Awful-Affect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$376

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$16.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$244

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-11

last 06-30 05:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

77% 67% $-376

Politics

23% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	$0	94¢	$0	+$0	06-04 05:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$1.8K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	04-19 07:50
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	2	$903	491	491	+0	open	—	06-04 05:25
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$817	439	439	+0	open	—	06-03 08:33
US military draft authorized in 2026?	2	$778	425	425	+0	open	—	05-29 05:15
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	6	$774	410	410	+0	open	—	06-02 05:56
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	2	$668	350	350	+0	open	—	05-05 05:23
us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	2	$646	357	357	+0	open	—	06-30 05:31
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$640	324	324	+0	open	—	04-25 06:51
Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?	2	$614	335	335	+0	open	—	05-31 05:44
trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	3	$557	301	301	+0	open	—	06-06 07:55
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by May 31?	2	$490	320	320	+0	open	—	05-10 07:27
dota2 vpp balu 2026 06 08 game2 both teams destroy barracks	1	$483	531	0	+531	open	—	06-08 06:15
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5	1	$460	499	0	+499	open	—	06-07 05:06
lol koia ucam1 2026 06 04 game1 both teams slay baron	1	$456	496	0	+496	open	—	06-04 05:30
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	1	$425	434	0	+434	Sevilla FC	+$9	05-09 07:24
lol hrts bar 2026 06 03 game1 both teams slay baron	1	$422	459	0	+459	open	—	06-03 08:36
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)	1	$402	432	0	+432	Shandong Taishan FC	$-402	05-05 06:48
Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)	1	$395	411	0	+411	open	—	04-27 08:47
Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	1	$394	410	0	+410	National Bank of Egypt Club	+$16	05-07 06:22
Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)	1	$390	395	0	+395	open	—	04-26 06:30
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)	1	$389	424	0	+424	open	—	06-02 06:31
Spread: Dinamo 1948 (-2.5)	1	$387	412	0	+412	open	—	05-29 05:19
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	1	$372	392	0	+392	open	—	05-28 06:17
Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)	1	$368	392	0	+392	open	—	04-25 06:53
Spread: Poland (-2.5)	1	$359	386	0	+386	open	—	05-31 05:48
Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	1	$348	352	0	+352	FCSB	+$4	05-11 10:00
Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)	1	$290	294	0	+294	Aston Villa FC	+$4	05-10 08:01
wttmen an lebrun 2026 03 12	1	$220	310	0	+310	open	—	03-12 11:35
wta kawa monnet 2026 03 13	1	$196	230	0	+230	open	—	03-13 09:03
val bbb lyon 2026 03 11	1	$193	230	0	+230	open	—	03-11 08:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 05:31:52	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	357	90¢	$321	0xc7890b…
06-30 03:14:05	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	357	91¢	$325	0x12ac28…
06-08 06:15:03	dota2 vpp balu 2026 06 08 game2 both teams destroy barracks	No	BUY	531	91¢	$483	0x658e4a…
06-07 05:06:55	Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	499	92¢	$460	0x98fa99…
06-06 07:55:37	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	No	SELL	148	92¢	$136	0x9e4fc7…
06-06 07:55:36	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	No	SELL	153	92¢	$140	0x443ed5…
06-06 05:18:30	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	No	BUY	301	93¢	$280	0xb245ce…
06-04 05:30:33	lol koia ucam1 2026 06 04 game1 both teams slay baron	No	BUY	496	92¢	$456	0x24494e…
06-04 05:25:58	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	491	92¢	$452	0x6fb2f8…
06-04 02:10:55	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	491	92¢	$452	0x9a698a…
06-03 08:36:00	lol hrts bar 2026 06 03 game1 both teams slay baron	No	BUY	459	92¢	$422	0x95e1ff…
06-03 08:33:56	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	439	93¢	$408	0x99051a…
06-03 07:09:38	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	439	93¢	$408	0x684f2d…
06-02 06:31:39	Spread: Ghana (-1.5)	Wales	BUY	424	92¢	$389	0x27ec1c…
06-02 05:56:58	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xfe9d76…
06-02 05:56:58	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xfe8be3…
