Realized P&L
+$2.68K
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
64.7%
Resolved
5,334
Trades
13,901
lifetime
Volume
$100.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.37K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 10-30 16:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 88 days
Categories
Other
57% 57% +$2,048
Crypto
37% 46% +$390
Politics
4% 60% +$147
Sports
1% 47% +$97
Tech
1% 67% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 484 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +328 $220 72¢ $235 +$15 10-29 17:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +308 $164 58¢ $179 +$15 10-08 04:39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +111 $99 98¢ $109 +$11 10-24 07:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +126 $113 85¢ $107 -$6 10-29 17:00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +82 $62 83¢ $68 +$6 10-23 20:09
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +95 $59 70¢ $66 +$7 10-22 09:08
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +66 $60 96¢ $63 +$3 10-19 22:05
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +50 $39 89¢ $44 +$5 10-02 11:17
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +59 $35 70¢ $41 +$6 10-22 06:43
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +43 $40 95¢ $40 +$0 09-29 15:00
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +62 $37 64¢ $40 +$3 10-12 02:15
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +47 $40 81¢ $38 -$2 10-24 07:14
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +25 $20 99¢ $25 +$5 10-27 20:16
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +34 $20 70¢ $24 +$4 09-29 02:55
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +23 $20 98¢ $23 +$3 10-18 18:14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +133 $25 16¢ $21 -$4 09-15 16:38
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +22 $20 96¢ $21 +$1 10-29 15:44
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$1 10-02 11:17
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +61 $20 34¢ $20 +$0 10-22 13:23
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +41 $20 48¢ $20 $0 10-01 09:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +24 $20 82¢ $19 -$1 10-18 21:41
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +78 $19 25¢ $19 +$0 10-17 07:29
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +20 $20 94¢ $19 -$1 10-26 03:54
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +25 $20 72¢ $18 -$1 10-06 13:17
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? Yes +53 $19 32¢ $17 -$3 10-10 12:09
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +93 $39 18¢ $17 -$22 10-11 22:55
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +33 $20 50¢ $16 -$3 10-02 23:03
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +97 $19 16¢ $16 -$3 10-18 10:01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +28 $20 52¢ $14 -$5 10-19 15:20
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +13 $11 86¢ $11 +$0 08-13 19:08