Realized P&L
+$2.66K
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
64.5%
Resolved
5,308
Trades
13,817
lifetime
Volume
$98.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.12K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 10-29 06:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Other
57% 56% +$2,048
Crypto
37% 45% +$328
Politics
4% 60% +$186
Sports
1% 47% +$97
Tech
1% 67% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 484 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +308 $164 60¢ $184 +$20 10-08 04:39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +111 $99 98¢ $109 +$10 10-24 07:50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +82 $62 84¢ $70 +$8 10-23 20:09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +86 $68 79¢ $69 +$0 10-25 15:52
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +66 $60 96¢ $63 +$3 10-19 22:05
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +95 $59 64¢ $60 +$1 10-22 09:08
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +50 $39 89¢ $44 +$5 10-02 11:17
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +41 $40 100¢ $41 +$1 10-25 16:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +59 $35 68¢ $40 +$5 10-22 06:43
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +43 $40 94¢ $40 +$0 09-29 15:00
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +62 $37 64¢ $40 +$3 10-12 02:15
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +47 $40 82¢ $38 -$2 10-24 07:14
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +25 $20 99¢ $25 +$5 10-27 20:16
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +34 $20 69¢ $23 +$4 09-29 02:55
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +23 $20 100¢ $23 +$4 10-18 18:14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +133 $25 17¢ $22 -$3 09-15 16:38
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +22 $20 94¢ $21 +$1 10-02 11:17
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +78 $19 26¢ $20 +$1 10-17 07:29
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +61 $20 32¢ $20 $0 10-22 13:23
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +20 $20 96¢ $20 $0 10-26 03:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +24 $20 82¢ $19 -$1 10-18 21:41
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +41 $20 46¢ $19 -$1 10-01 09:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +28 $20 66¢ $18 -$2 10-19 15:20
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +25 $20 72¢ $18 -$2 10-06 13:17
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +33 $20 48¢ $16 -$4 10-02 23:03
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? Yes +53 $19 30¢ $15 -$4 10-10 12:09
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +97 $19 14¢ $13 -$6 10-18 10:01
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +13 $11 90¢ $12 +$1 08-13 19:08
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +93 $39 12¢ $11 -$28 10-11 22:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $10 40¢ $6 -$3 09-24 16:28