50:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x95fbad…
10-30 06:50:01	Will XRP reach $2.80 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x6023d7…
10-28 15:20:40	Will XRP reach $2.80 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xe51652…
10-28 15:15:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xe45fee…
10-27 13:37:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x2274aa…
10-27 13:35:23	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x42d6c5…
10-26 13:27:53	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x6064ce…
10-26 13:27:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x6e26d4…
10-23 12:13:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xb005e7…
10-23 12:11:59	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x445579…
10-22 11:47:18	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x405d33…
10-22 11:45:24	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0xe726c3…
10-21 13:51:54	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xf5dcb8…
10-21 13:50:09	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x936d39…
10-20 10:51:50	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x7f2365…
10-20 10:50:18	Will Solana dip to $40 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x86c2d2…
10-19 13:13:02	Will Solana dip to $40 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x9732b2…
10-19 13:12:12	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x6ebcb8…
10-16 11:25:36	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xf6063d…
10-16 11:24:21	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x668ea9…
10-15 09:14:50	will ethereum reach 3600 in october 2026	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x140db5…
10-15 09:14:05	will solana reach 200 in october 2026	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xb2de9b…
10-14 10:01:10	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xd3bd61…
10-14 09:59:11	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xfb5e85…
10-13 14:14:10	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x2c5da3…
10-13 14:12:59	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xec3fac…
10-12 14:11:42	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x61c214…
10-12 14:10:12	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x1f4c8a…
10-09 15:01:16	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x00308a…
10-09 15:00:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	72	96¢	$69	0x6757c2…
10-08 13:25:38	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x43bceb…
10-08 13:25:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	No	SELL	72	96¢	$69	0x2b614e…
10-07 10:15:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0xcb7cac…
10-07 10:14:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xf06820…
10-06 11:15:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x994d3e…
10-06 11:13:22	Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xf255dc…
10-05 14:12:47	Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xeec6bf…
10-05 14:10:49	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0xa0ac8b…
10-02 12:22:38	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x43058c…
10-02 12:22:09	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0xb04802…
10-01 11:56:48	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xff19b6…
10-01 11:55:53	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x69ca55…
10-01 11:53:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x8fffb6…
09-30 10:24:45	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xc7fc0f…
09-30 10:23:20	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x2670f0…
09-29 11:48:24	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x0b447e…
09-29 11:45:05	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xd4eaa0…
09-28 14:56:57	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x665509…
09-28 14:54:47	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x69773b…
09-25 11:38:27	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x1d3b8f…
09-25 11:36:11	Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0xfdbab5…
09-24 11:00:33	Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x432da3…
09-24 10:58:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x09b9b8…
09-23 11:35:37	will wti reach 150 in september 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xbe70c7…
09-23 11:34:04	Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x7fe95a…
09-22 10:14:06	Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xe0253c…
09-22 10:11:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x39bb3b…
09-21 14:49:36	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x3ab677…
09-19 08:07:45	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x09b9d0…
09-18 14:01:29	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x789fb2…
09-18 13:59:38	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x40a15c…
09-17 12:10:48	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x419c9b…
09-17 12:09:15	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0x4ebc9e…
09-16 11:37:16	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x61ccbb…
09-16 11:35:34	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x63405b…
09-15 12:47:25	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x059e0d…
09-15 12:44:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x44ce83…
09-14 13:26:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xa97a7c…
09-14 13:19:49	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x858161…
09-12 08:21:21	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xaf3e9a…
09-12 08:17:51	Will Solana reach $200 in September?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x6cb1a8…
09-11 07:38:51	Will Solana reach $200 in September?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0xa7c534…
09-11 07:36:57	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x8e8c42…
09-10 08:47:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x91ffb3…
09-10 08:44:55	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x3dd1e7…
09-10 08:43:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	SELL	17	89¢	$16	0x5b3b2a…
09-10 08:42:52	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x87c19f…
09-09 12:48:52	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x361b85…
09-09 12:47:31	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0x7cff83…
09-09 12:47:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9d8f4a…
09-08 10:08:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0xa865be…
09-08 10:06:06	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xcbf4f9…
09-08 10:04:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0x7d41d1…
09-08 10:03:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x98242f…
09-07 07:59:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x94e6a0…
09-07 07:52:21	Will Solana dip to $10 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x7b56da…
09-05 00:09:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x76a200…
09-05 00:07:00	will solana dip to 10 in september 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xe1bba8…
09-04 23:53:33	will bitcoin dip to 55k in september 2026	No	SELL	61	98¢	$59	0xe1103d…
09-03 15:34:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x6476a3…
09-03 15:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 4?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x772ff8…
09-03 15:28:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x917b3d…
09-02 15:03:37	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe8b4e5…