06-02 05:56:58	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xfa21ac…
06-02 05:56:58	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x7d5aa4…
06-02 05:56:58	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x10d1e9…
06-02 03:11:30	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	No	BUY	410	94¢	$385	0x53c8fe…
05-31 05:48:18	Spread: Poland (-2.5)	Ukraine	BUY	386	93¢	$359	0x148cfb…
05-31 05:44:24	Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?	No	SELL	335	92¢	$309	0xdfe512…
05-31 02:27:52	Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?	No	BUY	335	91¢	$305	0x71980c…
05-30 06:37:19	Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)	AD Ceuta FC	BUY	391	9¢	$35	0x0623d6…
05-30 06:37:17	Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)	AD Ceuta FC	BUY	390	9¢	$35	0xad44fa…
05-30 06:34:43	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	Yes	SELL	706	7¢	$49	0xc12eed…
05-30 02:07:10	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	Yes	BUY	325	5¢	$16	0x2cbf9d…
05-30 02:07:05	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	Yes	BUY	381	5¢	$19	0x02826f…
05-29 05:19:45	Spread: Dinamo 1948 (-2.5)	FCSB	BUY	412	94¢	$387	0xec6a38…
05-29 05:15:06	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	425	91¢	$387	0xf93b74…
05-29 02:04:06	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	425	92¢	$391	0xda139f…
05-28 06:17:53	Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	No	BUY	392	95¢	$372	0x12a1de…
05-11 10:00:15	Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	FCSB	BUY	352	99¢	$348	0x8a7cdd…
05-10 08:01:07	Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	294	99¢	$290	0x66d7e0…
05-10 07:27:10	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by May 31?	No	SELL	320	55¢	$175	0x8c1b59…
05-10 05:38:36	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by May 31?	No	BUY	320	98¢	$314	0xbd2a83…
05-09 07:24:56	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	434	98¢	$425	0xcb994a…
05-07 06:22:59	Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	National Bank of Egypt Club	BUY	410	96¢	$394	0x44ac2b…
05-06 09:00:04	Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)	Dalian Yingbo FC	BUY	301	1¢	$4	0x9d6a77…
05-06 09:00:02	Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)	Dalian Yingbo FC	BUY	304	1¢	$4	0x0b8c39…
05-06 07:29:46	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	340	2¢	$8	0xd8306e…
05-06 07:29:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	380	2¢	$9	0x44bd77…
05-06 06:00:36	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	420	2¢	$10	0xf8a05b…
05-06 06:00:30	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$7	0x808f82…
05-05 06:48:48	Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)	Shanghai Shenhua FC	BUY	432	93¢	$402	0xace1d0…
05-05 05:23:56	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	SELL	350	94¢	$330	0xb5b37a…
05-05 04:45:54	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	BUY	350	96¢	$338	0x8e8a38…
04-27 08:47:18	Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)	Beşiktaş JK	BUY	411	96¢	$395	0xa87c8b…
04-26 06:30:46	Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	395	99¢	$390	0xaf2902…
04-25 06:53:24	Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)	Eyüpspor	BUY	392	94¢	$368	0xf5f1fd…
04-25 06:51:56	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x0cc165…
04-25 06:51:30	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	312	99¢	$309	0xc313a4…
04-25 02:05:24	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	324	98¢	$319	0xb58f3e…
04-19 07:50:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	6,000	14¢	$821	0xb78056…
04-19 06:48:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,898	16¢	$304	0xced415…
04-19 06:48:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	4,102	16¢	$656	0xbf8e82…
03-17 07:01:53	val gdr xc 2026 03 17	xCrew Esports	BUY	240	18¢	$43	0x96b1cb…
03-17 07:01:51	val gdr xc 2026 03 17	xCrew Esports	BUY	240	18¢	$43	0xf6c8e8…
03-16 05:51:07	atp brancac quilez 2026 03 16	Raul Brancaccio	BUY	320	60¢	$192	0x173b4f…
03-13 09:03:59	wta kawa monnet 2026 03 13	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	230	85¢	$196	0xfd90f9…
03-13 08:04:17	will crude oil cl settle at 75 80 in march 416	Yes	SELL	250	4¢	$10	0xbd8f99…
03-13 08:04:17	will crude oil cl settle at 75 80 in march 416	Yes	SELL	220	4¢	$8	0x38356e…
03-13 07:03:23	will crude oil cl settle at 75 80 in march 416	Yes	BUY	230	3¢	$7	0xb67de5…
03-13 07:03:23	will crude oil cl settle at 75 80 in march 416	Yes	BUY	240	3¢	$8	0x501f26…
03-12 11:35:17	wttmen an lebrun 2026 03 12	Lebrun	BUY	310	71¢	$220	0xdd324b…
03-11 08:40:57	val bbb lyon 2026 03 11	LYON	BUY	230	84¢	$193	0xf6e27a…